Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	2	Nuggets	82%	123	113	113.0	100	99.7
	27	Wizards	18%	110	104	106.1	98	98.8

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	38.8	19	40%	5	7	0	0	1	2	1	4	2-2	100%	4-15	27%	3-8	38%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	36.1	42	81%	12	8	2	2	0	2	4	8	12-14	86%	15-20	75%	0-0	-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	35.4	10	50%	3	3	3	0	2	2	0	3	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	1-5	20%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	32.4	19	68%	5	0	2	2	3	2	0	5	0-0	-	5-7	71%	3-7	43%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	31.1	11	42%	10	2	1	3	1	0	3	7	3-7	43%	4-10	40%	0-0	-

Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	21.1	2	33%	6	2	0	1	1	3	2	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	20.8	3	38%	1	3	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	12.7	2	50%	3	2	0	3	2	0	0	3	0-1	0%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	6.6	3	75%	4	0	0	0	1	1	2	2	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	5.1	2	50%	1	2	1	0	2	3	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Contusion/Sprain
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	54%	50	29	9	9	13	16	13	37	19-28	68%	35-66	53%	8-22	36%

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2 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	38.8	19	40%	5	7	0	0	1	2	1	4	2-2	100%	4-15	27%	3-8	38%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	36.1	42	81%	12	8	2	2	0	2	4	8	12-14	86%	15-20	75%	0-0	-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	35.4	10	50%	3	3	3	0	2	2	0	3	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	1-5	20%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	32.4	19	68%	5	0	2	2	3	2	0	5	0-0	-	5-7	71%	3-7	43%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	31.1	11	42%	10	2	1	3	1	0	3	7	3-7	43%	4-10	40%	0-0	-

Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	21.1	2	33%	6	2	0	1	1	3	2	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	20.8	3	38%	1	3	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	12.7	2	50%	3	2	0	3	2	0	0	3	0-1	0%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	6.6	3	75%	4	0	0	0	1	1	2	2	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	5.1	2	50%	1	2	1	0	2	3	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Contusion/Sprain
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	54%	50	29	9	9	13	16	13	37	19-28	68%	35-66	53%	8-22	36%

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27 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 28	33.1	17	61%	6	7	0	2	3	5	0	6	1-2	50%	5-9	56%	2-4	50%
Tyus Jones #5 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 28	31.3	15	54%	2	13	1	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	3-10	30%	3-4	75%
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 25	30.2	15	68%	7	2	2	1	2	5	3	4	1-2	50%	7-10	70%	0-0	-
Jordan Poole #13 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 25	27.9	4	29%	1	0	0	0	2	4	0	1	1-1	100%	0-3	0%	1-4	25%
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 23	18.4	4	29%	8	3	0	1	2	1	0	8	2-4	50%	1-4	25%	0-1	0%

Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 19	31.0	9	50%	3	1	1	4	2	2	1	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 25	17.8	6	27%	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	3	4-4	100%	1-3	33%	0-6	0%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 25	17.6	14	64%	7	1	0	0	0	3	5	2	4-4	100%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 32	16.8	6	60%	2	0	1	1	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Landry Shamet #20 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	16.1	14	58%	1	3	1	0	0	2	1	0	5-5	100%	3-5	60%	1-5	20%
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 21
Isaiah Livers #12 · PF · 6'6" 232 · 25
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 31
Eugene Omoruyi #97 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 27
Trey Jemison III #56 · C · 6'10" 270 · 24
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jules Bernard #14 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jared Butler #4 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	51%	40	31	6	11	13	23	12	28	18-22	82%	31-64	48%	8-27	30%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	WAS
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	WAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.09 54.3%

WAS

1.02 51.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

27

42

64%

WAS

21

30

70%

Midrange

DEN

8

24

33%

WAS

10

34

29%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

8

12.0

22

36%

55%

WAS

8

12.0

27

30%

44%

Free Throws

DEN

19

28

68%

WAS

18

22

82%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	42	81%	21.0 / 26
J. Murray	19	40%	9.5 / 24
M. Porter	19	68%	9.5 / 14
A. Gordon	11	42%	5.5 / 13
K. Caldwell-Pope	10	50%	5.0 / 10
R. Jackson	3	38%	1.5 / 4
D. Jordan	3	75%	1.5 / 2
C. Braun	2	33%	1.0 / 3
P. Watson	2	50%	1.0 / 2
Z. Nnaji	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Kuzma	17	61%	8.5 / 14
T. Jones	15	54%	7.5 / 14
D. Gafford	15	68%	7.5 / 11
M. Bagley	14	64%	7.0 / 11
L. Shamet	14	58%	7.0 / 12
B. Coulibaly	9	50%	4.5 / 9
C. Kispert	6	27%	3.0 / 11
D. Wright	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Poole	4	29%	2.0 / 7
D. Avdija	4	29%	2.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 117.9 25 110.3	DEN 113.0 +6.9 WAS 106.1
Pace	26 97.4 1 103.0	DEN 99.7 +0.9 WAS 98.8
Avg. Poss. Time	4 15.0 30 13.6	DEN 14.4 −0.1 WAS 14.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	8 56.2% 19 53.8%	DEN 53.4% +6.1% WAS 47.3%
TO %	7 12.1% 19 13.1%	DEN 12.2% WAS 11.4% −0.8%
ORB %	6 25.5% 29 20.0%	DEN 31.7% +7.2% WAS 24.5%
FTrt	24 22.4 27 22.1	DEN 31.8 +7.6 WAS 24.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 66.9% 9 64.9%	DEN 67.4% WAS 79.5% +12.1%
STL %	20 7.3% 19 7.3%	DEN 9.0% +2.9% WAS 6.1%
BLK %	25 8.7% 16 9.4%	DEN 14.1% WAS 16.7% +2.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.16 and 2.16.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.5% 21 55.8%	DEN 54.3% +3.3% WAS 51.0%
Rim FG%	17 63.6% 8 65.7%	DEN 64.3% WAS 70.0% +5.7%
Mid FG%	3 47.0% 28 39.8%	DEN 33.3% +3.9% WAS 29.4%
3P %	10 37.4% 25 34.8%	DEN 36.4% +6.8% WAS 29.6%
FT %	25 76.2% 24 76.4%	DEN 67.9% WAS 81.8% +13.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	4 36.0% 7 35.4%	DEN 47.7% +14.8% WAS 33.0%
Mid Att. %	25 28.8% 8 25.7%	DEN 27.3% −10.1% WAS 37.4%
3P Att. %	30 35.2% 16 38.9%	DEN 25.0% WAS 29.7% +4.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	WAS
Possessions	100	98
Possession Minutes	24.1	23.8
Points	113	104
Rebounds	50	40
Assists	29	31
Steals	9	6
Blocks	9	11
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	13 (0)
Fouls	16	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (4)	12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (2)	28 (5)
Field Goals	43-88	39-91
At-the-Rim FG	27-42	21-30
Midrange FG	8-24	10-34
2-Point FG	35-66	31-64
3-Point FG	8-22	8-27
Free Throws	19-28	18-22
Fast Break Pts	21	13
2nd Chance Pts	16	16
Points in Paint	58	56
Pts off Turnovers	18	20
Bench Points	12	49
Biggest Lead	17	6

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg