Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, January 22, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	25	Grizzlies	38%	105	108	113.7	95	84.3
	21	Raptors	62%	110	100	105.3	95	108.8

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+21

-15

101

TOR

+14

-17

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.07 53.5%

TOR

1.09 54.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

25 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SF · 6'4" 205 · 23	35.0	18	75%	10	1	2	1	2	2	3	7	2-3	67%	5-7	71%	2-4	50%
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 28	34.9	19	53%	3	7	0	0	3	1	0	3	0-1	0%	2-5	40%	5-13	38%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · C · 6'10" 242 · 24	32.4	27	59%	4	5	6	1	4	4	3	1	1-3	33%	10-17	59%	2-5	40%
John Konchar #46 · PG · 6'5" 210 · 28	28.2	6	50%	5	4	0	5	1	2	4	1	0-1	0%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 23	22.9	10	56%	4	4	1	0	1	0	1	3	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	1-4	25%

David Roddy #21 · PF · 6'5" 255 · 23	23.2	8	33%	9	2	0	0	1	1	6	3	0-0	-	4-12	33%	0-0	-
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 19	21.2	7	70%	5	1	1	1	0	0	0	5	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-3	33%
Xavier Tillman #2 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	15.6	2	17%	4	2	1	0	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-1	0%
Ziaire Williams #8 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 22	13.6	6	75%	2	2	0	0	2	3	1	1	3-3	100%	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Jacob Gilyard #0 · PG · 5'9" 160 · 26	13.0	5	83%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Derrick Rose #23 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ring Finger; Central Slip Tear
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Steven Adams #4 · C · 6'11" 265 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; PCLSurgery
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Labral Repair
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendon Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	54%	47	30	11	8	15	15	19	28	7-12	58%	31-61	51%	13-34	38%

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25 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SF · 6'4" 205 · 23	35.0	18	75%	10	1	2	1	2	2	3	7	2-3	67%	5-7	71%	2-4	50%
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 28	34.9	19	53%	3	7	0	0	3	1	0	3	0-1	0%	2-5	40%	5-13	38%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · C · 6'10" 242 · 24	32.4	27	59%	4	5	6	1	4	4	3	1	1-3	33%	10-17	59%	2-5	40%
John Konchar #46 · PG · 6'5" 210 · 28	28.2	6	50%	5	4	0	5	1	2	4	1	0-1	0%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 23	22.9	10	56%	4	4	1	0	1	0	1	3	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	1-4	25%

David Roddy #21 · PF · 6'5" 255 · 23	23.2	8	33%	9	2	0	0	1	1	6	3	0-0	-	4-12	33%	0-0	-
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 19	21.2	7	70%	5	1	1	1	0	0	0	5	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-3	33%
Xavier Tillman #2 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	15.6	2	17%	4	2	1	0	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-1	0%
Ziaire Williams #8 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 22	13.6	6	75%	2	2	0	0	2	3	1	1	3-3	100%	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Jacob Gilyard #0 · PG · 5'9" 160 · 26	13.0	5	83%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Derrick Rose #23 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ring Finger; Central Slip Tear
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Steven Adams #4 · C · 6'11" 265 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; PCLSurgery
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Labral Repair
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendon Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	54%	47	30	11	8	15	15	19	28	7-12	58%	31-61	51%	13-34	38%

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21 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Scottie Barnes #4 · PF · 6'8" 237 · 22	40.7	22	61%	12	8	0	6	5	2	5	7	9-9	100%	5-11	45%	1-3	33%
RJ Barrett #9 · SF · 6'6" 214 · 24	37.0	29	69%	9	1	0	1	2	3	1	8	5-6	83%	12-16	75%	0-2	0%
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 25	37.0	8	31%	5	10	2	0	4	1	0	5	0-0	-	1-7	14%	2-6	33%
Gary Trent Jr. #33 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 25	23.6	6	50%	0	2	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-4	50%
Jontay Porter #34 · C · 6'11" 240 · 24	5.8	0	0%	2	0	0	1	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-

Thaddeus Young #21 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 36	26.3	12	67%	6	4	3	0	0	1	2	4	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 30	22.0	11	50%	2	3	1	0	2	1	1	1	4-4	100%	2-6	33%	1-3	33%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 27	21.1	7	70%	3	2	0	0	2	3	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 20	14.6	0	0%	3	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 31	12.0	5	63%	5	1	0	0	0	1	2	3	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Jordan Nwora #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen McDaniels #2 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Otto Porter Jr. #32 · SF · 6'8" 198 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kira Lewis Jr. #3 · PG · 6'3" 170 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Garrett Temple #14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Javon Freeman-Liberty #0 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 24	INACTIVE
Markquis Nowell #24 · SG · 5'8" 160 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	54%	47	31	7	8	17	14	12	35	22-23	96%	27-56	48%	8-23	35%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	TOR
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	TOR

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.07 53.5%

TOR

1.09 54.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

61%

TOR

59%

Midrange

MEM

35%

TOR

20%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

19.5

38%

57%

TOR

12.0

35%

52%

Free Throws

MEM

58%

TOR

96%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Jackson	27	59%	13.5 / 23
L. Kennard	19	53%	9.5 / 18
V. Williams	18	75%	9.0 / 12
S. Aldama	10	56%	5.0 / 9
D. Roddy	8	33%	4.0 / 12
G. Jackson	7	70%	3.5 / 5
J. Konchar	6	50%	3.0 / 6
Z. Williams	6	75%	3.0 / 4
J. Gilyard	5	83%	2.5 / 3
X. Tillman	2	17%	1.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Barrett	29	69%	14.5 / 21
S. Barnes	22	61%	11.0 / 18
T. Young	12	67%	6.0 / 9
D. Schröder	11	50%	5.5 / 11
I. Quickley	8	31%	4.0 / 13
B. Brown	7	70%	3.5 / 5
G. Trent	6	50%	3.0 / 6
C. Boucher	5	63%	2.5 / 4
J. Porter	0	-	0.0 / 2
G. Dick	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	30 106.8 24 111.9	MEM 113.7 +8.4 TOR 105.3
Pace	17 98.6 12 99.9	MEM 84.3 TOR 108.8 +24.4
Avg. Poss. Time	11 14.8 28 13.9	MEM 17.1 TOR 13.2 −3.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	29 50.9% 21 53.5%	MEM 53.2% +3.8% TOR 49.4%
TO %	27 14.3% 21 13.4%	MEM 13.8% −2.2% TOR 16.0%
ORB %	19 23.8% 17 24.2%	MEM 35.2% +5.2% TOR 30.0%
FTrt	18 23.8 16 24.1	MEM 12.6 TOR 29.1 +16.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	13 64.4% 2 67.4%	MEM 68.2% TOR 88.6% +20.4%
STL %	5 8.3% 13 7.7%	MEM 11.6% +4.2% TOR 7.4%
BLK %	1 11.9% 15 9.5%	MEM 14.3% +1.2% TOR 13.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 52.9% 22 55.5%	MEM 53.5% TOR 54.3% +0.8%
Rim FG%	30 57.8% 13 64.8%	MEM 60.5% +2.0% TOR 58.5%
Mid FG%	26 40.3% 22 40.8%	MEM 34.8% +14.8% TOR 20.0%
3P %	29 34.6% 27 34.7%	MEM 38.2% +3.4% TOR 34.8%
FT %	23 76.4% 29 75.6%	MEM 58.3% TOR 95.7% +37.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 32.3% 5 35.6%	MEM 40.0% TOR 51.9% +11.9%
Mid Att. %	4 24.9% 17 27.5%	MEM 24.2% TOR 19.0% −5.2%
3P Att. %	5 42.8% 26 36.9%	MEM 35.8% +6.7% TOR 29.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.12 and 2.12.

Game Totals	MEM	TOR
Possessions	95	95
Possession Minutes	27.0	21.0
Points	108	100
Rebounds	47	47
Assists	30	31
Steals	11	7
Blocks	8	8
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	17 (0)
Fouls	15	14
Off. Rebounds (Team)	19 (2)	12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (2)	35 (0)
Field Goals	44-95	35-79
At-the-Rim FG	23-38	24-41
Midrange FG	8-23	3-15
2-Point FG	31-61	27-56
3-Point FG	13-34	8-23
Free Throws	7-12	22-23
Fast Break Pts	19	16
2nd Chance Pts	17	16
Points in Paint	58	50
Pts off Turnovers	15	17
Bench Points	28	35
Biggest Lead	19	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg