Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	2	Nuggets	69%	120	114	120.0	95	87.5
	21	Pacers	31%	113	109	114.7	95	103.9

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	30.6	5	28%	4	1	0	1	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-5	20%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	32.3	9	75%	1	1	0	2	0	3	0	1	3-3	100%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	37.0	31	78%	13	10	0	1	1	3	2	11	2-2	100%	10-15	67%	3-4	75%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	34.8	14	58%	5	0	1	0	1	3	2	3	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	2-6	33%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	36.8	31	57%	8	7	0	0	3	1	2	6	6-6	100%	8-15	53%	3-9	33%

Reggie Jackson #7 · G · 6'3" 208 · 34	24.4	13	59%	2	2	2	1	2	3	0	2	0-0	-	5-7	71%	1-4	25%
Peyton Watson #8 · G · 6'8" 200 · 21	18.6	7	70%	2	0	1	2	2	1	0	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Christian Braun #0 · G · 6'6" 220 · 23	14.7	2	33%	4	0	1	1	0	0	3	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	10.7	2	50%	3	1	0	1	1	2	2	1	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26
Justin Holiday #9 · G · 6'6" 185 · 35
Jalen Pickett #24 · G · 6'2" 202 · 24
Hunter Tyson #4 · F · 6'8" 215 · 24
Braxton Key #11 · F · 6'7" 225 · 27	INACTIVE_GLEAGUE_TWOWAY
Collin Gillespie #21 · G · 6'1" 195 · 25	INACTIVE_GLEAGUE_TWOWAY
Julian Strawther #3 · G · 6'6" 205 · 22	INACTIVE_INJURY \| Right Knee; Contusion/Sprain
Vlatko Čančar #31 · F · 6'9" 215 · 27	INACTIVE_INJURY \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	58%	42	22	5	1	10	0	11	31	15-17	88%	33-55	60%	11-33	33%

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2 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	30.6	5	28%	4	1	0	1	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-5	20%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	32.3	9	75%	1	1	0	2	0	3	0	1	3-3	100%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	37.0	31	78%	13	10	0	1	1	3	2	11	2-2	100%	10-15	67%	3-4	75%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	34.8	14	58%	5	0	1	0	1	3	2	3	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	2-6	33%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	36.8	31	57%	8	7	0	0	3	1	2	6	6-6	100%	8-15	53%	3-9	33%

Reggie Jackson #7 · G · 6'3" 208 · 34	24.4	13	59%	2	2	2	1	2	3	0	2	0-0	-	5-7	71%	1-4	25%
Peyton Watson #8 · G · 6'8" 200 · 21	18.6	7	70%	2	0	1	2	2	1	0	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Christian Braun #0 · G · 6'6" 220 · 23	14.7	2	33%	4	0	1	1	0	0	3	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	10.7	2	50%	3	1	0	1	1	2	2	1	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26
Justin Holiday #9 · G · 6'6" 185 · 35
Jalen Pickett #24 · G · 6'2" 202 · 24
Hunter Tyson #4 · F · 6'8" 215 · 24
Braxton Key #11 · F · 6'7" 225 · 27	INACTIVE_GLEAGUE_TWOWAY
Collin Gillespie #21 · G · 6'1" 195 · 25	INACTIVE_GLEAGUE_TWOWAY
Julian Strawther #3 · G · 6'6" 205 · 22	INACTIVE_INJURY \| Right Knee; Contusion/Sprain
Vlatko Čančar #31 · F · 6'9" 215 · 27	INACTIVE_INJURY \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	58%	42	22	5	1	10	0	11	31	15-17	88%	33-55	60%	11-33	33%

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21 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 24	33.8	13	46%	9	0	0	0	1	3	4	5	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	1-7	14%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 30	32.6	16	47%	10	4	0	0	1	1	2	8	2-2	100%	7-16	44%	0-0	-
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 28	37.0	22	52%	6	1	1	0	2	3	0	6	6-7	86%	8-13	62%	0-5	0%
Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 31	22.2	3	38%	1	1	2	1	0	1	0	1	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 24	27.0	15	83%	1	7	0	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	6-6	100%	1-3	33%

Bennedict Mathurin #00 · G-F · 6'5" 210 · 22	28.0	11	55%	5	3	0	0	1	2	0	5	4-5	80%	2-6	33%	1-2	50%
T.J. McConnell #9 · G · 6'1" 190 · 32	21.0	17	71%	1	7	0	0	3	3	0	1	2-2	100%	6-10	60%	1-1	100%
Obi Toppin #1 · F · 6'9" 220 · 26	16.9	4	50%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Ben Sheppard #26 · G · 6'6" 190 · 23	12.0	5	125%	1	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · F · 6'8" 205 · 22	9.5	3	38%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Jalen Smith #25 · F-C · 6'8" 244 · 24
Jarace Walker #5 · F · 6'7" 235 · 20
Kendall Brown #10 · G · 6'6" 205 · 21
Oscar Tshiebwe #44 · F-C · 6'8" 255 · 24
James Johnson #16 · F · 6'8" 240 · 37
Isaiah Wong #21 · G · 6'3" 185 · 23	INACTIVE_GLEAGUE_TWOWAY
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · G · 6'5" 185 · 24	INACTIVE_INJURY \| Left Hamstring; Strain Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	55%	38	24	4	9	10	0	7	31	18-21	86%	38-66	58%	5-21	24%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	IND
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	IND

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.15 57.6%

IND

1.10 55.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

21

30

70%

IND

24

39

62%

Midrange

DEN

12

25

48%

IND

14

27

52%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

11

16.5

33

33%

50%

IND

5

7.5

21

24%

36%

Free Throws

DEN

15

17

88%

IND

18

21

86%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	31	78%	15.5 / 20
J. Murray	31	57%	15.5 / 27
K. Caldwell-Pope	14	58%	7.0 / 12
R. Jackson	13	59%	6.5 / 11
A. Gordon	9	75%	4.5 / 6
P. Watson	7	70%	3.5 / 5
M. Porter	5	28%	2.5 / 9
C. Braun	2	33%	1.0 / 3
D. Jordan	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Turner	22	52%	11.0 / 21
T. McConnell	17	71%	8.5 / 12
P. Siakam	16	47%	8.0 / 17
A. Nembhard	15	83%	7.5 / 9
A. Nesmith	13	46%	6.5 / 14
B. Mathurin	11	55%	5.5 / 10
B. Sheppard	5	125%	2.5 / 2
O. Toppin	4	50%	2.0 / 4
B. Hield	3	38%	1.5 / 4
I. Jackson	3	38%	1.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 117.9 2 120.6	DEN 120.0 +5.3 IND 114.7
Pace	26 97.4 2 102.3	DEN 87.5 IND 103.9 +16.4
Avg. Poss. Time	4 15.0 29 13.7	DEN 16.5 IND 13.9 −2.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	8 56.2% 1 57.8%	DEN 56.3% +4.0% IND 52.3%
TO %	7 12.1% 6 12.0%	DEN 11.2% IND 9.4% −1.8%
ORB %	6 25.5% 20 23.8%	DEN 26.2% +7.8% IND 18.4%
FTrt	24 22.4 26 22.2	DEN 19.3 IND 24.1 +4.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 66.9% 6 65.4%	DEN 50.0% IND 55.8% +5.8%
STL %	20 7.3% 15 7.5%	DEN 5.3% +1.1% IND 4.2%
BLK %	25 8.7% 14 9.5%	DEN 1.5% IND 16.4% +14.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.5% 2 59.4%	DEN 57.6% +2.5% IND 55.1%
Rim FG%	17 63.6% 7 65.9%	DEN 70.0% +8.5% IND 61.5%
Mid FG%	3 47.0% 1 48.8%	DEN 48.0% IND 51.9% +3.9%
3P %	10 37.4% 9 37.4%	DEN 33.3% +9.5% IND 23.8%
FT %	25 76.2% 13 78.2%	DEN 88.2% +2.5% IND 85.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	4 36.0% 3 36.5%	DEN 34.1% IND 44.8% +10.7%
Mid Att. %	25 28.8% 6 25.4%	DEN 28.4% −2.6% IND 31.0%
3P Att. %	30 35.2% 20 38.0%	DEN 37.5% +13.4% IND 24.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.11 and 2.11.

Game Totals	DEN	IND
Possessions	95	95
Possession Minutes	26.1	21.9
Points	114	109
Rebounds	42	38
Assists	22	24
Steals	5	4
Blocks	1	9
Turnovers (Team)	10 (2)	10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (3)	7 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (1)	31 (0)
Field Goals	44-88	43-87
At-the-Rim FG	21-30	24-39
Midrange FG	12-25	14-27
2-Point FG	33-55	38-66
3-Point FG	11-33	5-21
Free Throws	15-17	18-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg