Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, January 24, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	25	Grizzlies	30%	101	105	106.1	99	96.1
	11	Heat	70%	109	96	96.0	100	104.0

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

-18

MIA

+14

-17

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.17 58.3%

MIA

0.99 49.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

25 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · C · 6'10" 242 · 24	35.5	15	33%	6	3	1	1	5	1	0	6	4-5	80%	4-14	29%	1-7	14%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SF · 6'4" 205 · 23	32.7	25	104%	5	4	1	0	1	3	0	5	4-4	100%	3-4	75%	5-6	83%
David Roddy #21 · PF · 6'5" 255 · 23	31.6	10	45%	3	4	2	1	3	2	2	1	0-0	-	2-7	29%	2-4	50%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 28	30.7	11	79%	10	2	1	1	2	4	3	7	0-0	-	4-4	100%	1-3	33%
Jacob Gilyard #0 · PG · 5'9" 160 · 26	23.6	6	60%	0	7	1	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-4	50%

GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 19	26.0	17	77%	4	2	0	0	1	3	0	4	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	4-6	67%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 23	24.4	15	83%	6	6	0	0	2	1	0	6	4-4	100%	4-6	67%	1-1	100%
Xavier Tillman #2 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	18.1	6	100%	4	1	1	3	1	3	1	3	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Ziaire Williams #8 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 22	17.4	0	0%	6	1	1	0	1	1	1	5	0-0	-	0-4	0%	0-4	0%
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Derrick Rose #23 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendon Repair
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Labral Repair
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thigh; Soreness
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Finger; Central Slip Tear
Steven Adams #4 · C · 6'11" 265 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; PCL Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	58%	44	30	8	9	18	19	7	37	16-19	84%	19-44	43%	17-36	47%

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25 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · C · 6'10" 242 · 24	35.5	15	33%	6	3	1	1	5	1	0	6	4-5	80%	4-14	29%	1-7	14%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SF · 6'4" 205 · 23	32.7	25	104%	5	4	1	0	1	3	0	5	4-4	100%	3-4	75%	5-6	83%
David Roddy #21 · PF · 6'5" 255 · 23	31.6	10	45%	3	4	2	1	3	2	2	1	0-0	-	2-7	29%	2-4	50%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 28	30.7	11	79%	10	2	1	1	2	4	3	7	0-0	-	4-4	100%	1-3	33%
Jacob Gilyard #0 · PG · 5'9" 160 · 26	23.6	6	60%	0	7	1	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-4	50%

GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 19	26.0	17	77%	4	2	0	0	1	3	0	4	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	4-6	67%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 23	24.4	15	83%	6	6	0	0	2	1	0	6	4-4	100%	4-6	67%	1-1	100%
Xavier Tillman #2 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	18.1	6	100%	4	1	1	3	1	3	1	3	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Ziaire Williams #8 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 22	17.4	0	0%	6	1	1	0	1	1	1	5	0-0	-	0-4	0%	0-4	0%
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Derrick Rose #23 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendon Repair
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Labral Repair
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thigh; Soreness
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Finger; Central Slip Tear
Steven Adams #4 · C · 6'11" 265 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; PCL Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	58%	44	30	8	9	18	19	7	37	16-19	84%	19-44	43%	17-36	47%

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11 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 27	39.5	15	42%	15	6	1	6	0	3	3	12	7-11	64%	4-12	33%	0-1	0%
Tyler Herro #14 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 24	37.7	18	60%	6	3	0	0	4	1	0	6	0-0	-	6-9	67%	2-6	33%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 34	34.9	15	54%	4	3	2	0	4	1	3	1	6-8	75%	3-8	38%	1-2	50%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · PF · 6'5" 220 · 27	24.0	8	67%	4	1	2	1	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
Josh Richardson #0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 30	18.1	9	64%	3	2	0	1	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-4	25%

Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 30	29.4	9	38%	4	5	2	0	3	2	2	2	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	1-5	20%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 28	28.6	15	75%	4	1	2	1	2	2	2	2	4-4	100%	1-3	33%	3-5	60%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 30	15.8	7	39%	3	0	0	0	2	4	0	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-5	20%
Thomas Bryant #31 · C · 6'9" 248 · 26	6.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 35	5.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
R.J. Hampton #4 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cole Swider #21 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 25	INACTIVE
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 25	INACTIVE
Dru Smith #9 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Groin; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	50%	44	21	9	6	17	17	11	33	19-25	76%	22-48	46%	11-34	32%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	MIA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.17 58.3%

MIA

0.99 49.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

50%

MIA

52%

Midrange

MEM

25%

MIA

37%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

25.5

47%

71%

MIA

16.5

32%

49%

Free Throws

MEM

84%

MIA

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
V. Williams	25	104%	12.5 / 12
G. Jackson	17	77%	8.5 / 11
J. Jackson	15	33%	7.5 / 23
S. Pippen	15	83%	7.5 / 9
J. Konchar	11	79%	5.5 / 7
D. Roddy	10	45%	5.0 / 11
J. Gilyard	6	60%	3.0 / 5
X. Tillman	6	100%	3.0 / 3
Z. Williams	0	-	0.0 / 8

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Herro	18	60%	9.0 / 15
B. Adebayo	15	42%	7.5 / 18
J. Butler	15	54%	7.5 / 14
C. Martin	15	75%	7.5 / 10
J. Richardson	9	64%	4.5 / 7
T. Rozier	9	38%	4.5 / 12
H. Highsmith	8	67%	4.0 / 6
D. Robinson	7	39%	3.5 / 9
K. Love	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	30 106.8 21 113.3	MEM 106.1 +10.1 MIA 96.0
Pace	17 98.6 29 97.0	MEM 96.1 MIA 104.0 +7.9
Avg. Poss. Time	11 14.8 10 14.8	MEM 15.0 MIA 13.9 −1.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	29 50.9% 20 53.8%	MEM 55.6% +8.6% MIA 47.0%
TO %	27 14.3% 9 12.2%	MEM 16.9% MIA 15.5% −1.4%
ORB %	19 23.8% 26 21.8%	MEM 17.5% MIA 22.9% +5.4%
FTrt	18 23.8 8 25.7	MEM 23.8 MIA 30.5 +6.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	13 64.4% 11 64.8%	MEM 83.3% +19.7% MIA 63.6%
STL %	5 8.3% 11 7.7%	MEM 8.1% MIA 9.0% +0.9%
BLK %	1 11.9% 30 7.7%	MEM 18.8% +5.2% MIA 13.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 52.9% 17 56.2%	MEM 58.3% +8.8% MIA 49.5%
Rim FG%	30 57.8% 23 61.6%	MEM 50.0% MIA 51.7% +1.7%
Mid FG%	26 40.3% 13 44.3%	MEM 25.0% MIA 36.8% +11.8%
3P %	29 34.6% 12 37.0%	MEM 47.2% +14.8% MIA 32.4%
FT %	23 76.4% 5 81.8%	MEM 84.2% +8.2% MIA 76.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 32.3% 29 29.5%	MEM 40.0% +4.6% MIA 35.4%
Mid Att. %	4 24.9% 28 31.1%	MEM 15.0% −8.2% MIA 23.2%
3P Att. %	5 42.8% 14 39.4%	MEM 45.0% +3.5% MIA 41.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.12 and 2.12.

Game Totals	MEM	MIA
Possessions	99	100
Possession Minutes	24.7	23.1
Points	105	96
Rebounds	44	44
Assists	30	21
Steals	8	9
Blocks	9	6
Turnovers (Team)	18 (0)	17 (0)
Fouls	19	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (2)	11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (2)	33 (3)
Field Goals	36-80	33-82
At-the-Rim FG	16-32	15-29
Midrange FG	3-12	7-19
2-Point FG	19-44	22-48
3-Point FG	17-36	11-34
Free Throws	16-19	19-25
Fast Break Pts	22	13
2nd Chance Pts	11	6
Points in Paint	34	42
Pts off Turnovers	24	14
Bench Points	38	31
Biggest Lead	14	7

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg