Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, January 24, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	4	Thunder	69%	118	140	137.3	102	108.0
	26	Spurs	31%	111	114	111.8	102	96.6

Scoring Opportunities

OKC

+17

-15

104

SAS

+14

-18

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.33 66.7%

SAS

1.15 57.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

4 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Chet Holmgren #7 · C · 7'1" 208 · 22	30.1	17	65%	9	4	1	3	3	3	4	5	1-3	33%	5-9	56%	2-4	50%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 26	29.5	32	80%	6	10	2	1	4	3	2	4	12-12	100%	7-13	54%	2-2	100%
Jalen Williams #8 · PF · 6'5" 211 · 23	29.3	13	54%	5	7	2	0	0	3	0	5	0-0	-	5-7	71%	1-5	20%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 25	25.4	2	17%	3	1	2	1	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-5	0%
Josh Giddey #3 · SG · 6'7" 214 · 21	22.1	12	46%	8	4	0	0	2	1	5	3	0-0	-	6-10	60%	0-3	0%

Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 20	22.6	13	93%	3	4	1	0	0	4	1	2	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	2-3	67%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 25	18.5	22	100%	3	1	0	1	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	5-5	100%	4-6	67%
Vasilije Micić #29 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 30	13.8	2	50%	1	3	1	0	3	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 25	12.8	9	90%	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-5	60%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22	11.1	6	100%	4	0	0	0	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-2	100%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 29	10.3	7	88%	3	0	1	1	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Davis Bertans #9 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 31	5.0	3	150%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Keyontae Johnson #18 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 24	4.8	0	0%	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Aleksej Pokusevski #17 · PF · 7'0" 190 · 22	4.8	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Ousmane Dieng #13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Lindy Waters III #12 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Olivier Sarr #30 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip Flexor; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	140	67%	47	36	11	8	15	20	16	31	14-16	88%	36-56	64%	18-40	45%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

4 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Chet Holmgren #7 · C · 7'1" 208 · 22	30.1	17	65%	9	4	1	3	3	3	4	5	1-3	33%	5-9	56%	2-4	50%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 26	29.5	32	80%	6	10	2	1	4	3	2	4	12-12	100%	7-13	54%	2-2	100%
Jalen Williams #8 · PF · 6'5" 211 · 23	29.3	13	54%	5	7	2	0	0	3	0	5	0-0	-	5-7	71%	1-5	20%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 25	25.4	2	17%	3	1	2	1	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-5	0%
Josh Giddey #3 · SG · 6'7" 214 · 21	22.1	12	46%	8	4	0	0	2	1	5	3	0-0	-	6-10	60%	0-3	0%

Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 20	22.6	13	93%	3	4	1	0	0	4	1	2	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	2-3	67%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 25	18.5	22	100%	3	1	0	1	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	5-5	100%	4-6	67%
Vasilije Micić #29 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 30	13.8	2	50%	1	3	1	0	3	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 25	12.8	9	90%	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-5	60%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22	11.1	6	100%	4	0	0	0	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-2	100%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 29	10.3	7	88%	3	0	1	1	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Davis Bertans #9 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 31	5.0	3	150%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Keyontae Johnson #18 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 24	4.8	0	0%	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Aleksej Pokusevski #17 · PF · 7'0" 190 · 22	4.8	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Ousmane Dieng #13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Lindy Waters III #12 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Olivier Sarr #30 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip Flexor; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	140	67%	47	36	11	8	15	20	16	31	14-16	88%	36-56	64%	18-40	45%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

26 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 23	34.4	21	70%	5	7	0	1	0	1	1	4	2-2	100%	8-10	80%	1-4	25%
Blake Wesley #14 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 21	28.4	12	100%	4	6	0	1	4	4	1	3	1-3	33%	4-4	100%	1-1	100%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 20	27.8	24	55%	12	4	1	4	3	2	6	6	6-8	75%	9-15	60%	0-3	0%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 21	24.3	2	14%	5	4	0	0	2	3	2	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-3	0%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 23	20.8	3	30%	2	1	2	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-5	20%

Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 21	27.5	11	79%	3	2	2	1	0	1	0	3	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	19.0	7	44%	0	1	1	1	2	0	0	0	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	0-2	0%
Zach Collins #23 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	17.4	10	50%	3	2	1	2	2	1	2	1	3-4	75%	2-6	33%	1-2	50%
Doug McDermott #17 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	17.1	8	67%	1	3	0	0	3	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
Cedi Osman #16 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 29	14.1	9	75%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2-3	67%	2-2	100%	1-3	33%
Devonte' Graham #4 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 29	4.8	3	75%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	4.6	4	67%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mamadi Diakite #29 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Acl; Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	58%	38	30	7	11	18	14	12	26	19-25	76%	34-54	63%	9-32	28%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.33 66.7%

SAS

1.15 57.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

OKC

64%

SAS

70%

Midrange

OKC

64%

SAS

52%

3PT | Effective 3PT

OKC

27.0

45%

68%

SAS

13.5

28%

42%

Free Throws

OKC

88%

SAS

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	32	80%	16.0 / 20
A. Wiggins	22	100%	11.0 / 11
C. Holmgren	17	65%	8.5 / 13
J. Williams	13	54%	6.5 / 12
C. Wallace	13	93%	6.5 / 7
J. Giddey	12	46%	6.0 / 13
I. Joe	9	90%	4.5 / 5
K. Williams	7	88%	3.5 / 4
J. Williams	6	100%	3.0 / 3
D. Bertans	3	150%	1.5 / 1
L. Dort	2	17%	1.0 / 6
V. Micić	2	50%	1.0 / 2
A. Pokusevski	2	50%	1.0 / 2
K. Johnson	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
V. Wembanyama	24	55%	12.0 / 22
D. Vassell	21	70%	10.5 / 15
B. Wesley	12	100%	6.0 / 6
M. Branham	11	79%	5.5 / 7
Z. Collins	10	50%	5.0 / 10
C. Osman	9	75%	4.5 / 6
D. McDermott	8	67%	4.0 / 6
K. Johnson	7	44%	3.5 / 8
S. Mamukelashvili	4	67%	2.0 / 3
J. Champagnie	3	30%	1.5 / 5
D. Graham	3	75%	1.5 / 2
J. Sochan	2	14%	1.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	3 118.3 26 109.4	OKC 137.3 +25.5 SAS 111.8
Pace	5 100.9 3 101.7	OKC 108.0 +11.4 SAS 96.6
Avg. Poss. Time	27 14.0 25 14.1	OKC 13.3 −1.6 SAS 14.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	3 57.3% 23 53.2%	OKC 65.6% +10.4% SAS 55.2%
TO %	3 11.7% 26 14.3%	OKC 13.4% −3.0% SAS 16.4%
ORB %	28 21.1% 23 22.9%	OKC 38.1% +10.2% SAS 27.9%
FTrt	17 24.0 28 22.0	OKC 16.7 SAS 29.1 +12.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	23 60.9% 1 71.2%	OKC 66.7% SAS 69.8% +3.1%
STL %	3 8.3% 23 6.9%	OKC 10.8% +3.9% SAS 6.9%
BLK %	2 11.3% 10 9.7%	OKC 14.8% SAS 19.6% +4.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.62 and 2.62.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 59.2% 25 55.1%	OKC 66.7% +9.1% SAS 57.6%
Rim FG%	10 65.4% 16 64.1%	OKC 64.3% SAS 69.7% +5.4%
Mid FG%	4 46.6% 24 40.5%	OKC 64.3% +11.9% SAS 52.4%
3P %	1 38.9% 28 34.7%	OKC 45.0% +16.9% SAS 28.1%
FT %	4 82.5% 14 78.2%	OKC 87.5% +11.5% SAS 76.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	16 33.2% 13 34.2%	OKC 43.8% +5.4% SAS 38.4%
Mid Att. %	24 28.5% 9 25.7%	OKC 14.6% −9.8% SAS 24.4%
3P Att. %	18 38.3% 12 40.1%	OKC 41.7% +4.5% SAS 37.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	OKC	SAS
Possessions	102	102
Possession Minutes	22.7	25.3
Points	140	114
Rebounds	47	38
Assists	36	30
Steals	11	7
Blocks	8	11
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	18 (1)
Fouls	20	14
Off. Rebounds (Team)	16 (1)	12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (0)	26 (1)
Field Goals	54-96	43-86
At-the-Rim FG	27-42	23-33
Midrange FG	9-14	11-21
2-Point FG	36-56	34-54
3-Point FG	18-40	9-32
Free Throws	14-16	19-25
Fast Break Pts	20	13
2nd Chance Pts	16	13
Points in Paint	64	58
Pts off Turnovers	33	14
Bench Points	64	52
Biggest Lead	32	2

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg