Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, January 24, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	23	Hawks	36%	114	112	112.0	100	102.7
	14	Warriors	64%	119	134	132.7	101	98.4

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

+17

-10

107

GSW

+12

-10

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.05 52.3%

GSW

1.30 65.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

23 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 22	36.3	21	58%	9	6	1	0	0	4	1	8	3-5	60%	6-10	60%	2-6	33%
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 27	33.2	23	50%	7	7	1	0	2	2	3	4	7-8	88%	5-12	42%	2-7	29%
Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 31	32.5	17	77%	0	3	1	0	1	1	0	0	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	4-9	44%
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 25	26.7	18	69%	7	3	1	0	0	0	3	4	3-3	100%	3-6	50%	3-6	50%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 30	24.7	11	46%	11	1	0	1	0	2	3	8	5-7	71%	3-9	33%	0-0	-

Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 23	25.3	6	60%	7	1	0	1	3	3	2	5	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 35	21.6	13	59%	2	3	1	0	2	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	3-6	50%
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27	20.1	3	19%	0	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-6	0%
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 26	14.8	0	0%	0	5	2	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Seth Lundy #3 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	2.9	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 25	INACTIVE
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Subluxation
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Low Back; Stress Fracture
Wesley Matthews #32 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Lower Back; Spasms
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Inflammation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	52%	45	30	7	2	10	16	13	32	20-26	77%	25-51	49%	14-43	33%

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23 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 22	36.3	21	58%	9	6	1	0	0	4	1	8	3-5	60%	6-10	60%	2-6	33%
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 27	33.2	23	50%	7	7	1	0	2	2	3	4	7-8	88%	5-12	42%	2-7	29%
Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 31	32.5	17	77%	0	3	1	0	1	1	0	0	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	4-9	44%
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 25	26.7	18	69%	7	3	1	0	0	0	3	4	3-3	100%	3-6	50%	3-6	50%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 30	24.7	11	46%	11	1	0	1	0	2	3	8	5-7	71%	3-9	33%	0-0	-

Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 23	25.3	6	60%	7	1	0	1	3	3	2	5	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 35	21.6	13	59%	2	3	1	0	2	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	3-6	50%
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27	20.1	3	19%	0	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-6	0%
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 26	14.8	0	0%	0	5	2	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Seth Lundy #3 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	2.9	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 25	INACTIVE
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Subluxation
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Low Back; Stress Fracture
Wesley Matthews #32 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Lower Back; Spasms
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Inflammation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	52%	45	30	7	2	10	16	13	32	20-26	77%	25-51	49%	14-43	33%

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14 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 36	31.3	25	66%	3	8	0	0	1	3	0	3	6-6	100%	2-8	25%	5-8	63%
Klay Thompson #11 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 34	30.1	24	63%	2	3	0	1	2	2	1	1	3-3	100%	3-8	38%	5-10	50%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 29	29.4	12	46%	5	1	0	2	0	4	2	3	4-4	100%	4-7	57%	0-4	0%
Dario Šarić #20 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 30	16.3	10	83%	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-3	67%
Kevon Looney #5 · C · 6'9" 222 · 28	9.9	2	50%	7	1	1	1	1	1	2	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-

Jonathan Kuminga #00 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 21	28.9	25	104%	9	2	2	2	1	1	0	9	3-5	60%	11-11	100%	0-0	-
Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 21	26.7	10	56%	3	2	0	0	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-1	0%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 34	22.8	12	100%	5	3	2	1	2	3	1	4	0-0	-	3-3	100%	2-3	67%
Cory Joseph #1 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 32	20.6	8	133%	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-2	100%
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 24	15.3	4	33%	6	1	0	2	0	2	2	4	0-4	0%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Lester Quinones #25 · SG · 6'5" 208 · 23	2.9	2	50%	3	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 22	2.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jerome Robinson #18 · SG · 6'5" 188 · 27	2.9	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Usman Garuba #12 · PF · 6'8" 229 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Gary Payton II #0 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 39	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	134	65%	49	26	6	9	10	18	11	38	16-22	73%	35-58	60%	16-33	48%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	GSW
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	GSW

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.05 52.3%

GSW

1.30 65.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

87%

GSW

83%

Midrange

ATL

33%

GSW

46%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

21.0

33%

49%

GSW

24.0

48%

73%

Free Throws

ATL

77%

GSW

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Murray	23	50%	11.5 / 23
J. Johnson	21	58%	10.5 / 18
S. Bey	18	69%	9.0 / 13
B. Bogdanović	17	77%	8.5 / 11
P. Mills	13	59%	6.5 / 11
C. Capela	11	46%	5.5 / 12
O. Okongwu	6	60%	3.0 / 5
G. Mathews	3	19%	1.5 / 8
T. Forrest	0	-	0.0 / 1
S. Lundy	0	-	0.0 / 1
A. Griffin	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Curry	25	66%	12.5 / 19
J. Kuminga	25	104%	12.5 / 12
K. Thompson	24	63%	12.0 / 19
A. Wiggins	12	46%	6.0 / 13
D. Green	12	100%	6.0 / 6
D. Šarić	10	83%	5.0 / 6
B. Podziemski	10	56%	5.0 / 9
C. Joseph	8	133%	4.0 / 3
T. Jackson-Davis	4	33%	2.0 / 6
K. Looney	2	50%	1.0 / 2
L. Quinones	2	50%	1.0 / 2
G. Santos	0	-	0.0 / 1
J. Robinson	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	12 116.4 10 116.9	ATL 112.0 GSW 132.7 +20.7
Pace	6 100.9 11 100.0	ATL 102.7 +4.2 GSW 98.4
Avg. Poss. Time	21 14.2 17 14.4	ATL 14.0 −0.6 GSW 14.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	17 53.9% 12 55.7%	ATL 48.9% GSW 64.8% +15.9%
TO %	13 12.5% 23 13.6%	ATL 9.4% GSW 9.0% −0.4%
ORB %	5 27.1% 4 27.5%	ATL 25.5% GSW 25.6% +0.1%
FTrt	12 25.1 29 21.9	ATL 27.7 +3.5 GSW 24.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	19 61.8% 4 67.1%	ATL 76.9% +25.9% GSW 51.0%
STL %	18 7.4% 24 6.9%	ATL 7.0% +1.1% GSW 5.9%
BLK %	21 9.0% 23 8.8%	ATL 3.4% GSW 17.6% +14.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	16 56.3% 12 57.2%	ATL 52.3% GSW 65.0% +12.7%
Rim FG%	28 60.3% 5 66.3%	ATL 86.7% +4.1% GSW 82.6%
Mid FG%	6 45.2% 19 41.4%	ATL 33.3% GSW 45.7% +12.4%
3P %	17 36.4% 7 38.0%	ATL 32.6% GSW 48.5% +15.9%
FT %	8 79.7% 17 78.0%	ATL 76.9% +4.2% GSW 72.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	18 32.8% 25 31.0%	ATL 16.0% GSW 25.3% +9.3%
Mid Att. %	11 26.5% 12 26.5%	ATL 38.3% −0.2% GSW 38.5%
3P Att. %	9 40.8% 6 42.5%	ATL 45.7% +9.5% GSW 36.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	GSW
Possessions	100	101
Possession Minutes	23.4	24.6
Points	112	134
Rebounds	45	49
Assists	30	26
Steals	7	6
Blocks	2	9
Turnovers (Team)	10 (1)	10 (0)
Fouls	16	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (4)	11 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (0)	38 (3)
Field Goals	39-94	51-91
At-the-Rim FG	13-15	19-23
Midrange FG	12-36	16-35
2-Point FG	25-51	35-58
3-Point FG	14-43	16-33
Free Throws	20-26	16-22
Fast Break Pts	12	14
2nd Chance Pts	15	7
Points in Paint	42	62
Pts off Turnovers	9	22
Bench Points	22	61
Biggest Lead	7	22

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg