Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, January 27, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	19	76ers	32%	106	105	112.9	93	97.5
	3	Nuggets	68%	113	111	118.1	94	91.7

Scoring Opportunities

PHI

-11

DEN

+18

-7

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHI

1.18 59.0%

DEN

1.06 52.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

19 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paul Reed #44 · C · 6'9" 210 · 25	42.1	30	71%	13	1	2	0	0	5	3	10	0-0	-	12-17	71%	2-4	50%
Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SG · 6'8" 210 · 28	39.8	25	63%	5	4	0	2	1	5	2	3	6-7	86%	8-13	62%	1-4	25%
Patrick Beverley #22 · PG · 6'1" 185 · 36	36.6	17	61%	4	11	0	2	4	3	0	4	4-4	100%	5-9	56%	1-3	33%
Marcus Morris Sr. #5 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 34	33.0	17	50%	4	2	0	0	1	2	0	4	2-2	100%	6-11	55%	1-5	20%
Nicolas Batum #40 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 35	25.9	0	0%	4	2	0	0	1	3	0	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-

Danuel House Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 31	27.8	6	43%	3	0	2	1	0	4	1	2	0-1	0%	3-4	75%	0-3	0%
KJ Martin #1 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 23	18.7	7	58%	4	1	0	0	2	4	0	4	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Furkan Korkmaz #30 · SG · 6'7" 190 · 27	9.1	3	75%	1	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Jaden Springer #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 21	7.0	0	0%	1	1	0	1	2	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Ricky Council IV #16 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22
Terquavion Smith #23 · PG · 6'4" 160 · 21
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 30	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Robert Covington #33 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bone Bruise
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Tobias Harris #12 · PF · 6'8" 226 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Lumbar Spine Stress Response
Mo Bamba #7 · C · 7'0" 231 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Inflammation
Kenneth Lofton Jr. #35 · PF · 6'7" 275 · 21	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	59%	39	25	5	3	11	29	6	33	13-16	81%	37-59	63%	6-22	27%

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19 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paul Reed #44 · C · 6'9" 210 · 25	42.1	30	71%	13	1	2	0	0	5	3	10	0-0	-	12-17	71%	2-4	50%
Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SG · 6'8" 210 · 28	39.8	25	63%	5	4	0	2	1	5	2	3	6-7	86%	8-13	62%	1-4	25%
Patrick Beverley #22 · PG · 6'1" 185 · 36	36.6	17	61%	4	11	0	2	4	3	0	4	4-4	100%	5-9	56%	1-3	33%
Marcus Morris Sr. #5 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 34	33.0	17	50%	4	2	0	0	1	2	0	4	2-2	100%	6-11	55%	1-5	20%
Nicolas Batum #40 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 35	25.9	0	0%	4	2	0	0	1	3	0	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-

Danuel House Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 31	27.8	6	43%	3	0	2	1	0	4	1	2	0-1	0%	3-4	75%	0-3	0%
KJ Martin #1 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 23	18.7	7	58%	4	1	0	0	2	4	0	4	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Furkan Korkmaz #30 · SG · 6'7" 190 · 27	9.1	3	75%	1	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Jaden Springer #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 21	7.0	0	0%	1	1	0	1	2	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Ricky Council IV #16 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22
Terquavion Smith #23 · PG · 6'4" 160 · 21
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 30	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Robert Covington #33 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bone Bruise
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Tobias Harris #12 · PF · 6'8" 226 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Lumbar Spine Stress Response
Mo Bamba #7 · C · 7'0" 231 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Inflammation
Kenneth Lofton Jr. #35 · PF · 6'7" 275 · 21	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	59%	39	25	5	3	11	29	6	33	13-16	81%	37-59	63%	6-22	27%

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3 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	36.8	23	68%	3	7	1	1	2	1	0	3	1-4	25%	2-5	40%	6-10	60%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	36.7	26	54%	16	7	2	0	3	3	5	11	10-16	63%	8-15	53%	0-1	0%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	35.1	20	53%	8	2	0	0	1	2	3	5	0-0	-	4-7	57%	4-12	33%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	32.9	8	40%	1	2	0	0	0	3	0	1	4-4	100%	2-5	40%	0-3	0%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	31.1	18	82%	4	2	1	0	1	1	2	2	4-6	67%	4-5	80%	2-3	67%

Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	20.9	9	45%	3	3	1	1	0	1	0	3	3-6	50%	3-4	75%	0-3	0%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	18.3	3	25%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	16.9	2	33%	0	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	11.3	2	100%	6	0	0	1	0	2	3	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Contusion/Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	53%	44	25	5	6	7	15	13	31	24-38	63%	24-45	53%	13-37	35%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	PHI	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	PHI	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

PHI

1.18 59.0%

DEN

1.06 52.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

PHI

76%

DEN

71%

Midrange

PHI

50%

DEN

43%

3PT | Effective 3PT

PHI

9.0

27%

41%

DEN

19.5

35%

53%

Free Throws

PHI

81%

DEN

63%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

76ers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Reed	30	71%	15.0 / 21
K. Oubre	25	63%	12.5 / 20
P. Beverley	17	61%	8.5 / 14
M. Morris	17	50%	8.5 / 17
K. Martin	7	58%	3.5 / 6
D. House	6	43%	3.0 / 7
F. Korkmaz	3	75%	1.5 / 2
N. Batum	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	26	54%	13.0 / 24
J. Murray	23	68%	11.5 / 17
M. Porter	20	53%	10.0 / 19
A. Gordon	18	82%	9.0 / 11
P. Watson	9	45%	4.5 / 10
K. Caldwell-Pope	8	40%	4.0 / 10
R. Jackson	3	25%	1.5 / 6
C. Braun	2	33%	1.0 / 3
D. Jordan	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	14 116.2 5 117.9	PHI 112.9 DEN 118.1 +5.2
Pace	18 98.2 26 97.4	PHI 97.5 +5.9 DEN 91.7
Avg. Poss. Time	12 14.8 4 15.0	PHI 14.8 −0.9 DEN 15.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 53.2% 8 56.2%	PHI 56.8% +3.8% DEN 53.0%
TO %	1 11.4% 7 12.1%	PHI 11.1% DEN 7.5% −3.6%
ORB %	13 24.8% 6 25.5%	PHI 16.2% DEN 28.3% +12.1%
FTrt	6 26.4 24 22.4	PHI 19.8 DEN 46.3 +26.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	25 60.0% 5 66.9%	PHI 58.1% DEN 67.6% +9.5%
STL %	1 8.6% 20 7.3%	PHI 5.4% +0.1% DEN 5.3%
BLK %	5 10.8% 25 8.7%	PHI 6.7% DEN 10.2% +3.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	19 56.1% 11 57.5%	PHI 59.0% +6.1% DEN 52.9%
Rim FG%	27 60.9% 17 63.6%	PHI 75.9% +5.3% DEN 70.6%
Mid FG%	17 42.0% 3 47.0%	PHI 50.0% +7.1% DEN 42.9%
3P %	18 36.3% 10 37.4%	PHI 27.3% DEN 35.1% +7.8%
FT %	2 82.6% 25 76.2%	PHI 81.3% +18.1% DEN 63.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	9 34.8% 4 36.0%	PHI 35.8% +15.1% DEN 20.7%
Mid Att. %	21 28.0% 25 28.8%	PHI 37.0% DEN 34.1% −2.9%
3P Att. %	23 37.3% 30 35.2%	PHI 27.2% DEN 45.1% +18.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	PHI	DEN
Possessions	93	94
Possession Minutes	22.9	24.6
Points	105	111
Rebounds	39	44
Assists	25	25
Steals	5	5
Blocks	3	6
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	7 (1)
Fouls	29	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (1)	13 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (2)	31 (3)
Field Goals	43-81	37-82
At-the-Rim FG	22-29	12-17
Midrange FG	15-30	12-28
2-Point FG	37-59	24-45
3-Point FG	6-22	13-37
Free Throws	13-16	24-38
Fast Break Pts	11	5
2nd Chance Pts	10	16
Points in Paint	60	38
Pts off Turnovers	8	12
Bench Points	16	16
Biggest Lead	2	10

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg