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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 27, 2024
5:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1976ers32%106105
3Nuggets68%113111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 35.1
25.9
24.4
0
0%
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
59%
0-0
-
Marcus Morris Sr.
F · 6'9" 235 · 34.4
33.0
12.3
17
50%
4
2
0
0
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
6-11
1-2
55%
48%
1-5
20%
Paul Reed
F · 6'9" 210 · 24.6
42.1
15.5
30
71%
13
1
2
1
0
0
3
10
0-0
-
12-17
2-4
71%
58%
2-4
50%
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 28.1
39.8
23.4
25
62%
5
4
0
1
2
1
2
3
6-7
86%
8-13
2-4
62%
53%
1-4
25%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 35.5
36.6
22.6
17
62%
4
11
0
1
2
4
0
4
4-4
100%
5-9
1-3
56%
51%
1-3
33%
Danuel House Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 30.6
27.8
18.8
6
40%
3
0
2
0
1
0
1
2
0-1
0%
3-4
1-2
75%
55%
0-3
0%
KJ Martin
F · 6'6" 215 · 23.1
18.7
18.3
7
60%
4
1
0
0
0
2
0
4
1-2
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
63%
0-1
0%
Furkan Korkmaz
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 26.5
9.1
11.8
3
75%
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
1-2
50%
Jaden Springer
G · 6'3" 202 · 21.3
7.0
11.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
51%
0-0
-
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 29.9
32.5
1
10-18
56%
Terquavion Smith
G · 6'4" 160 · 21.1
6.6
0
1-1
50%
Ricky Council IV
G · 6'6" 207 · 22.5
6.5
0
1-1
52%
Mo Bamba
C · 7'1" 225 · 25.7
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.5
De'Anthony Melton
G · 6'3" 193 · 25.7
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 33.1
Kenneth Lofton Jr.
F · 6'7" 275 · 21.5
Tyrese Maxey
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 25.6
35.1
27.4
20
53%
8
2
0
0
0
1
3
5
0-0
-
4-7
3-5
57%
58%
4-12
33%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.4
31.1
30.9
18
85%
4
2
1
1
0
1
2
2
4-6
67%
4-5
4-7
80%
60%
2-3
67%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.9
36.7
31.8
26
56%
16
7
2
1
0
3
5
11
10-16
63%
8-15
8-13
53%
63%
0-1
0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.9
32.9
28.4
8
41%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
52%
0-3
0%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 26.9
36.8
32.9
23
69%
3
7
1
1
1
2
0
3
1-4
25%
2-5
6-12
40%
52%
6-10
60%
Peyton Watson
G · 6'8" 200 · 21.4
20.9
19.1
9
47%
3
3
1
0
1
0
0
3
3-6
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
55%
0-3
0%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 33.8
18.3
21.9
3
25%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
3-5
0%
49%
1-4
25%
Christian Braun
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.8
16.9
14.9
2
35%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
54%
0-1
0%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.5
11.3
9.5
2
100%
6
0
0
0
1
0
3
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
67%
0-0
-
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 34.8
6.0
0
0-0
50%
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 23.0
4.4
0
1-1
60%
Jalen Pickett
G · 6'4" 202 · 24.3
4.1
0
0-0
53%
Jay Huff
F · 7'1" 240 · 26.4
3.4
0
0-0
59%
Hunter Tyson
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.6
3.3
0
0-0
53%
Collin Gillespie
G · 6'3" 195 · 24.6
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 26.8
Julian Strawther
G · 6'7" 205 · 21.8
Braxton Key
F · 6'8" 225 · 26.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.