Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, January 27, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	5	Timberwolves	75%	114	112	121.7	92	90.3
	27	Spurs	25%	104	113	122.8	92	93.7

Scoring Opportunities

MIN

-13

SAS

+16

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.27 63.6%

SAS

1.22 60.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

5 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 22	38.4	32	80%	6	12	1	0	4	0	1	5	2-4	50%	6-10	60%	6-8	75%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 32	36.8	19	86%	7	1	1	1	1	4	2	5	3-4	75%	8-9	89%	0-0	-
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 23	33.4	7	58%	3	2	4	0	0	2	0	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 25	32.6	11	79%	4	7	1	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-4	75%
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · PF · 7'0" 248 · 28	32.2	19	59%	5	4	1	2	3	3	0	5	0-1	0%	8-12	67%	1-4	25%

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 24	21.9	13	50%	2	0	0	3	1	2	0	2	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	2-5	40%
Kyle Anderson #1 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 30	19.3	4	29%	3	1	1	0	1	0	2	1	0-2	0%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Shake Milton #18 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	16.2	7	70%	1	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-1	100%
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 28	9.1	0	0%	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Troy Brown Jr. #23 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daishen Nix #12 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Soreness
Jaylen Clark #0 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Rupture Rehab
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	64%	32	30	9	7	13	13	7	25	8-15	53%	31-53	58%	14-26	54%

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5 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 22	38.4	32	80%	6	12	1	0	4	0	1	5	2-4	50%	6-10	60%	6-8	75%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 32	36.8	19	86%	7	1	1	1	1	4	2	5	3-4	75%	8-9	89%	0-0	-
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 23	33.4	7	58%	3	2	4	0	0	2	0	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 25	32.6	11	79%	4	7	1	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-4	75%
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · PF · 7'0" 248 · 28	32.2	19	59%	5	4	1	2	3	3	0	5	0-1	0%	8-12	67%	1-4	25%

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 24	21.9	13	50%	2	0	0	3	1	2	0	2	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	2-5	40%
Kyle Anderson #1 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 30	19.3	4	29%	3	1	1	0	1	0	2	1	0-2	0%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Shake Milton #18 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	16.2	7	70%	1	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-1	100%
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 28	9.1	0	0%	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Troy Brown Jr. #23 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daishen Nix #12 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Soreness
Jaylen Clark #0 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Rupture Rehab
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	64%	32	30	9	7	13	13	7	25	8-15	53%	31-53	58%	14-26	54%

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27 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 23	36.0	25	74%	4	5	2	0	2	2	0	4	0-0	-	8-11	73%	3-6	50%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 21	30.7	13	59%	4	2	0	1	2	0	2	2	3-4	75%	5-8	63%	0-1	0%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 20	29.8	23	61%	10	6	2	2	6	3	0	10	2-5	40%	6-11	55%	3-6	50%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 24	28.5	12	86%	3	11	0	0	2	3	3	0	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-3	67%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 23	17.8	4	40%	3	0	0	0	0	1	2	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	1-3	33%

Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	27.0	14	47%	7	2	2	2	1	2	5	2	1-2	50%	5-11	45%	1-3	33%
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 21	19.5	2	50%	0	3	0	1	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 21	18.3	9	75%	4	1	0	1	0	1	2	2	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Doug McDermott #17 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	16.8	9	90%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-5	60%
Cedi Osman #16 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 29	15.7	2	25%	3	4	1	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Devonte' Graham #4 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Mamadi Diakite #29 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Zach Collins #23 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Soreness
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Acl; Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	61%	39	35	7	6	15	14	14	25	8-15	53%	33-54	61%	13-30	43%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	SAS

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.27 63.6%

SAS

1.22 60.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIN

69%

SAS

55%

Midrange

MIN

39%

SAS

71%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIN

21.0

54%

81%

SAS

19.5

43%

65%

Free Throws

MIN

53%

SAS

53%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Edwards	32	80%	16.0 / 20
R. Gobert	19	86%	9.5 / 11
K. Towns	19	59%	9.5 / 16
N. Reid	13	50%	6.5 / 13
N. Alexander-Walker	11	79%	5.5 / 7
J. McDaniels	7	58%	3.5 / 6
S. Milton	7	70%	3.5 / 5
K. Anderson	4	29%	2.0 / 7
J. McLaughlin	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Vassell	25	74%	12.5 / 17
V. Wembanyama	23	61%	11.5 / 19
K. Johnson	14	47%	7.0 / 15
J. Sochan	13	59%	6.5 / 11
T. Jones	12	86%	6.0 / 7
D. Barlow	9	75%	4.5 / 6
D. McDermott	9	90%	4.5 / 5
J. Champagnie	4	40%	2.0 / 5
B. Wesley	2	50%	1.0 / 2
C. Osman	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 114.7 26 109.4	MIN 121.7 SAS 122.8 +1.1
Pace	22 97.9 3 101.7	MIN 90.3 SAS 93.7 +3.4
Avg. Poss. Time	3 15.0 25 14.1	MIN 15.9 SAS 15.4 −0.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	10 55.9% 23 53.2%	MIN 65.8% +3.3% SAS 62.5%
TO %	22 13.6% 26 14.3%	MIN 13.2% −1.0% SAS 14.2%
ORB %	22 23.1% 23 22.9%	MIN 21.9% SAS 35.9% +14.0%
FTrt	5 27.0 28 22.0	MIN 19.0 +1.1 SAS 17.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 64.6% 1 71.2%	MIN 66.7% SAS 76.1% +9.4%
STL %	6 8.0% 23 6.9%	MIN 9.8% +2.2% SAS 7.6%
BLK %	4 11.0% 10 9.7%	MIN 13.0% +1.7% SAS 11.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.62 and 2.62.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 57.7% 25 55.1%	MIN 63.6% +2.8% SAS 60.8%
Rim FG%	15 64.3% 16 64.1%	MIN 68.6% +14.1% SAS 54.5%
Mid FG%	16 42.6% 24 40.5%	MIN 38.9% SAS 71.4% +32.5%
3P %	3 38.7% 28 34.7%	MIN 53.8% +10.5% SAS 43.3%
FT %	18 77.7% 14 78.2%	MIN 53.3% SAS 53.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 34.1% 13 34.2%	MIN 44.3% +5.0% SAS 39.3%
Mid Att. %	16 27.5% 9 25.7%	MIN 22.8% −2.2% SAS 25.0%
3P Att. %	17 38.4% 12 40.1%	MIN 32.9% SAS 35.7% +2.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIN	SAS
Possessions	92	92
Possession Minutes	24.4	23.6
Points	112	113
Rebounds	32	39
Assists	30	35
Steals	9	7
Blocks	7	6
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	15 (0)
Fouls	13	14
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (2)	14 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (1)	25 (4)
Field Goals	45-79	46-84
At-the-Rim FG	24-35	18-33
Midrange FG	7-18	15-21
2-Point FG	31-53	33-54
3-Point FG	14-26	13-30
Free Throws	8-15	8-15
Fast Break Pts	7	12
2nd Chance Pts	9	17
Points in Paint	60	52
Pts off Turnovers	14	14
Bench Points	24	36
Biggest Lead	15	6

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg