Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, January 27, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	13	Kings	53%	119	120	120.0	100	98.8
	18	Mavericks	47%	118	115	115.0	100	101.1

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

-13

DAL

+18

-10

108

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.25 62.5%

DAL

1.06 53.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

13 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 23	39.6	15	47%	4	2	0	3	0	4	1	3	4-6	67%	4-7	57%	1-6	17%
Harrison Barnes #40 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	38.0	20	83%	6	3	1	1	0	1	1	5	4-5	80%	2-4	50%	4-7	57%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	37.4	34	61%	3	5	2	2	2	3	1	2	7-8	88%	12-19	63%	1-5	20%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28	36.3	17	77%	11	4	0	0	6	6	3	8	2-2	100%	6-9	67%	1-1	100%
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	30.1	18	82%	4	5	0	2	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	3-3	100%	4-8	50%

Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	19.5	9	56%	3	6	0	0	3	0	0	3	5-7	71%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 28	17.4	1	17%	4	1	0	1	1	2	0	4	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 25	10.6	0	0%	2	1	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
JaVale McGee #00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 36	10.4	6	75%	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Kessler Edwards #17 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 23	0.7	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Chris Duarte #3 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan Ford #31 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Sasha Vezenkov #7 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	63%	39	27	4	2	13	20	6	33	23-30	77%	32-50	64%	11-30	37%

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13 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 23	39.6	15	47%	4	2	0	3	0	4	1	3	4-6	67%	4-7	57%	1-6	17%
Harrison Barnes #40 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	38.0	20	83%	6	3	1	1	0	1	1	5	4-5	80%	2-4	50%	4-7	57%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	37.4	34	61%	3	5	2	2	2	3	1	2	7-8	88%	12-19	63%	1-5	20%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28	36.3	17	77%	11	4	0	0	6	6	3	8	2-2	100%	6-9	67%	1-1	100%
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	30.1	18	82%	4	5	0	2	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	3-3	100%	4-8	50%

Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	19.5	9	56%	3	6	0	0	3	0	0	3	5-7	71%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 28	17.4	1	17%	4	1	0	1	1	2	0	4	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 25	10.6	0	0%	2	1	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
JaVale McGee #00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 36	10.4	6	75%	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Kessler Edwards #17 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 23	0.7	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Chris Duarte #3 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan Ford #31 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Sasha Vezenkov #7 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	63%	39	27	4	2	13	20	6	33	23-30	77%	32-50	64%	11-30	37%

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18 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 25	46.1	28	45%	10	17	2	1	3	3	2	8	9-12	75%	8-17	47%	1-9	11%
Grant Williams #3 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 25	38.4	27	79%	8	3	3	1	0	5	3	5	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	7-10	70%
Josh Green #8 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 23	33.4	11	55%	3	5	0	0	2	2	0	3	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	2-6	33%
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 20	31.1	13	65%	9	0	1	0	1	5	4	5	1-2	50%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 22	18.9	3	21%	5	7	0	0	1	2	2	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-5	20%

Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 32	35.8	19	56%	4	1	0	0	1	2	0	4	0-0	-	5-8	63%	3-9	33%
Maxi Kleber #42 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 32	12.9	5	42%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Seth Curry #30 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 33	11.4	7	70%	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-3	33%
Richaun Holmes #20 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 30	8.2	0	0%	0	0	1	0	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
A.J. Lawson #9 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 24	3.8	2	50%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Brandon Williams #00 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Markieff Morris #88 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Greg Brown III #13 · PF · 6'8" 206 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kyrie Irving #11 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; Sprain
Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Wrist; Sprain
Danté Exum #0 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Eye; Corneal Abrasion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	53%	43	35	7	10	10	24	13	30	13-18	72%	27-52	52%	16-46	35%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	DAL
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	DAL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.25 62.5%

DAL

1.06 53.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

86%

DAL

78%

Midrange

SAC

46%

DAL

24%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

16.5

37%

55%

DAL

24.0

35%

52%

Free Throws

SAC

77%

DAL

72%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Fox	34	61%	17.0 / 28
H. Barnes	20	83%	10.0 / 12
K. Huerter	18	82%	9.0 / 11
D. Sabonis	17	77%	8.5 / 11
K. Murray	15	47%	7.5 / 16
M. Monk	9	56%	4.5 / 8
J. McGee	6	75%	3.0 / 4
T. Lyles	1	17%	0.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Dončić	28	45%	14.0 / 31
G. Williams	27	79%	13.5 / 17
T. Hardaway	19	56%	9.5 / 17
D. Lively	13	65%	6.5 / 10
J. Green	11	55%	5.5 / 10
S. Curry	7	70%	3.5 / 5
M. Kleber	5	42%	2.5 / 6
J. Hardy	3	21%	1.5 / 7
A. Lawson	2	50%	1.0 / 2
R. Holmes	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	13 116.3 8 117.0	SAC 120.0 +5.0 DAL 115.0
Pace	14 99.4 7 100.6	SAC 98.8 DAL 101.1 +2.3
Avg. Poss. Time	26 14.1 20 14.3	SAC 14.6 DAL 14.2 −0.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	14 55.6% 7 56.2%	SAC 60.6% +8.6% DAL 52.0%
TO %	12 12.5% 5 12.0%	SAC 13.1% DAL 8.6% −4.5%
ORB %	14 24.5% 24 22.2%	SAC 16.7% DAL 28.3% +11.6%
FTrt	22 22.9 13 25.1	SAC 37.5 +19.1 DAL 18.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	7 65.4% 26 59.6%	SAC 62.8% DAL 81.4% +18.6%
STL %	14 7.6% 27 6.8%	SAC 4.0% DAL 7.0% +3.0%
BLK %	27 8.6% 26 8.7%	SAC 3.8% DAL 20.0% +16.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 57.0% 8 58.1%	SAC 62.5% +9.3% DAL 53.2%
Rim FG%	6 66.0% 3 68.0%	SAC 86.4% +8.6% DAL 77.8%
Mid FG%	9 44.9% 10 44.7%	SAC 46.4% +22.4% DAL 24.0%
3P %	16 36.6% 13 36.9%	SAC 36.7% +1.9% DAL 34.8%
FT %	30 74.5% 27 75.8%	SAC 76.7% +4.5% DAL 72.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	27 30.0% 30 29.3%	SAC 27.5% DAL 27.6% +0.1%
Mid Att. %	14 26.8% 13 26.6%	SAC 35.0% DAL 25.5% −9.5%
3P Att. %	3 43.2% 2 44.1%	SAC 37.5% DAL 46.9% +9.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAC	DAL
Possessions	100	100
Possession Minutes	24.3	23.7
Points	120	115
Rebounds	39	43
Assists	27	35
Steals	4	7
Blocks	2	10
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	10 (0)
Fouls	20	24
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (3)	13 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (5)	30 (1)
Field Goals	43-80	43-98
At-the-Rim FG	19-22	21-27
Midrange FG	13-28	6-25
2-Point FG	32-50	27-52
3-Point FG	11-30	16-46
Free Throws	23-30	13-18
Fast Break Pts	17	21
2nd Chance Pts	9	16
Points in Paint	54	44
Pts off Turnovers	15	22
Bench Points	16	33
Biggest Lead	23	8

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg