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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 28, 2024
3:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Grizzlies
110
14Pacers
116
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Vince Williams Jr.
G · 6'6" 205 · 23.4
36
33
20
8
1
0
1
0
0
4
4
2-4
50%
6-9
2-3
67%
55%
2-3
67%
Santi Aldama
F-C · 6'11" 215 · 23.0
28
21
10
6
1
0
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
57%
2-5
40%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 24.4
32
33
25
5
4
2
1
1
4
0
5
11-12
92%
7-14
7-13
50%
54%
0-3
0%
David Roddy
F · 6'6" 255 · 22.8
32
23
14
5
1
1
1
1
0
1
4
2-2
100%
3-6
3-5
50%
52%
2-7
29%
John Konchar
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.9
30
26
9
7
4
0
1
2
2
2
5
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
57%
1-2
50%
GG Jackson
F · 6'9" 210 · 19.1
29
17
18
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
3
4-5
80%
4-5
2-3
80%
55%
2-4
50%
Scotty Pippen Jr.
G · 6'3" 170 · 23.2
17
12
4
3
4
0
0
0
3
1
2
1-2
50%
0-3
1-3
0%
51%
1-2
50%
Xavier Tillman
F · 6'8" 245 · 25.0
17
17
3
4
1
1
1
2
0
3
1
3-6
50%
0-3
2-4
0%
57%
0-0
-
Ziaire Williams
F · 6'8" 185 · 22.4
14
22
4
3
3
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
54%
0-3
0%
Jacob Gilyard
G · 5'9" 160 · 25.5
5
16
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
1-1
100%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 35.3
4
0
1-1
50%
Jake LaRavia
F · 6'8" 235 · 22.2
3
0
0-0
59%
Desmond Bane
G · 6'6" 215 · 25.6
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.5
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 29.9
Brandon Clarke
F · 6'8" 207 · 27.4
Ja Morant
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.5
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Aaron Nesmith
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.3
37
29
16
7
6
2
1
1
1
1
6
2-3
67%
4-5
3-5
80%
56%
2-6
33%
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'9" 230 · 29.8
35
30
19
6
6
2
1
0
1
0
6
3-3
100%
8-11
6-11
73%
55%
0-2
0%
Jalen Smith
F-C · 6'10" 215 · 23.9
30
15
19
10
2
0
0
2
1
3
7
0-0
-
5-7
2-3
71%
63%
3-6
50%
Buddy Hield
G · 6'4" 214 · 30.1
19
22
3
3
3
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
55%
1-4
25%
Andrew Nembhard
G-F · 6'5" 191 · 24.0
37
27
16
4
9
1
1
0
1
2
2
4-4
100%
3-9
4-7
33%
55%
2-5
40%
Bennedict Mathurin
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 21.6
30
23
24
7
1
1
1
1
2
0
7
3-3
100%
6-9
4-7
67%
52%
3-5
60%
Ben Sheppard
G · 6'6" 190 · 22.5
20
15
6
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
53%
2-4
50%
Obi Toppin
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.9
17
23
3
0
2
1
1
0
2
0
0
1-1
100%
1-3
3-5
33%
67%
0-2
0%
Isaiah Jackson
F · 6'10" 205 · 22.0
14
6
10
7
1
0
0
1
0
5
2
2-2
100%
4-5
1-2
80%
61%
0-1
0%
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 31.8
20
1
4-7
56%
Jarace Walker
F · 6'8" 235 · 20.4
6
0
1-1
54%
Kendall Brown
G · 6'8" 205 · 20.7
2
0
0-0
54%
Oscar Tshiebwe
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 24.2
2
0
0-1
55%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 36.9
1
0
0-0
53%
Isaiah Wong
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.0
0
0
0-0
57%
Myles Turner
C · 6'11" 255 · 27.8
Tyrese Haliburton
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.