Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	8	Suns	44%	111	118	122.9	96	89.7
	16	Heat	56%	114	105	109.4	96	103.2

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kevin Durant #35 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 35	41.8	20	63%	8	7	1	2	1	0	2	6	2-2	100%	6-10	60%	2-5	40%
Devin Booker #1 · PG · 6'5" 206 · 27	40.6	22	46%	8	7	1	1	0	2	0	8	2-3	67%	7-13	54%	2-10	20%
Bradley Beal #3 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 31	38.8	19	45%	5	7	1	0	1	3	0	5	1-1	100%	6-12	50%	2-9	22%
Jusuf Nurkić #20 · C · 6'11" 290 · 29	26.6	6	60%	8	2	2	0	1	6	0	8	0-1	0%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Grayson Allen #8 · SF · 6'3" 198 · 28	13.4	3	38%	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	3-4	75%	0-2	0%	0-0	-

Eric Gordon #23 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 35	33.5	23	64%	4	5	2	2	3	2	2	2	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	5-12	42%
Drew Eubanks #14 · C · 6'10" 245 · 27	21.4	11	110%	5	1	0	1	0	2	3	2	1-1	100%	5-5	100%	0-0	-
Josh Okogie #2 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 25	18.2	11	92%	7	0	1	1	0	1	3	4	1-3	33%	2-3	67%	2-2	100%
Keita Bates-Diop #21 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 28	5.7	3	150%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Udoka Azubuike #27 · C · 7'0" 280 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chimezie Metu #4 · C · 6'10" 219 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nassir Little #25 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Yuta Watanabe #18 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan Goodwin #0 · PG · 6'3" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Theo Maledon #12 · PG · 6'5" 175 · 23	INACTIVE
Saben Lee #38 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 25	INACTIVE
Damion Lee #10 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Meniscus; Surgery
Bol Bol #11 · PF · 7'2" 208 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	57%	47	30	8	8	7	16	10	37	12-17	71%	32-54	59%	14-40	35%

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8 Phoenix Suns

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kevin Durant #35 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 35	41.8	20	63%	8	7	1	2	1	0	2	6	2-2	100%	6-10	60%	2-5	40%
Devin Booker #1 · PG · 6'5" 206 · 27	40.6	22	46%	8	7	1	1	0	2	0	8	2-3	67%	7-13	54%	2-10	20%
Bradley Beal #3 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 31	38.8	19	45%	5	7	1	0	1	3	0	5	1-1	100%	6-12	50%	2-9	22%
Jusuf Nurkić #20 · C · 6'11" 290 · 29	26.6	6	60%	8	2	2	0	1	6	0	8	0-1	0%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Grayson Allen #8 · SF · 6'3" 198 · 28	13.4	3	38%	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	3-4	75%	0-2	0%	0-0	-

Eric Gordon #23 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 35	33.5	23	64%	4	5	2	2	3	2	2	2	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	5-12	42%
Drew Eubanks #14 · C · 6'10" 245 · 27	21.4	11	110%	5	1	0	1	0	2	3	2	1-1	100%	5-5	100%	0-0	-
Josh Okogie #2 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 25	18.2	11	92%	7	0	1	1	0	1	3	4	1-3	33%	2-3	67%	2-2	100%
Keita Bates-Diop #21 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 28	5.7	3	150%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Udoka Azubuike #27 · C · 7'0" 280 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chimezie Metu #4 · C · 6'10" 219 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nassir Little #25 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Yuta Watanabe #18 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan Goodwin #0 · PG · 6'3" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Theo Maledon #12 · PG · 6'5" 175 · 23	INACTIVE
Saben Lee #38 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 25	INACTIVE
Damion Lee #10 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Meniscus; Surgery
Bol Bol #11 · PF · 7'2" 208 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	57%	47	30	8	8	7	16	10	37	12-17	71%	32-54	59%	14-40	35%

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16 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 34	37.3	26	81%	8	4	1	0	0	1	5	3	10-10	100%	5-10	50%	2-2	100%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 27	35.2	8	40%	11	5	1	3	4	2	0	11	2-2	100%	3-9	33%	0-0	-
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	34.4	17	45%	6	4	0	0	0	1	0	6	2-2	100%	0-6	0%	5-12	42%
Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 30	27.4	21	75%	2	3	0	1	1	2	0	2	1-1	100%	4-8	50%	4-6	67%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · PF · 6'5" 220 · 27	15.3	3	50%	2	0	0	0	0	3	0	2	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%

Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 23	25.3	2	14%	3	1	1	0	2	1	0	3	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-4	0%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 28	24.5	12	67%	6	1	0	0	2	3	2	4	1-1	100%	4-8	50%	1-1	100%
Josh Richardson #0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 30	23.9	12	67%	4	2	2	0	1	1	1	3	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	2-4	50%
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 35	12.8	4	33%	2	0	0	1	1	2	0	2	4-4	100%	0-0	-	0-4	0%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 30	3.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Thomas Bryant #31 · C · 6'9" 248 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Cole Swider #21 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
R.J. Hampton #4 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dru Smith #9 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	54%	44	20	5	5	11	18	8	36	25-25	100%	19-48	40%	14-36	39%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	PHX	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	PHX	MIA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

PHX

1.15 57.3%

MIA

1.07 53.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

PHX

14

21

67%

MIA

15

22

68%

Midrange

PHX

18

33

55%

MIA

4

26

15%

3PT | Effective 3PT

PHX

14

21.0

40

35%

53%

MIA

14

21.0

36

39%

58%

Free Throws

PHX

12

17

71%

MIA

25

100%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Suns

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
E. Gordon	23	64%	11.5 / 18
D. Booker	22	46%	11.0 / 24
K. Durant	20	63%	10.0 / 16
B. Beal	19	45%	9.5 / 21
D. Eubanks	11	110%	5.5 / 5
J. Okogie	11	92%	5.5 / 6
J. Nurkić	6	60%	3.0 / 5
G. Allen	3	38%	1.5 / 4
K. Bates-Diop	3	150%	1.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Butler	26	81%	13.0 / 16
T. Rozier	21	75%	10.5 / 14
T. Herro	17	45%	8.5 / 19
C. Martin	12	67%	6.0 / 9
J. Richardson	12	67%	6.0 / 9
B. Adebayo	8	40%	4.0 / 10
K. Love	4	33%	2.0 / 6
H. Highsmith	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. Jaquez	2	14%	1.0 / 7
D. Robinson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	9 116.9 21 113.3	PHX 122.9 +13.5 MIA 109.4
Pace	15 98.9 29 97.0	PHX 89.7 MIA 103.2 +13.5
Avg. Poss. Time	6 14.9 10 14.8	PHX 16.0 MIA 14.0 −2.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	6 56.5% 20 53.8%	PHX 56.4% +8.8% MIA 47.6%
TO %	25 14.2% 9 12.2%	PHX 7.3% −4.7% MIA 12.0%
ORB %	11 25.0% 26 21.8%	PHX 21.7% +3.9% MIA 17.8%
FTrt	3 27.1 8 25.7	PHX 18.1 MIA 29.8 +11.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	14 63.7% 11 64.8%	PHX 65.2% +4.6% MIA 60.6%
STL %	17 7.5% 11 7.7%	PHX 8.3% +3.1% MIA 5.2%
BLK %	6 10.7% 30 7.7%	PHX 16.7% +7.4% MIA 9.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	4 58.9% 17 56.2%	PHX 57.3% +3.7% MIA 53.6%
Rim FG%	12 65.2% 23 61.6%	PHX 66.7% MIA 68.2% +1.5%
Mid FG%	2 47.7% 13 44.3%	PHX 54.5% +39.1% MIA 15.4%
3P %	5 38.2% 12 37.0%	PHX 35.0% MIA 38.9% +3.9%
FT %	6 80.8% 5 81.8%	PHX 70.6% MIA 100.0% +29.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	28 29.8% 29 29.5%	PHX 22.3% MIA 26.2% +3.9%
Mid Att. %	30 32.4% 28 31.1%	PHX 35.1% MIA 31.0% −4.2%
3P Att. %	21 37.8% 14 39.4%	PHX 42.6% MIA 42.9% +0.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Game Totals	PHX	MIA
Possessions	96	96
Possession Minutes	25.7	22.3
Points	118	105
Rebounds	47	44
Assists	30	20
Steals	8	5
Blocks	8	5
Turnovers (Team)	7 (1)	11 (2)
Fouls	16	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (4)	8 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (1)	36 (3)
Field Goals	46-94	33-84
At-the-Rim FG	14-21	15-22
Midrange FG	18-33	4-26
2-Point FG	32-54	19-48
3-Point FG	14-40	14-36
Free Throws	12-17	25-25
Fast Break Pts	16	16
2nd Chance Pts	25	21
Points in Paint	46	32
Pts off Turnovers	12	11
Bench Points	48	30
Biggest Lead	28	7

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg