Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	11	Kings	49%	114	106	109.3	97	100.9
	15	Heat	51%	115	115	118.6	97	93.4

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	38.7	14	58%	3	4	1	0	1	4	1	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	2-6	33%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 23	38.5	33	87%	5	2	1	2	0	5	1	4	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	7-11	64%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28	38.0	19	59%	17	13	1	1	1	0	4	13	4-6	67%	6-13	46%	1-1	100%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	36.9	13	34%	5	3	2	0	2	3	0	5	4-6	67%	3-8	38%	1-8	13%
Harrison Barnes #40 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	36.9	9	32%	5	1	0	0	1	1	2	3	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	0-6	0%

Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 28	17.8	5	42%	4	2	1	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	14.3	6	38%	0	0	0	0	3	2	0	0	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-4	0%
Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 25	12.0	3	75%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
JaVale McGee #00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 36	5.7	4	67%	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	0-1	0%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Kessler Edwards #17 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 23	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Chris Duarte #3 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 27
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 31
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 24
Jordan Ford #31 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Sasha Vezenkov #7 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	52%	44	26	6	2	9	17	12	32	12-18	67%	29-53	55%	12-40	30%

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11 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	38.7	14	58%	3	4	1	0	1	4	1	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	2-6	33%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 23	38.5	33	87%	5	2	1	2	0	5	1	4	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	7-11	64%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28	38.0	19	59%	17	13	1	1	1	0	4	13	4-6	67%	6-13	46%	1-1	100%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	36.9	13	34%	5	3	2	0	2	3	0	5	4-6	67%	3-8	38%	1-8	13%
Harrison Barnes #40 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	36.9	9	32%	5	1	0	0	1	1	2	3	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	0-6	0%

Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 28	17.8	5	42%	4	2	1	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	14.3	6	38%	0	0	0	0	3	2	0	0	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-4	0%
Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 25	12.0	3	75%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
JaVale McGee #00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 36	5.7	4	67%	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	0-1	0%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Kessler Edwards #17 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 23	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Chris Duarte #3 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 27
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 31
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 24
Jordan Ford #31 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Sasha Vezenkov #7 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	52%	44	26	6	2	9	17	12	32	12-18	67%	29-53	55%	12-40	30%

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15 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 34	34.6	31	82%	7	6	1	0	1	2	1	6	9-12	75%	8-11	73%	2-3	67%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 27	31.6	16	57%	11	4	0	0	0	4	2	9	0-0	-	8-14	57%	0-0	-
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	31.3	14	58%	8	8	0	0	2	1	1	7	4-6	67%	2-5	40%	2-4	50%
Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 30	29.5	3	19%	5	10	2	1	1	1	1	4	0-0	-	0-4	0%	1-4	25%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · PF · 6'5" 220 · 27	16.3	4	50%	2	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%

Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 28	28.1	7	50%	3	2	0	0	1	3	0	3	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Josh Richardson #0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 30	27.3	24	80%	5	3	0	1	0	2	0	5	0-0	-	3-5	60%	6-10	60%
Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 23	24.9	8	40%	4	1	0	0	2	2	0	4	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	0-1	0%
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 35	13.7	8	80%	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	2	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	2-3	67%
Thomas Bryant #31 · C · 6'9" 248 · 27	2.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 21
Cole Swider #21 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 25
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 25	INACTIVE
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 30	INACTIVE
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
R.J. Hampton #4 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dru Smith #9 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	59%	49	38	3	3	8	16	7	42	18-23	78%	29-56	52%	13-28	46%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	MIA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.04 52.0%

MIA

1.17 58.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

13

14

93%

MIA

9

12

75%

Midrange

SAC

16

39

41%

MIA

20

44

45%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

12

18.0

40

30%

45%

MIA

13

19.5

28

46%

70%

Free Throws

SAC

12

18

67%

MIA

18

23

78%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Murray	33	87%	16.5 / 19
D. Sabonis	19	59%	9.5 / 16
K. Huerter	14	58%	7.0 / 12
D. Fox	13	34%	6.5 / 19
H. Barnes	9	32%	4.5 / 14
M. Monk	6	38%	3.0 / 8
T. Lyles	5	42%	2.5 / 6
J. McGee	4	67%	2.0 / 3
D. Mitchell	3	75%	1.5 / 2
K. Edwards	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Butler	31	82%	15.5 / 19
J. Richardson	24	80%	12.0 / 15
B. Adebayo	16	57%	8.0 / 14
T. Herro	14	58%	7.0 / 12
J. Jaquez	8	40%	4.0 / 10
K. Love	8	80%	4.0 / 5
C. Martin	7	50%	3.5 / 7
H. Highsmith	4	50%	2.0 / 4
T. Rozier	3	19%	1.5 / 8

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	13 116.3 21 113.3	SAC 109.3 MIA 118.6 +9.3
Pace	14 99.4 29 97.0	SAC 100.9 +7.5 MIA 93.4
Avg. Poss. Time	26 14.1 10 14.8	SAC 14.3 −1.1 MIA 15.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	14 55.6% 20 53.8%	SAC 50.5% MIA 57.7% +7.2%
TO %	12 12.5% 9 12.2%	SAC 8.2% −1.4% MIA 9.6%
ORB %	14 24.5% 26 21.8%	SAC 22.2% +4.3% MIA 17.9%
FTrt	22 22.9 8 25.7	SAC 19.4 MIA 27.4 +8.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	7 65.4% 11 64.8%	SAC 63.4% MIA 90.5% +27.1%
STL %	14 7.6% 11 7.7%	SAC 6.2% +3.1% MIA 3.1%
BLK %	27 8.6% 30 7.7%	SAC 3.6% MIA 5.7% +2.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 57.0% 17 56.2%	SAC 52.0% MIA 58.7% +6.7%
Rim FG%	6 66.0% 23 61.6%	SAC 92.9% +17.9% MIA 75.0%
Mid FG%	9 44.9% 13 44.3%	SAC 41.0% MIA 45.5% +4.5%
3P %	16 36.6% 12 37.0%	SAC 30.0% MIA 46.4% +16.4%
FT %	30 74.5% 5 81.8%	SAC 66.7% MIA 78.3% +11.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	27 30.0% 29 29.5%	SAC 15.1% +0.8% MIA 14.3%
Mid Att. %	14 26.8% 28 31.1%	SAC 41.9% −10.4% MIA 52.4%
3P Att. %	3 43.2% 14 39.4%	SAC 43.0% +9.7% MIA 33.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAC	MIA
Possessions	97	97
Possession Minutes	23.1	24.9
Points	106	115
Rebounds	44	49
Assists	26	38
Steals	6	3
Blocks	2	3
Turnovers (Team)	9 (0)	8 (2)
Fouls	17	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (2)	7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (3)	42 (0)
Field Goals	41-93	42-84
At-the-Rim FG	13-14	9-12
Midrange FG	16-39	20-44
2-Point FG	29-53	29-56
3-Point FG	12-40	13-28
Free Throws	12-18	18-23
Fast Break Pts	22	15
2nd Chance Pts	17	7
Points in Paint	54	50
Pts off Turnovers	6	12
Bench Points	18	47
Biggest Lead	3	18

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg