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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 31, 2024
8:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Nuggets
100
5Thunder
105
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 25.6
39
33
15
8
2
1
1
0
0
1
7
0-0
-
3-8
4-6
38%
57%
3-9
33%
Peyton Watson
G · 6'8" 200 · 21.4
21
21
9
4
1
2
1
1
2
2
2
2-2
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
54%
1-4
25%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.4
39
28
16
13
7
1
1
4
1
4
9
1-6
17%
6-13
4-6
46%
58%
1-3
33%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.9
36
31
11
6
3
1
1
0
3
1
5
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
51%
3-9
33%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 26.9
39
35
16
3
4
0
1
2
0
1
2
2-2
100%
4-11
6-12
36%
51%
2-3
67%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 33.8
30
20
16
4
3
0
0
1
1
0
4
4-4
100%
3-9
2-5
33%
48%
2-3
67%
Christian Braun
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.8
16
16
10
5
0
1
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
52%
2-4
50%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 34.8
11
3
5
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
50%
1-2
50%
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 23.1
9
3
2
3
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
59%
0-0
-
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.5
9
0
1-2
66%
Jay Huff
F · 7'1" 240 · 26.4
2
0
0-0
57%
Collin Gillespie
G · 6'3" 195 · 24.6
2
0
0-0
50%
Braxton Key
F · 6'8" 225 · 27.0
1
0
0-0
52%
Jalen Pickett
G · 6'4" 202 · 24.3
Hunter Tyson
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.6
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.9
Julian Strawther
G · 6'7" 205 · 21.8
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 26.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 24.8
36
25
7
7
1
1
1
0
1
0
7
0-1
0%
2-5
1-3
40%
49%
1-6
17%
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 29.2
17
14
0
5
0
0
1
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
57%
0-0
-
Chet Holmgren
C-F · 7'0" 195 · 21.8
32
28
18
13
3
0
1
5
2
5
8
1-2
50%
4-9
4-7
44%
62%
3-4
75%
Josh Giddey
G · 6'8" 205 · 21.3
25
22
8
9
5
0
1
1
2
3
6
4-4
100%
2-9
3-6
22%
53%
0-2
0%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 25.6
36
33
34
7
5
1
2
2
2
1
6
12-13
92%
8-19
8-15
42%
57%
2-3
67%
Aaron Wiggins
G-F · 6'5" 190 · 25.1
25
18
12
4
2
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
60%
2-3
67%
Cason Wallace
G · 6'4" 195 · 20.2
20
19
5
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
60%
1-3
33%
Jaylin Williams
F · 6'10" 240 · 21.6
18
14
9
3
2
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-1
75%
51%
1-2
50%
Vasilije Micic
G · 6'4" 188 · 30.0
17
7
12
2
5
0
0
0
2
0
2
3-5
60%
3-5
0-1
60%
54%
1-3
33%
Ousmane Dieng
F · 6'10" 185 · 20.7
9
9
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
60%
0-0
-
Lindy Waters III
F · 6'6" 215 · 26.5
5
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
63%
0-0
-
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 31.2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Keyontae Johnson
F · 6'6" 230 · 23.7
8
0
1-1
53%
Tre Mann
G · 6'3" 178 · 23.0
3
0
0-1
47%
Olivier Sarr
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.9
3
0
0-0
61%
Jalen Williams
G-F · 6'6" 195 · 22.8
Isaiah Joe
G · 6'5" 165 · 24.6
Aleksej Pokusevski
C · 7'0" 190 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.