Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	13	Nuggets	41%	109	100	103.1	97	99.6
	7	Thunder	59%	112	105	108.2	97	94.4

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Aaron Gordon #50 · C · 6'8" 235 · 28	39.2	16	42%	13	7	1	4	1	2	4	9	1-6	17%	6-13	46%	1-3	33%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	38.8	15	44%	8	2	1	0	0	4	1	7	0-0	-	3-8	38%	3-9	33%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	38.5	16	53%	3	4	0	2	0	3	1	2	2-2	100%	4-11	36%	2-3	67%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	36.3	11	50%	6	3	1	0	3	4	1	5	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	3-9	33%
Peyton Watson #8 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 21	20.9	9	41%	4	1	2	1	2	4	2	2	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	1-4	25%

Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	29.7	16	57%	4	3	0	1	1	2	0	4	4-4	100%	3-9	33%	2-3	67%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	16.4	10	71%	5	0	1	0	0	0	1	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	11.4	5	83%	1	0	1	1	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	8.8	2	25%	3	1	0	0	1	1	2	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Pain
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Contusion/Sprain
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	48%	47	21	7	9	8	23	12	35	11-16	69%	22-56	39%	15-37	41%

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13 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Aaron Gordon #50 · C · 6'8" 235 · 28	39.2	16	42%	13	7	1	4	1	2	4	9	1-6	17%	6-13	46%	1-3	33%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	38.8	15	44%	8	2	1	0	0	4	1	7	0-0	-	3-8	38%	3-9	33%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	38.5	16	53%	3	4	0	2	0	3	1	2	2-2	100%	4-11	36%	2-3	67%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	36.3	11	50%	6	3	1	0	3	4	1	5	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	3-9	33%
Peyton Watson #8 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 21	20.9	9	41%	4	1	2	1	2	4	2	2	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	1-4	25%

Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	29.7	16	57%	4	3	0	1	1	2	0	4	4-4	100%	3-9	33%	2-3	67%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	16.4	10	71%	5	0	1	0	0	0	1	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	11.4	5	83%	1	0	1	1	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	8.8	2	25%	3	1	0	0	1	1	2	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Pain
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Contusion/Sprain
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	48%	47	21	7	9	8	23	12	35	11-16	69%	22-56	39%	15-37	41%

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7 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 25	36.5	7	32%	7	1	1	0	1	2	0	7	0-1	0%	2-5	40%	1-6	17%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 26	35.5	34	61%	7	5	1	2	2	4	1	6	12-13	92%	8-19	42%	2-3	67%
Chet Holmgren #7 · C · 7'1" 208 · 22	32.1	18	64%	13	3	0	5	2	0	5	8	1-2	50%	4-9	44%	3-4	75%
Josh Giddey #3 · SG · 6'7" 214 · 21	25.2	8	31%	9	5	0	1	2	0	3	6	4-4	100%	2-9	22%	0-2	0%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 29	17.0	0	0%	5	0	0	0	0	2	3	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-

Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 25	24.9	12	75%	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-3	67%
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 20	20.2	5	36%	2	1	0	0	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-3	33%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22	18.5	9	75%	3	2	0	1	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
Vasilije Micić #29 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 30	16.7	12	60%	2	5	0	0	2	0	0	2	3-5	60%	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Ousmane Dieng #13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 21	8.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Lindy Waters III #12 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 27	4.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Davis Bertans #9 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 31	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Keyontae Johnson #18 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 24
Olivier Sarr #30 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 23
Aleksej Pokusevski #17 · PF · 7'0" 190 · 22	INACTIVE
Jalen Williams #8 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Sternum; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	52%	53	24	2	9	11	14	15	38	20-25	80%	26-61	43%	11-26	42%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	OKC
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	OKC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

0.95 47.6%

OKC

1.03 51.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

15

37

41%

OKC

20

43

47%

Midrange

DEN

7

19

37%

OKC

6

18

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

15

22.5

37

41%

61%

OKC

11

16.5

26

42%

63%

Free Throws

DEN

11

16

69%

OKC

20

25

80%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Gordon	16	42%	8.0 / 19
J. Murray	16	53%	8.0 / 15
R. Jackson	16	57%	8.0 / 14
M. Porter	15	44%	7.5 / 17
K. Caldwell-Pope	11	50%	5.5 / 11
C. Braun	10	71%	5.0 / 7
P. Watson	9	41%	4.5 / 11
J. Holiday	5	83%	2.5 / 3
Z. Nnaji	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	34	61%	17.0 / 28
C. Holmgren	18	64%	9.0 / 14
A. Wiggins	12	75%	6.0 / 8
V. Micić	12	60%	6.0 / 10
J. Williams	9	75%	4.5 / 6
J. Giddey	8	31%	4.0 / 13
L. Dort	7	32%	3.5 / 11
C. Wallace	5	36%	2.5 / 7
K. Williams	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 117.9 3 118.3	DEN 103.1 OKC 108.2 +5.2
Pace	26 97.4 5 100.9	DEN 99.6 +5.2 OKC 94.4
Avg. Poss. Time	4 15.0 27 14.0	DEN 14.5 −0.8 OKC 15.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	8 56.2% 3 57.3%	DEN 47.8% OKC 48.9% +1.1%
TO %	7 12.1% 3 11.7%	DEN 9.1% −2.6% OKC 11.7%
ORB %	6 25.5% 28 21.1%	DEN 24.0% OKC 30.0% +6.0%
FTrt	24 22.4 17 24.0	DEN 17.2 OKC 28.7 +11.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 66.9% 23 60.9%	DEN 56.8% OKC 64.9% +8.1%
STL %	20 7.3% 3 8.3%	DEN 7.2% +5.1% OKC 2.1%
BLK %	25 8.7% 2 11.3%	DEN 14.8% OKC 16.1% +1.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.5% 3 59.2%	DEN 47.6% OKC 51.5% +3.9%
Rim FG%	17 63.6% 10 65.4%	DEN 40.5% OKC 46.5% +6.0%
Mid FG%	3 47.0% 4 46.6%	DEN 36.8% +3.5% OKC 33.3%
3P %	10 37.4% 1 38.9%	DEN 40.5% OKC 42.3% +1.8%
FT %	25 76.2% 4 82.5%	DEN 68.8% OKC 80.0% +11.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	4 36.0% 16 33.2%	DEN 39.8% OKC 49.4% +9.6%
Mid Att. %	25 28.8% 24 28.5%	DEN 20.4% −0.3% OKC 20.7%
3P Att. %	30 35.2% 18 38.3%	DEN 39.8% +9.9% OKC 29.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	OKC
Possessions	97	97
Possession Minutes	23.4	24.6
Points	100	105
Rebounds	47	53
Assists	21	24
Steals	7	2
Blocks	9	9
Turnovers (Team)	8 (2)	11 (2)
Fouls	23	14
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (4)	15 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (1)	38 (5)
Field Goals	37-93	37-87
At-the-Rim FG	15-37	20-43
Midrange FG	7-19	6-18
2-Point FG	22-56	26-61
3-Point FG	15-37	11-26
Free Throws	11-16	20-25
Fast Break Pts	12	15
2nd Chance Pts	20	17
Points in Paint	34	50
Pts off Turnovers	9	15
Bench Points	33	38
Biggest Lead	13	13

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg