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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 1, 2024
7:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Lakers14%103114
1Celtics86%119105
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Taurean Prince
F · 6'8" 220 · 29.9
38.0
24.6
11
55%
8
2
1
1
1
0
0
8
0-0
-
4-8
1-2
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 24.8
16.1
21.3
10
63%
7
2
3
1
0
3
3
4
2-2
100%
1-4
2-3
25%
58%
2-3
67%
Jaxson Hayes
C · 6'11" 220 · 23.7
33.9
12.7
16
78%
10
2
3
0
0
0
6
4
4-5
80%
6-8
2-2
75%
65%
0-0
-
Austin Reaves
G · 6'5" 197 · 25.7
34.6
31.5
32
76%
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
5-7
71%
3-8
4-6
38%
58%
7-10
70%
D'Angelo Russell
G · 6'5" 195 · 27.9
39.0
33.8
16
37%
8
14
2
1
0
1
2
6
2-4
50%
1-12
4-8
8%
51%
4-8
50%
Rui Hachimura
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.0
33.1
21.0
15
50%
8
4
0
0
1
2
2
6
2-2
100%
2-8
3-5
25%
53%
3-6
50%
Max Christie
G · 6'6" 190 · 21.0
22.9
13.3
9
57%
4
2
1
0
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Christian Wood
F · 6'9" 214 · 28.3
18.9
14.6
4
20%
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
2
1-2
50%
0-5
2-3
0%
57%
1-4
25%
Jalen Hood-Schifino
G · 6'6" 215 · 20.6
1.3
2.7
1
57%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Skylar Mays
G · 6'4" 205 · 26.4
0.8
5.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Dylan Windler
G-F · 6'8" 196 · 27.4
0.8
2.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
56%
0-0
-
Maxwell Lewis
F · 6'7" 195 · 21.5
0.8
2.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
46%
0-0
-
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 39.1
Gabe Vincent
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.6
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 30.9
Colin Castleton
C · 6'11" 250 · 23.7
Cam Reddish
F-G · 6'8" 208 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 27.3
27.4
32.4
8
33%
8
7
1
1
0
3
3
5
0-0
-
4-9
6-11
44%
58%
0-3
0%
Jayson Tatum
F · 6'8" 205 · 25.9
36.6
35.2
23
53%
7
3
1
1
1
2
2
5
2-2
100%
3-11
6-11
27%
57%
5-10
50%
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 28.5
29.5
28.0
17
54%
7
3
1
1
5
3
1
6
2-2
100%
6-8
4-7
75%
57%
1-7
14%
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 29.6
32.7
31.6
9
41%
4
6
0
1
2
2
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
56%
1-5
20%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 33.6
29.2
32.4
8
44%
7
7
0
1
0
4
2
5
0-0
-
4-7
3-5
57%
55%
0-2
0%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37.7
23.8
28.0
6
50%
9
1
1
1
2
0
0
9
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
58%
2-6
33%
Sam Hauser
F · 6'7" 217 · 26.1
22.6
21.6
17
77%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
65%
5-9
56%
Payton Pritchard
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.0
21.3
18.3
8
67%
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
54%
2-5
40%
Neemias Queta
C · 6'11" 248 · 24.6
12.8
10.8
7
64%
7
1
0
0
1
0
4
3
1-1
100%
3-5
2-3
60%
60%
0-0
-
Oshae Brissett
F · 6'8" 210 · 25.6
2.0
9.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-1
0%
Dalano Banton
F · 6'9" 204 · 24.2
2.0
3.9
2
114%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Lamar Stevens
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.6
3.3
0
0-1
55%
Svi Mykhailiuk
F · 6'8" 212 · 26.6
3.0
0
0-0
51%
Drew Peterson
F · 6'9" 205 · 24.2
Jordan Walsh
G · 6'7" 205 · 19.9
JD Davison
G · 6'3" 195 · 21.3
Luke Kornet
F-C · 7'2" 250 · 28.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.