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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 3, 2024
8:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Kings48%111123
21Bulls52%112115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 31.7
34.9
35.4
11
51%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
55%
1-5
20%
Keegan Murray
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.5
31.0
31.0
5
42%
6
3
2
1
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
56%
1-5
20%
Domantas Sabonis
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 27.8
39.4
35.0
13
77%
14
10
1
1
0
6
0
14
1-1
100%
6-7
7-11
86%
62%
0-1
0%
Kevin Huerter
G-F · 6'7" 198 · 25.4
20.6
32.2
9
46%
2
2
1
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
2-4
3-5
50%
57%
1-5
20%
De'Aaron Fox
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.1
35.4
34.9
41
70%
4
4
5
1
0
3
0
4
10-12
83%
8-13
6-12
62%
55%
5-11
45%
Malik Monk
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.0
33.8
21.8
22
64%
5
7
0
1
1
1
0
5
6-7
86%
5-10
3-5
50%
53%
2-4
50%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 28.2
23.9
17.8
16
95%
5
3
2
0
0
2
2
3
1-1
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
57%
5-7
71%
Davion Mitchell
G · 6'0" 202 · 25.4
13.8
14.7
4
69%
2
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
53%
0-1
0%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 36.0
6.9
4.5
2
26%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-2
0%
1-3
1-2
33%
62%
0-0
-
Kessler Edwards
F · 6'7" 203 · 23.5
0.1
7.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Chris Duarte
G · 6'6" 190 · 26.6
3.4
0
0-0
47%
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 30.6
3.0
0
0-1
60%
Keon Ellis
G · 6'4" 175 · 24.1
2.7
0
0-0
57%
Colby Jones
G · 6'6" 207 · 21.7
2.5
0
0-1
53%
Sasha Vezenkov
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.5
Jordan Ford
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.7
Jalen Slawson
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 34.5
38.6
37.2
24
58%
7
6
4
1
0
3
1
6
14-15
93%
5-12
6-12
42%
53%
0-2
0%
Alex Caruso
G · 6'5" 186 · 29.9
37.1
31.4
7
50%
5
6
3
2
2
4
2
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
57%
1-4
25%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 6'10" 260 · 33.3
34.4
32.7
24
62%
12
3
1
1
0
2
2
10
3-3
100%
9-14
6-11
64%
57%
1-4
25%
Ayo Dosunmu
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.0
39.0
34.6
18
53%
4
5
2
1
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
4-7
4-7
57%
60%
3-9
33%
Coby White
G · 6'5" 195 · 24.0
36.5
38.3
26
69%
6
4
0
1
0
3
0
6
2-2
100%
6-11
5-9
55%
55%
4-7
57%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 33.1
14.1
5.1
5
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
55%
1-4
25%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 30.5
13.6
14.8
2
25%
8
0
0
1
0
0
4
4
0-0
-
1-4
3-5
25%
58%
0-0
-
Julian Phillips
F · 6'8" 198 · 20.2
13.2
13.6
3
50%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
58%
1-3
33%
Jevon Carter
G · 6'1" 200 · 28.4
10.4
9.7
4
50%
0
0
3
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Terry Taylor
G · 6'5" 230 · 24.4
3.0
9.2
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
63%
0-0
-
Henri Drell
F · 6'8" 185 · 23.8
3.7
0
0-1
54%
Adama Sanogo
F · 6'9" 245 · 22.0
1.9
0
0-0
56%
Onuralp Bitim
F · 6'6" 215 · 24.8
0.9
0
0-0
53%
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.9
Patrick Williams
F · 6'7" 215 · 22.4
Lonzo Ball
G · 6'6" 190 · 26.3
Dalen Terry
F · 6'7" 195 · 21.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.