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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 3, 2024
8:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Bucks62%123129
23Mavericks38%118117
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 32.5
38.5
31.8
13
41%
3
8
1
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
4-11
4-8
36%
54%
1-4
25%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 29.2
40.2
35.0
48
74%
6
10
5
1
1
1
1
5
6-10
60%
18-23
10-16
78%
63%
2-5
40%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 35.8
4.2
1.5
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
59%
0-0
-
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 27.2
32.5
28.3
9
46%
7
0
2
1
0
1
0
7
0-2
0%
0-1
1-3
0%
51%
3-8
38%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 33.6
38.2
34.6
30
110%
3
8
0
1
1
6
0
3
5-6
83%
5-6
5-9
83%
54%
5-5
100%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 29.0
31.2
22.6
12
49%
10
2
1
1
0
0
3
7
4-5
80%
4-7
4-6
57%
56%
0-3
0%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 33.6
20.7
18.8
8
67%
2
2
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-5
1-1
80%
53%
0-1
0%
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 31.1
18.3
15.8
2
17%
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
62%
0-3
0%
Cameron Payne
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.5
9.8
10.9
0
0%
2
3
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
AJ Green
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.4
6.5
2.6
5
125%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
50%
1-1
100%
MarJon Beauchamp
F · 6'6" 199 · 23.3
5.0
0
0-1
54%
Chris Livingston
F · 6'6" 220 · 20.3
2.0
0
0-0
54%
Thanasis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'7" 205 · 31.5
1.9
0
0-0
56%
TyTy Washington Jr.
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.2
Andre Jackson Jr.
G · 6'6" 209 · 22.2
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 35.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 27.0
35.1
21.2
8
55%
4
1
2
1
0
1
1
3
2-3
67%
3-6
2-3
50%
63%
0-0
-
Grant Williams
F · 6'7" 240 · 25.2
23.4
25.9
2
17%
5
1
1
1
0
4
2
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
54%
0-2
0%
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 32.0
33.8
18.9
21
92%
3
2
2
0
0
2
0
3
1-1
100%
4-4
1-1
100%
59%
4-7
57%
Josh Green
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.2
37.8
30.6
20
78%
9
3
1
1
0
3
0
9
2-2
100%
3-4
3-5
75%
61%
4-8
50%
Luka Doncic
G · 6'6" 218 · 24.9
42.4
41.0
40
65%
9
11
1
1
0
9
1
8
10-11
91%
9-14
9-16
64%
58%
4-12
33%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 31.9
38.3
32.4
18
57%
2
2
2
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-7
3-7
29%
50%
4-8
50%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.5
18.5
10.2
4
106%
8
2
0
0
1
1
3
5
2-2
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
71%
0-0
-
Jaden Hardy
G · 6'4" 198 · 21.6
10.7
23.5
4
41%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
3-5
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.3
15.5
0
2-4
63%
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.4
10.9
0
1-2
52%
A.J. Lawson
G · 6'6" 179 · 23.6
8.2
0
1-1
57%
Brandon Williams
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.2
4.5
0
1-1
50%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 34.4
1.9
0
0-0
48%
Dante Exum
G · 6'6" 190 · 28.6
Greg Brown III
F · 6'8" 206 · 22.4
Dereck Lively II
C · 7'1" 230 · 20.0
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 31.9
Olivier-Maxence Prosper
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.