Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, February 4, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	20	Rockets	31%	102	90	89.1	101	113.6
	4	Timberwolves	69%	109	111	107.8	103	92.7

Scoring Opportunities

HOU

+10

-11

100

MIN

+18

-15

106

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

0.90 45.0%

MIN

1.05 52.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

20 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 30	32.1	11	50%	3	1	2	4	2	1	0	3	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	2-6	33%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 22	30.5	15	50%	10	1	1	1	3	4	4	6	0-2	0%	6-13	46%	1-1	100%
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 22	29.9	8	25%	2	7	0	1	2	2	0	2	2-3	67%	3-10	30%	0-5	0%
Dillon Brooks #9 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28	28.4	7	44%	2	3	2	0	1	3	0	2	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	1-3	33%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 21	19.0	3	38%	2	0	1	0	0	5	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%

Amen Thompson #1 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 21	19.7	8	40%	7	2	1	0	0	1	3	4	4-6	67%	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Cam Whitmore #7 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 20	19.1	14	44%	2	1	1	0	2	2	0	2	3-6	50%	1-5	20%	3-8	38%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 37	16.0	4	50%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 27	15.8	5	63%	2	2	2	0	1	3	0	2	3-3	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 28	9.5	2	33%	4	1	0	0	0	3	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Jock Landale #2 · C · 6'11" 255 · 28	6.6	4	50%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Reggie Bullock Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 33	4.9	0	0%	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jermaine Samuels Jr. #00 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	4.3	4	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Nate Hinton #14 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	4.3	5	83%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Boban Marjanović #51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Lower Leg; Injury Management
Steven Adams #99 · C · 6'11" 265 · 31	Inactive - Trade Pending
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	45%	41	20	10	7	11	26	10	31	18-27	67%	21-58	36%	10-30	33%

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20 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 30	32.1	11	50%	3	1	2	4	2	1	0	3	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	2-6	33%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 22	30.5	15	50%	10	1	1	1	3	4	4	6	0-2	0%	6-13	46%	1-1	100%
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 22	29.9	8	25%	2	7	0	1	2	2	0	2	2-3	67%	3-10	30%	0-5	0%
Dillon Brooks #9 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28	28.4	7	44%	2	3	2	0	1	3	0	2	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	1-3	33%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 21	19.0	3	38%	2	0	1	0	0	5	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%

Amen Thompson #1 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 21	19.7	8	40%	7	2	1	0	0	1	3	4	4-6	67%	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Cam Whitmore #7 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 20	19.1	14	44%	2	1	1	0	2	2	0	2	3-6	50%	1-5	20%	3-8	38%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 37	16.0	4	50%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 27	15.8	5	63%	2	2	2	0	1	3	0	2	3-3	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 28	9.5	2	33%	4	1	0	0	0	3	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Jock Landale #2 · C · 6'11" 255 · 28	6.6	4	50%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Reggie Bullock Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 33	4.9	0	0%	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jermaine Samuels Jr. #00 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	4.3	4	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Nate Hinton #14 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	4.3	5	83%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Boban Marjanović #51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Lower Leg; Injury Management
Steven Adams #99 · C · 6'11" 265 · 31	Inactive - Trade Pending
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	45%	41	20	10	7	11	26	10	31	18-27	67%	21-58	36%	10-30	33%

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4 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 22	33.5	32	64%	6	1	1	1	4	3	1	5	6-8	75%	7-14	50%	4-8	50%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 32	31.4	17	77%	13	1	1	4	0	1	3	10	3-5	60%	7-9	78%	0-0	-
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 23	29.3	5	36%	4	2	0	1	2	1	2	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-3	33%
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · PF · 7'0" 248 · 28	27.3	14	50%	10	0	0	2	2	4	2	8	5-5	100%	3-9	33%	1-3	33%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 36	24.5	8	50%	3	9	1	0	2	2	0	3	3-4	75%	1-4	25%	1-2	50%

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 24	22.1	13	54%	6	0	1	2	1	2	0	6	2-3	67%	4-7	57%	1-4	25%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	21.0	5	36%	7	1	1	0	2	2	1	6	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 28	17.2	4	40%	4	2	0	0	1	0	1	3	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Kyle Anderson #1 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 30	16.7	6	60%	2	4	1	1	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Shake Milton #18 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	4.3	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Troy Brown Jr. #23 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 25	4.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 22	4.3	2	50%	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 25	4.3	5	125%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Daishen Nix #12 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaylen Clark #0 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Rupture Rehab
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	52%	58	21	6	11	15	19	11	47	20-27	74%	29-60	48%	11-30	37%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	MIN
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	MIN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

HOU

0.90 45.0%

MIN

1.05 52.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

HOU

49%

MIN

58%

Midrange

HOU

17%

MIN

37%

3PT | Effective 3PT

HOU

15.0

33%

50%

MIN

16.5

37%

55%

Free Throws

HOU

67%

MIN

74%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Sengun	15	50%	7.5 / 15
C. Whitmore	14	44%	7.0 / 16
F. VanVleet	11	50%	5.5 / 11
J. Green	8	25%	4.0 / 16
A. Thompson	8	40%	4.0 / 10
D. Brooks	7	44%	3.5 / 8
A. Holiday	5	63%	2.5 / 4
N. Hinton	5	83%	2.5 / 3
J. Green	4	50%	2.0 / 4
J. Landale	4	50%	2.0 / 4
J. Samuels Jr.	4	100%	2.0 / 2
J. Smith	3	38%	1.5 / 4
J. Tate	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Edwards	32	64%	16.0 / 25
R. Gobert	17	77%	8.5 / 11
K. Towns	14	50%	7.0 / 14
N. Reid	13	54%	6.5 / 12
M. Conley	8	50%	4.0 / 8
K. Anderson	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. McDaniels	5	36%	2.5 / 7
N. Alexander-Walker	5	36%	2.5 / 7
L. Garza	5	125%	2.5 / 2
J. McLaughlin	4	40%	2.0 / 5
W. Moore	2	50%	1.0 / 2
S. Milton	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	20 113.8 17 114.7	HOU 89.1 MIN 107.8 +18.7
Pace	13 99.6 22 97.9	HOU 113.6 +21.0 MIN 92.7
Avg. Poss. Time	22 14.2 3 15.0	HOU 12.7 −2.9 MIN 15.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	27 52.9% 10 55.9%	HOU 40.9% MIN 50.6% +9.7%
TO %	8 12.1% 22 13.6%	HOU 9.9% −3.7% MIN 13.6%
ORB %	10 25.1% 22 23.1%	HOU 17.5% MIN 26.2% +8.7%
FTrt	9 25.7 5 27.0	HOU 30.7 +0.7 MIN 30.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	27 59.4% 12 64.6%	HOU 64.5% +12.0% MIN 52.5%
STL %	9 7.8% 6 8.0%	HOU 9.9% +4.1% MIN 5.8%
BLK %	11 9.7% 4 11.0%	HOU 11.7% MIN 19.0% +7.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 55.2% 10 57.7%	HOU 45.0% MIN 52.4% +7.4%
Rim FG%	24 61.2% 15 64.3%	HOU 48.6% MIN 57.6% +9.0%
Mid FG%	21 41.2% 16 42.6%	HOU 17.4% MIN 37.0% +19.6%
3P %	23 35.2% 3 38.7%	HOU 33.3% MIN 36.7% +3.4%
FT %	20 77.3% 18 77.7%	HOU 66.7% MIN 74.1% +7.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	6 35.5% 14 34.1%	HOU 39.8% +3.1% MIN 36.7%
Mid Att. %	3 24.7% 16 27.5%	HOU 26.1% −3.9% MIN 30.0%
3P Att. %	13 39.7% 17 38.4%	HOU 34.1% +0.8% MIN 33.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	HOU	MIN
Possessions	101	103
Possession Minutes	21.3	26.7
Points	90	111
Rebounds	41	58
Assists	20	21
Steals	10	6
Blocks	7	11
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	15 (1)
Fouls	26	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (0)	11 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (2)	47 (2)
Field Goals	31-88	40-90
At-the-Rim FG	17-35	19-33
Midrange FG	4-23	10-27
2-Point FG	21-58	29-60
3-Point FG	10-30	11-30
Free Throws	18-27	20-27
Fast Break Pts	23	11
2nd Chance Pts	5	16
Points in Paint	38	56
Pts off Turnovers	18	13
Bench Points	46	35
Biggest Lead	6	28

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg