Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	29	Blazers	16%	103	103	115.7	89	87.1
	2	Nuggets	84%	118	112	124.4	90	92.1

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anfernee Simons #1 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 25	38.7	26	65%	6	9	1	0	4	0	0	6	6-6	100%	4-10	40%	4-8	50%
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 26	38.5	27	71%	9	4	1	2	1	1	4	5	1-1	100%	13-19	68%	0-0	-
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 27	33.9	6	38%	1	3	3	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-5	20%
Jabari Walker #34 · PF · 6'7" 237 · 22	29.5	4	25%	7	0	0	0	1	1	3	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-5	0%
Kris Murray #8 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 23	19.6	8	57%	2	2	1	1	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-2	0%

Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 20	33.4	14	37%	8	9	0	0	3	4	4	4	6-6	100%	1-10	10%	2-6	33%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 24	22.5	10	83%	6	0	0	0	1	4	2	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-3	67%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 28	13.3	8	133%	1	1	0	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-2	100%
Justin Minaya #24 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 25	10.4	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Moses Brown #10 · C · 7'2" 258 · 24	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Wrist; Fracture
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 21
Rayan Rupert #72 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 20
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 30	DND - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Tightness
Malcolm Brogdon #11 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Contusion
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Abdominal; Strain
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Ligament Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	56%	42	29	6	6	13	16	15	27	14-15	93%	28-54	52%	11-31	35%

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29 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anfernee Simons #1 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 25	38.7	26	65%	6	9	1	0	4	0	0	6	6-6	100%	4-10	40%	4-8	50%
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 26	38.5	27	71%	9	4	1	2	1	1	4	5	1-1	100%	13-19	68%	0-0	-
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 27	33.9	6	38%	1	3	3	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-5	20%
Jabari Walker #34 · PF · 6'7" 237 · 22	29.5	4	25%	7	0	0	0	1	1	3	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-5	0%
Kris Murray #8 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 23	19.6	8	57%	2	2	1	1	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-2	0%

Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 20	33.4	14	37%	8	9	0	0	3	4	4	4	6-6	100%	1-10	10%	2-6	33%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 24	22.5	10	83%	6	0	0	0	1	4	2	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-3	67%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 28	13.3	8	133%	1	1	0	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-2	100%
Justin Minaya #24 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 25	10.4	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Moses Brown #10 · C · 7'2" 258 · 24	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Wrist; Fracture
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 21
Rayan Rupert #72 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 20
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 30	DND - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Tightness
Malcolm Brogdon #11 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Contusion
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Abdominal; Strain
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Ligament Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	56%	42	29	6	6	13	16	15	27	14-15	93%	28-54	52%	11-31	35%

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2 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	34.4	21	62%	5	10	1	2	1	2	2	3	1-2	50%	4-10	40%	4-6	67%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	34.2	29	66%	8	7	2	0	2	1	1	7	4-5	80%	11-17	65%	1-3	33%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	30.9	11	55%	3	0	1	0	1	0	0	3	3-3	100%	1-4	25%	2-5	40%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	29.5	12	60%	7	2	0	0	0	3	3	4	4-4	100%	4-7	57%	0-1	0%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	24.0	12	55%	5	3	0	3	3	1	3	2	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	2-6	33%

Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	29.9	12	100%	6	1	2	1	1	1	3	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	2-3	67%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	27.7	4	40%	3	2	1	0	0	0	2	1	2-3	67%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	21.4	7	32%	4	1	1	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	2-7	29%	1-4	25%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	7.9	4	100%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	57%	42	26	8	3	8	11	14	28	16-19	84%	30-58	52%	12-28	43%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	POR	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.12 56.0%

DEN

1.14 57.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

19

33

58%

DEN

19

28

68%

Midrange

POR

9

21

43%

DEN

11

30

37%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

11

16.5

31

35%

53%

DEN

12

18.0

28

43%

64%

Free Throws

POR

14

15

93%

DEN

16

19

84%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Ayton	27	71%	13.5 / 19
A. Simons	26	65%	13.0 / 20
S. Henderson	14	37%	7.0 / 19
T. Camara	10	83%	5.0 / 6
K. Murray	8	57%	4.0 / 7
D. Reath	8	133%	4.0 / 3
M. Thybulle	6	38%	3.0 / 8
J. Walker	4	25%	2.0 / 8
J. Minaya	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	29	66%	14.5 / 22
J. Murray	21	62%	10.5 / 17
A. Gordon	12	60%	6.0 / 10
M. Porter	12	55%	6.0 / 11
P. Watson	12	100%	6.0 / 6
K. Caldwell-Pope	11	55%	5.5 / 10
R. Jackson	7	32%	3.5 / 11
C. Braun	4	40%	2.0 / 5
D. Jordan	4	100%	2.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	29 107.7 5 117.9	POR 115.7 DEN 124.4 +8.7
Pace	21 97.9 26 97.4	POR 87.1 DEN 92.1 +5.0
Avg. Poss. Time	15 14.6 4 15.0	POR 16.5 DEN 15.6 −0.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	30 50.3% 8 56.2%	POR 52.4% DEN 55.8% +3.4%
TO %	29 14.6% 7 12.1%	POR 12.4% DEN 8.7% −3.7%
ORB %	3 27.5% 6 25.5%	POR 34.9% +0.8% DEN 34.1%
FTrt	23 22.8 24 22.4	POR 17.6 DEN 22.1 +4.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	30 58.7% 5 66.9%	POR 74.4% +12.5% DEN 61.9%
STL %	12 7.7% 20 7.3%	POR 6.7% DEN 8.9% +2.2%
BLK %	20 9.0% 25 8.7%	POR 10.3% +4.7% DEN 5.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.28 and 2.28.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	30 52.6% 11 57.5%	POR 56.0% DEN 57.1% +1.1%
Rim FG%	29 58.1% 17 63.6%	POR 57.6% DEN 67.9% +10.3%
Mid FG%	30 38.7% 3 47.0%	POR 42.9% +6.2% DEN 36.7%
3P %	30 34.5% 10 37.4%	POR 35.5% DEN 42.9% +7.4%
FT %	9 79.1% 25 76.2%	POR 93.3% +9.1% DEN 84.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	11 34.7% 4 36.0%	POR 38.8% +6.3% DEN 32.6%
Mid Att. %	23 28.3% 25 28.8%	POR 24.7% −10.2% DEN 34.9%
3P Att. %	24 37.0% 30 35.2%	POR 36.5% +3.9% DEN 32.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Game Totals	POR	DEN
Possessions	89	90
Possession Minutes	24.5	23.5
Points	103	112
Rebounds	42	42
Assists	29	26
Steals	6	8
Blocks	6	3
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	8 (1)
Fouls	16	11
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (1)	14 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (2)	28 (3)
Field Goals	39-85	42-86
At-the-Rim FG	19-33	19-28
Midrange FG	9-21	11-30
2-Point FG	28-54	30-58
3-Point FG	11-31	12-28
Free Throws	14-15	16-19
Fast Break Pts	17	15
2nd Chance Pts	13	19
Points in Paint	50	46
Pts off Turnovers	14	17
Bench Points	32	27
Biggest Lead	14	15

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg