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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 7, 2024
7:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Spurs
104
20Heat
116
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Julian Champagnie
F · 6'7" 217 · 22.6
19
23
6
5
3
2
1
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
51%
2-5
40%
Jeremy Sochan
F · 6'9" 230 · 20.7
29
29
6
5
3
1
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
4-7
60%
51%
0-2
0%
Victor Wembanyama
F-C · 7'4" 210 · 20.1
28
27
18
13
3
1
1
1
3
0
13
1-3
33%
4-8
6-11
50%
55%
3-5
60%
Devin Vassell
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 23.5
32
34
19
3
3
1
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
7-12
5-9
58%
53%
1-6
17%
Tre Jones
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.1
31
30
19
2
6
0
1
0
3
0
2
3-5
60%
5-7
4-7
71%
55%
2-4
50%
Keldon Johnson
F · 6'6" 211 · 24.3
25
25
7
6
0
0
1
1
0
3
3
1-1
100%
3-6
4-7
50%
54%
0-4
0%
Cedi Osman
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.8
22
19
8
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
57%
2-4
50%
Zach Collins
C-F · 7'0" 230 · 26.2
17
19
8
4
3
0
0
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
57%
0-1
0%
Blake Wesley
G · 6'5" 185 · 20.9
16
13
5
1
6
1
0
0
1
0
1
1-4
25%
2-2
1-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 32.1
10
15
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
54%
1-3
33%
Malaki Branham
F · 6'5" 180 · 20.7
8
12
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
54%
1-2
50%
Sandro Mamukelashvili
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 24.7
3
1
2
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
56%
0-1
0%
Devonte' Graham
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.0
2
0
0-0
44%
David Duke Jr.
G · 6'4" 204 · 24.3
Charles Bassey
C-F · 6'10" 230 · 23.3
Mamadi Diakite
F · 6'9" 228 · 27.0
Dominick Barlow
F · 6'9" 215 · 20.7
Sidy Cissoko
G · 6'8" 200 · 19.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 34.4
34
34
17
11
11
3
2
1
0
1
10
6-6
100%
4-9
6-10
44%
55%
1-3
33%
Caleb Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 28.4
25
26
9
5
2
2
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
3-3
3-5
100%
56%
1-3
33%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 26.6
29
32
20
5
2
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-2
0%
10-14
7-13
71%
56%
0-0
-
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 24.0
29
24
24
6
7
0
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
6-8
3-6
75%
52%
4-7
57%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 29.9
28
31
13
2
5
0
1
0
1
1
1
1-1
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
52%
2-7
29%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
G · 6'7" 225 · 23.0
28
24
10
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-5
40%
4-4
4-6
100%
58%
0-2
0%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 30.4
26
27
9
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
4
4-4
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
54%
1-4
25%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.8
19
18
6
2
2
1
0
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
0-0
1-2
-
59%
1-6
17%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 35.4
17
14
6
6
0
1
0
1
1
0
6
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
56%
2-6
33%
Nikola Jovic
F · 6'10" 205 · 20.7
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
55%
0-0
-
Orlando Robinson
C · 7'0" 235 · 23.6
2
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
59%
0-0
-
Thomas Bryant
C · 6'10" 248 · 26.5
2
0
0-1
66%
Jamal Cain
F · 6'7" 191 · 24.9
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.2
Cole Swider
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.8
Dru Smith
G · 6'3" 203 · 26.1
R.J. Hampton
G · 6'4" 175 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.