Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, February 7, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	26	Spurs	32%	109	104	102.0	102	106.2
	14	Heat	68%	116	116	112.6	103	99.1

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

+10

-14

MIA

-10

100

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.06 53.1%

MIA

1.16 58.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

26 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 23	32.3	19	53%	3	3	1	0	2	1	0	3	2-2	100%	7-12	58%	1-6	17%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 24	31.2	19	73%	2	6	0	0	3	0	0	2	3-5	60%	5-7	71%	2-4	50%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 21	28.8	6	43%	5	3	1	0	2	2	0	5	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 20	27.8	18	64%	13	3	1	1	3	1	0	13	1-3	33%	4-8	50%	3-5	60%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 23	19.4	6	43%	5	3	2	0	0	2	3	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-5	40%

Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	24.5	7	35%	6	0	0	1	0	3	3	3	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	0-4	0%
Cedi Osman #16 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 29	21.6	8	57%	5	0	0	0	0	1	0	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-4	50%
Zach Collins #23 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	16.8	8	57%	4	3	0	0	1	5	0	4	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 21	15.7	5	63%	1	6	1	0	1	3	0	1	1-4	25%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Doug McDermott #17 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	10.3	3	50%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 21	8.2	3	38%	1	1	0	0	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	3.4	2	50%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Devonte' Graham #4 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Mamadi Diakite #21 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Acl; Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	53%	46	30	6	2	14	21	6	40	10-17	59%	29-53	55%	12-37	32%

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26 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 23	32.3	19	53%	3	3	1	0	2	1	0	3	2-2	100%	7-12	58%	1-6	17%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 24	31.2	19	73%	2	6	0	0	3	0	0	2	3-5	60%	5-7	71%	2-4	50%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 21	28.8	6	43%	5	3	1	0	2	2	0	5	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 20	27.8	18	64%	13	3	1	1	3	1	0	13	1-3	33%	4-8	50%	3-5	60%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 23	19.4	6	43%	5	3	2	0	0	2	3	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-5	40%

Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	24.5	7	35%	6	0	0	1	0	3	3	3	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	0-4	0%
Cedi Osman #16 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 29	21.6	8	57%	5	0	0	0	0	1	0	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-4	50%
Zach Collins #23 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	16.8	8	57%	4	3	0	0	1	5	0	4	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 21	15.7	5	63%	1	6	1	0	1	3	0	1	1-4	25%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Doug McDermott #17 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	10.3	3	50%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 21	8.2	3	38%	1	1	0	0	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	3.4	2	50%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Devonte' Graham #4 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Mamadi Diakite #21 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Acl; Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	53%	46	30	6	2	14	21	6	40	10-17	59%	29-53	55%	12-37	32%

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14 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 34	33.8	17	57%	11	11	3	1	0	0	1	10	6-6	100%	4-9	44%	1-3	33%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	29.1	24	80%	6	7	0	0	1	1	1	5	0-0	-	6-8	75%	4-7	57%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 27	28.8	20	71%	5	2	1	0	1	4	0	5	0-2	0%	10-14	71%	0-0	-
Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 30	28.2	13	43%	2	5	0	0	1	3	1	1	1-1	100%	3-8	38%	2-7	29%
Caleb Martin #16 · PF · 6'5" 205 · 28	25.0	9	75%	5	2	2	0	1	2	2	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-3	33%

Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 23	27.9	10	63%	3	0	0	0	2	1	0	3	2-5	40%	4-4	100%	0-2	0%
Josh Richardson #0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 30	26.5	9	56%	4	0	0	0	0	2	0	4	4-4	100%	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 30	19.0	6	43%	2	2	1	0	2	2	0	2	3-3	100%	0-0	-	1-6	17%
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 35	16.8	6	43%	6	0	1	1	1	3	0	6	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-6	33%
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 21	2.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 24	2.4	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Thomas Bryant #31 · C · 6'9" 248 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 25	INACTIVE
Cole Swider #21 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 25	INACTIVE
R.J. Hampton #4 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dru Smith #9 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 27	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	58%	45	29	8	2	10	20	5	40	18-23	78%	31-49	63%	12-38	32%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	MIA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.06 53.1%

MIA

1.16 58.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

61%

MIA

75%

Midrange

SAS

51%

MIA

59%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

18.0

32%

49%

MIA

18.0

32%

47%

Free Throws

SAS

59%

MIA

78%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Vassell	19	53%	9.5 / 18
T. Jones	19	73%	9.5 / 13
V. Wembanyama	18	64%	9.0 / 14
C. Osman	8	57%	4.0 / 7
Z. Collins	8	57%	4.0 / 7
K. Johnson	7	35%	3.5 / 10
J. Sochan	6	43%	3.0 / 7
J. Champagnie	6	43%	3.0 / 7
B. Wesley	5	63%	2.5 / 4
D. McDermott	3	50%	1.5 / 3
M. Branham	3	38%	1.5 / 4
S. Mamukelashvili	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Herro	24	80%	12.0 / 15
B. Adebayo	20	71%	10.0 / 14
J. Butler	17	57%	8.5 / 15
T. Rozier	13	43%	6.5 / 15
J. Jaquez	10	63%	5.0 / 8
C. Martin	9	75%	4.5 / 6
J. Richardson	9	56%	4.5 / 8
D. Robinson	6	43%	3.0 / 7
K. Love	6	43%	3.0 / 7
O. Robinson	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	26 109.4 21 113.3	SAS 102.0 MIA 112.6 +10.7
Pace	3 101.7 29 97.0	SAS 106.2 +7.1 MIA 99.1
Avg. Poss. Time	25 14.1 10 14.8	SAS 13.6 −1.0 MIA 14.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	23 53.2% 20 53.8%	SAS 52.2% MIA 56.3% +4.1%
TO %	26 14.3% 9 12.2%	SAS 13.3% MIA 10.2% −3.1%
ORB %	23 22.9% 26 21.8%	SAS 13.0% +1.9% MIA 11.1%
FTrt	28 22.0 8 25.7	SAS 18.9 MIA 26.4 +7.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 71.2% 11 64.8%	SAS 73.2% +5.8% MIA 67.4%
STL %	23 6.9% 11 7.7%	SAS 5.9% MIA 7.8% +1.9%
BLK %	10 9.7% 30 7.7%	SAS 4.1% +0.3% MIA 3.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.62 and 2.62.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	25 55.1% 17 56.2%	SAS 53.1% MIA 58.0% +4.9%
Rim FG%	16 64.1% 23 61.6%	SAS 61.1% MIA 75.0% +13.9%
Mid FG%	24 40.5% 13 44.3%	SAS 51.4% MIA 59.5% +8.1%
3P %	28 34.7% 12 37.0%	SAS 32.4% +0.8% MIA 31.6%
FT %	14 78.2% 5 81.8%	SAS 58.8% MIA 78.3% +19.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	13 34.2% 29 29.5%	SAS 20.0% +6.2% MIA 13.8%
Mid Att. %	9 25.7% 28 31.1%	SAS 38.9% −3.6% MIA 42.5%
3P Att. %	12 40.1% 14 39.4%	SAS 41.1% MIA 43.7% +2.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	MIA
Possessions	102	103
Possession Minutes	23.0	25.0
Points	104	116
Rebounds	46	45
Assists	30	29
Steals	6	8
Blocks	2	2
Turnovers (Team)	14 (1)	10 (1)
Fouls	21	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (4)	5 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	40 (0)	40 (1)
Field Goals	41-90	43-87
At-the-Rim FG	11-18	9-12
Midrange FG	18-35	22-37
2-Point FG	29-53	31-49
3-Point FG	12-37	12-38
Free Throws	10-17	18-23
Fast Break Pts	15	10
2nd Chance Pts	14	6
Points in Paint	52	50
Pts off Turnovers	13	19
Bench Points	36	33
Biggest Lead	6	19

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg