Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, February 8, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	3	Timberwolves	52%	112	129	141.8	91	88.5
	8	Bucks	48%	111	105	116.7	90	92.7

Scoring Opportunities

MIN

+14

-8

MIL

+12

-13

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.33 66.5%

MIL

1.18 59.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

3 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 23	35.6	26	57%	3	9	1	0	0	3	0	3	4-6	67%	5-9	56%	4-11	36%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 32	35.2	16	89%	11	4	1	0	0	3	3	8	0-1	0%	8-9	89%	0-0	-
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 36	30.6	18	113%	5	9	0	0	1	2	0	5	0-0	-	0-1	0%	6-7	86%
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · PF · 7'0" 248 · 28	29.6	19	59%	5	1	0	0	1	4	2	3	1-2	50%	3-9	33%	4-6	67%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 23	19.3	8	80%	3	0	0	2	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-4	50%

Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	25.4	7	44%	3	4	0	0	1	0	1	2	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Kyle Anderson #1 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 30	24.2	8	100%	5	6	3	0	3	1	3	2	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 24	23.8	17	71%	4	0	1	1	1	1	1	3	3-3	100%	4-7	57%	2-4	50%
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	3.9	5	83%	1	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 22	3.5	0	0%	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 25	3.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Daishen Nix #12 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 22	3.1	3	50%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 20	2.5	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Pointer
Jaylen Clark #0 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Rupture Rehab
Shake Milton #18 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	Inactive - Trade Pending
Troy Brown Jr. #23 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 25	Inactive - Trade Pending
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	129	67%	43	34	8	3	8	17	12	31	12-16	75%	27-46	59%	21-41	51%

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3 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 23	35.6	26	57%	3	9	1	0	0	3	0	3	4-6	67%	5-9	56%	4-11	36%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 32	35.2	16	89%	11	4	1	0	0	3	3	8	0-1	0%	8-9	89%	0-0	-
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 36	30.6	18	113%	5	9	0	0	1	2	0	5	0-0	-	0-1	0%	6-7	86%
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · PF · 7'0" 248 · 28	29.6	19	59%	5	1	0	0	1	4	2	3	1-2	50%	3-9	33%	4-6	67%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 23	19.3	8	80%	3	0	0	2	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-4	50%

Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	25.4	7	44%	3	4	0	0	1	0	1	2	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Kyle Anderson #1 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 30	24.2	8	100%	5	6	3	0	3	1	3	2	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 24	23.8	17	71%	4	0	1	1	1	1	1	3	3-3	100%	4-7	57%	2-4	50%
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	3.9	5	83%	1	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 22	3.5	0	0%	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 25	3.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Daishen Nix #12 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 22	3.1	3	50%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 20	2.5	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Pointer
Jaylen Clark #0 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Rupture Rehab
Shake Milton #18 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	Inactive - Trade Pending
Troy Brown Jr. #23 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 25	Inactive - Trade Pending
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	129	67%	43	34	8	3	8	17	12	31	12-16	75%	27-46	59%	21-41	51%

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8 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 34	37.4	21	88%	8	5	1	0	0	2	1	7	3-3	100%	3-6	50%	4-5	80%
Pat Connaughton #24 · PG · 6'5" 209 · 31	37.3	9	75%	2	9	0	1	4	2	1	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
Malik Beasley #5 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 27	32.8	3	11%	4	3	1	0	1	0	2	2	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	0-9	0%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 29	27.4	17	50%	3	7	1	0	3	1	1	2	3-7	43%	7-12	58%	0-2	0%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 36	25.7	12	75%	5	2	1	2	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-4	50%

Bobby Portis Jr. #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 29	29.2	12	46%	9	3	1	0	3	3	4	5	2-2	100%	5-10	50%	0-2	0%
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 24	21.8	27	113%	2	3	0	0	1	0	0	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	7-8	88%
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 22	17.7	0	0%	1	3	1	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
MarJon Beauchamp #3 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 23	5.4	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 32	5.4	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 34	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
TyTy Washington Jr. #23 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Cameron Payne #15 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 30	Inactive - Trade Pending
Robin Lopez #42 · C · 7'0" 277 · 36	Inactive - Trade Pending
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	59%	35	35	6	3	13	10	10	25	11-16	69%	26-48	54%	14-33	42%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	MIL
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	MIL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.33 66.5%

MIL

1.18 59.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIN

70%

MIL

62%

Midrange

MIN

48%

MIL

45%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIN

31.5

51%

77%

MIL

21.0

42%

64%

Free Throws

MIN

75%

MIL

69%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Edwards	26	57%	13.0 / 23
K. Towns	19	59%	9.5 / 16
M. Conley	18	113%	9.0 / 8
N. Reid	17	71%	8.5 / 12
R. Gobert	16	89%	8.0 / 9
J. McDaniels	8	80%	4.0 / 5
K. Anderson	8	100%	4.0 / 4
N. Alexander-Walker	7	44%	3.5 / 8
J. Minott	5	83%	2.5 / 3
D. Nix	3	50%	1.5 / 3
L. Miller	2	100%	1.0 / 1
W. Moore	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Green	27	113%	13.5 / 12
J. Crowder	21	88%	10.5 / 12
G. Antetokounmpo	17	50%	8.5 / 17
B. Lopez	12	75%	6.0 / 8
B. Portis	12	46%	6.0 / 13
P. Connaughton	9	75%	4.5 / 6
M. Beasley	3	11%	1.5 / 14
M. Beauchamp	2	50%	1.0 / 2
T. Antetokounmpo	2	50%	1.0 / 2
A. Jackson	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 114.7 6 117.6	MIN 141.8 +25.1 MIL 116.7
Pace	22 97.9 8 100.6	MIN 88.5 MIL 92.7 +4.2
Avg. Poss. Time	3 15.0 19 14.4	MIN 16.3 MIL 15.5 −0.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	10 55.9% 4 56.8%	MIN 67.2% +9.2% MIL 58.0%
TO %	22 13.6% 10 12.2%	MIN 7.8% −5.1% MIL 12.9%
ORB %	22 23.1% 25 21.8%	MIN 32.4% +8.0% MIL 24.4%
FTrt	5 27.0 4 27.0	MIN 18.4 MIL 19.8 +1.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 64.6% 20 61.5%	MIN 70.8% MIL 87.5% +16.7%
STL %	6 8.0% 28 6.7%	MIN 8.8% +2.1% MIL 6.7%
BLK %	4 11.0% 28 8.5%	MIN 6.3% MIL 6.5% +0.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 57.7% 6 58.8%	MIN 66.5% +7.5% MIL 59.0%
Rim FG%	15 64.3% 4 67.9%	MIN 69.6% +8.1% MIL 61.5%
Mid FG%	16 42.6% 11 44.5%	MIN 47.8% +2.3% MIL 45.5%
3P %	3 38.7% 11 37.3%	MIN 51.2% +8.8% MIL 42.4%
FT %	18 77.7% 19 77.4%	MIN 75.0% +6.2% MIL 68.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 34.1% 24 31.5%	MIN 26.4% MIL 32.1% +5.7%
Mid Att. %	16 27.5% 7 25.4%	MIN 26.4% −0.7% MIL 27.2%
3P Att. %	17 38.4% 4 43.0%	MIN 47.1% +6.4% MIL 40.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIN	MIL
Possessions	91	90
Possession Minutes	24.7	23.3
Points	129	105
Rebounds	43	35
Assists	34	35
Steals	8	6
Blocks	3	3
Turnovers (Team)	8 (0)	13 (0)
Fouls	17	10
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (2)	10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (1)	25 (4)
Field Goals	48-87	40-81
At-the-Rim FG	16-23	16-26
Midrange FG	11-23	10-22
2-Point FG	27-46	26-48
3-Point FG	21-41	14-33
Free Throws	12-16	11-16
Fast Break Pts	10	5
2nd Chance Pts	20	15
Points in Paint	46	38
Pts off Turnovers	16	11
Bench Points	42	43
Biggest Lead	28	4

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg