Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	4	Nuggets	55%	115	114	118.8	96	86.9
	13	Lakers	45%	113	106	111.6	95	106.1

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	37.8	27	68%	8	2	0	1	1	1	1	7	1-1	100%	7-13	54%	4-7	57%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	36.4	24	55%	13	9	0	3	6	2	3	10	4-4	100%	7-14	50%	2-6	33%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	35.6	29	58%	7	11	2	0	3	2	0	7	0-0	-	7-16	44%	5-9	56%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	31.9	11	61%	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	4	1-2	50%	5-6	83%	0-2	0%
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	22.3	2	100%	1	1	0	0	0	6	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-

Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	26.3	7	44%	4	3	0	0	0	1	3	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	24.8	5	42%	4	2	0	0	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	13.5	3	50%	1	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	11.4	6	50%	8	1	0	0	0	2	4	4	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Tightness
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	54%	50	33	4	10	12	17	14	36	6-7	86%	33-65	51%	14-32	44%

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4 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	37.8	27	68%	8	2	0	1	1	1	1	7	1-1	100%	7-13	54%	4-7	57%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	36.4	24	55%	13	9	0	3	6	2	3	10	4-4	100%	7-14	50%	2-6	33%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	35.6	29	58%	7	11	2	0	3	2	0	7	0-0	-	7-16	44%	5-9	56%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	31.9	11	61%	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	4	1-2	50%	5-6	83%	0-2	0%
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	22.3	2	100%	1	1	0	0	0	6	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-

Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	26.3	7	44%	4	3	0	0	0	1	3	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	24.8	5	42%	4	2	0	0	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	13.5	3	50%	1	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	11.4	6	50%	8	1	0	0	0	2	4	4	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Tightness
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	54%	50	33	4	10	12	17	14	36	6-7	86%	33-65	51%	14-32	44%

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13 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Davis #3 · C · 6'10" 253 · 31	38.2	32	53%	9	3	3	4	1	0	1	8	4-6	67%	14-24	58%	0-3	0%
Rui Hachimura #28 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 26	37.5	2	20%	4	0	0	1	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Austin Reaves #15 · PG · 6'5" 197 · 26	36.3	15	44%	2	10	2	0	1	2	1	1	1-2	50%	4-9	44%	2-7	29%
LeBron James #23 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 39	35.4	25	57%	9	7	1	1	2	0	1	8	5-5	100%	7-14	50%	2-6	33%
Max Christie #10 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 21	15.2	7	44%	2	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	1-2	50%	0-4	0%	2-3	67%

Taurean Prince #12 · PF · 6'6" 218 · 30	34.5	13	93%	3	2	2	1	1	2	0	3	3-3	100%	2-3	67%	2-3	67%
Christian Wood #35 · PF · 6'9" 214 · 28	19.0	3	75%	4	1	1	1	0	2	0	4	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jaxson Hayes #11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 24	17.0	9	64%	6	1	1	2	0	1	5	1	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	0-1	0%
Skylar Mays #4 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 26	7.0	0	0%	0	2	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
D'Angelo Russell #1 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 28	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Jalen Hood-Schifino #0 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Maxwell Lewis #21 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dylan Windler #20 · SF · 6'8" 196 · 27	INACTIVE
Colin Castleton #14 · C · 6'10" 250 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Cam Reddish #5 · SF · 6'8" 208 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Mid-foot; Sprain
Gabe Vincent #7 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	53%	39	27	12	6	7	10	10	29	16-22	73%	33-64	52%	8-25	32%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	LAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.09 54.3%

LAL

1.06 53.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

22

33

67%

LAL

25

37

68%

Midrange

DEN

11

32

34%

LAL

8

27

30%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

14

21.0

32

44%

66%

LAL

8

12.0

25

32%

48%

Free Throws

DEN

6

7

86%

LAL

16

22

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Murray	29	58%	14.5 / 25
M. Porter	27	68%	13.5 / 20
N. Jokić	24	55%	12.0 / 22
A. Gordon	11	61%	5.5 / 9
R. Jackson	7	44%	3.5 / 8
D. Jordan	6	50%	3.0 / 6
P. Watson	5	42%	2.5 / 6
C. Braun	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. Holiday	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Davis	32	53%	16.0 / 30
L. James	25	57%	12.5 / 22
A. Reaves	15	44%	7.5 / 17
T. Prince	13	93%	6.5 / 7
J. Hayes	9	64%	4.5 / 7
M. Christie	7	44%	3.5 / 8
C. Wood	3	75%	1.5 / 2
R. Hachimura	2	20%	1.0 / 5
S. Mays	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 117.9 15 115.4	DEN 118.8 +7.2 LAL 111.6
Pace	26 97.4 4 101.4	DEN 86.9 LAL 106.1 +19.2
Avg. Poss. Time	4 15.0 23 14.2	DEN 16.6 LAL 13.6 −3.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	8 56.2% 5 56.6%	DEN 55.7% +5.1% LAL 50.6%
TO %	7 12.1% 18 13.1%	DEN 12.3% LAL 6.6% −5.7%
ORB %	6 25.5% 30 19.9%	DEN 32.6% +10.9% LAL 21.7%
FTrt	24 22.4 2 27.6	DEN 7.2 LAL 24.7 +17.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 66.9% 8 65.4%	DEN 70.2% +4.3% LAL 65.9%
STL %	20 7.3% 21 7.2%	DEN 4.2% LAL 12.6% +8.4%
BLK %	25 8.7% 19 9.1%	DEN 15.6% +6.4% LAL 9.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.5% 5 58.8%	DEN 54.3% +1.3% LAL 53.0%
Rim FG%	17 63.6% 1 68.9%	DEN 66.7% LAL 67.6% +0.9%
Mid FG%	3 47.0% 25 40.4%	DEN 34.4% +4.8% LAL 29.6%
3P %	10 37.4% 8 37.7%	DEN 43.8% +11.8% LAL 32.0%
FT %	25 76.2% 15 78.2%	DEN 85.7% +13.0% LAL 72.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	4 36.0% 2 36.6%	DEN 34.0% LAL 41.6% +7.6%
Mid Att. %	25 28.8% 18 27.5%	DEN 33.0% LAL 30.3% −2.7%
3P Att. %	30 35.2% 28 35.8%	DEN 33.0% +4.9% LAL 28.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	LAL
Possessions	96	95
Possession Minutes	26.5	21.5
Points	114	106
Rebounds	50	39
Assists	33	27
Steals	4	12
Blocks	10	6
Turnovers (Team)	12 (2)	7 (0)
Fouls	17	10
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (7)	10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (3)	29 (1)
Field Goals	47-97	41-89
At-the-Rim FG	22-33	25-37
Midrange FG	11-32	8-27
2-Point FG	33-65	33-64
3-Point FG	14-32	8-25
Free Throws	6-7	16-22
Fast Break Pts	19	13
2nd Chance Pts	21	12
Points in Paint	54	60
Pts off Turnovers	15	15
Bench Points	21	25
Biggest Lead	15	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg