Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, February 9, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	22	Rockets	52%	111	104	106.1	98	99.7
	25	Raptors	48%	110	107	111.5	96	94.4

Scoring Opportunities

HOU

+20

-21

TOR

+18

-11

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.06 53.1%

TOR

1.04 51.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

22 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 21	33.4	12	55%	10	2	0	0	2	2	5	5	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-6	33%
Amen Thompson #1 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 21	31.7	8	80%	9	4	1	0	6	4	2	7	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Dillon Brooks #9 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28	30.2	20	67%	2	3	1	2	4	5	0	2	4-4	100%	2-8	25%	4-5	80%
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 22	22.4	7	32%	2	1	0	0	4	0	0	2	0-1	0%	2-6	33%	1-5	20%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 22	20.9	7	44%	7	1	0	0	2	3	3	4	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	0-0	-

Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 27	30.8	12	46%	3	5	1	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-8	25%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 37	27.1	11	39%	6	4	1	1	0	1	1	5	4-5	80%	2-5	40%	1-6	17%
Cam Whitmore #7 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 20	17.5	17	77%	3	1	0	0	2	1	0	3	4-4	100%	2-4	50%	3-5	60%
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 28	14.5	4	67%	3	1	1	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Reggie Bullock Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 33	11.3	6	150%	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Jock Landale #2 · C · 6'11" 255 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jermaine Samuels Jr. #00 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nate Hinton #14 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Boban Marjanović #51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; PCL Surgery
Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Lower Leg; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	53%	48	22	5	8	21	20	12	36	13-16	81%	23-47	49%	15-38	39%

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22 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 21	33.4	12	55%	10	2	0	0	2	2	5	5	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-6	33%
Amen Thompson #1 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 21	31.7	8	80%	9	4	1	0	6	4	2	7	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Dillon Brooks #9 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28	30.2	20	67%	2	3	1	2	4	5	0	2	4-4	100%	2-8	25%	4-5	80%
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 22	22.4	7	32%	2	1	0	0	4	0	0	2	0-1	0%	2-6	33%	1-5	20%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 22	20.9	7	44%	7	1	0	0	2	3	3	4	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	0-0	-

Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 27	30.8	12	46%	3	5	1	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-8	25%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 37	27.1	11	39%	6	4	1	1	0	1	1	5	4-5	80%	2-5	40%	1-6	17%
Cam Whitmore #7 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 20	17.5	17	77%	3	1	0	0	2	1	0	3	4-4	100%	2-4	50%	3-5	60%
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 28	14.5	4	67%	3	1	1	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Reggie Bullock Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 33	11.3	6	150%	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Jock Landale #2 · C · 6'11" 255 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jermaine Samuels Jr. #00 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nate Hinton #14 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Boban Marjanović #51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; PCL Surgery
Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Lower Leg; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	53%	48	22	5	8	21	20	12	36	13-16	81%	23-47	49%	15-38	39%

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25 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 25	38.5	25	60%	4	2	1	0	1	2	0	4	3-4	75%	5-10	50%	4-9	44%
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 28	37.1	16	67%	13	3	3	6	4	4	5	8	2-2	100%	7-11	64%	0-0	-
RJ Barrett #9 · SF · 6'6" 214 · 24	35.6	21	75%	5	7	1	0	2	2	1	4	4-5	80%	7-9	78%	1-3	33%
Scottie Barnes #4 · PF · 6'8" 237 · 23	35.0	13	36%	10	8	2	2	1	2	6	4	5-5	100%	4-13	31%	0-3	0%
Gary Trent Jr. #33 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 25	33.9	8	36%	1	3	4	0	1	1	0	1	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	2-8	25%

Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 27	22.3	11	42%	3	0	1	0	1	2	2	1	1-1	100%	5-11	45%	0-2	0%
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 20	19.6	6	60%	1	1	1	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-5	40%
Jontay Porter #34 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 24	10.9	7	58%	3	0	1	0	0	1	2	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Jordan Nwora #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 25	7.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Kelly Olynyk #41 · C · 7'0" 240 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen McDaniels #2 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Garrett Temple #14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Javon Freeman-Liberty #0 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Markquis Nowell #24 · SG · 5'8" 160 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	52%	41	24	14	3	11	17	16	25	17-19	89%	30-62	48%	10-33	30%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	TOR
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	TOR

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.06 53.1%

TOR

1.04 51.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

HOU

48%

TOR

68%

Midrange

HOU

50%

TOR

32%

3PT | Effective 3PT

HOU

22.5

39%

59%

TOR

15.0

30%

45%

Free Throws

HOU

81%

TOR

89%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Brooks	20	67%	10.0 / 15
C. Whitmore	17	77%	8.5 / 11
J. Smith	12	55%	6.0 / 11
A. Holiday	12	46%	6.0 / 13
J. Green	11	39%	5.5 / 14
A. Thompson	8	80%	4.0 / 5
J. Green	7	32%	3.5 / 11
A. Sengun	7	44%	3.5 / 8
R. Bullock	6	150%	3.0 / 2
J. Tate	4	67%	2.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
I. Quickley	25	60%	12.5 / 21
R. Barrett	21	75%	10.5 / 14
J. Poeltl	16	67%	8.0 / 12
S. Barnes	13	36%	6.5 / 18
B. Brown	11	42%	5.5 / 13
G. Trent	8	36%	4.0 / 11
J. Porter	7	58%	3.5 / 6
G. Dick	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Nwora	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	20 113.8 24 111.9	HOU 106.1 TOR 111.5 +5.3
Pace	13 99.6 12 99.9	HOU 99.7 +5.3 TOR 94.4
Avg. Poss. Time	22 14.2 28 13.9	HOU 14.4 −0.8 TOR 15.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	27 52.9% 21 53.5%	HOU 53.5% +6.1% TOR 47.4%
TO %	8 12.1% 21 13.4%	HOU 19.3% TOR 10.4% −8.9%
ORB %	10 25.1% 17 24.2%	HOU 32.4% +1.6% TOR 30.8%
FTrt	9 25.7 16 24.1	HOU 18.8 TOR 20.0 +1.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	27 59.4% 2 67.4%	HOU 57.9% TOR 60.0% +2.1%
STL %	9 7.8% 13 7.7%	HOU 5.1% TOR 14.6% +9.5%
BLK %	11 9.7% 15 9.5%	HOU 12.9% +6.5% TOR 6.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 55.2% 22 55.5%	HOU 53.1% +1.2% TOR 51.9%
Rim FG%	24 61.2% 13 64.8%	HOU 48.3% TOR 67.9% +19.6%
Mid FG%	21 41.2% 22 40.8%	HOU 50.0% +17.6% TOR 32.4%
3P %	23 35.2% 27 34.7%	HOU 39.5% +9.2% TOR 30.3%
FT %	20 77.3% 29 75.6%	HOU 81.3% TOR 89.5% +8.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	6 35.5% 5 35.6%	HOU 34.1% +4.6% TOR 29.5%
Mid Att. %	3 24.7% 17 27.5%	HOU 21.2% −14.6% TOR 35.8%
3P Att. %	13 39.7% 26 36.9%	HOU 44.7% +10.0% TOR 34.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	HOU	TOR
Possessions	98	96
Possession Minutes	23.6	24.4
Points	104	107
Rebounds	48	41
Assists	22	24
Steals	5	14
Blocks	8	3
Turnovers (Team)	21 (1)	11 (1)
Fouls	20	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (8)	16 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (1)	25 (3)
Field Goals	38-85	40-95
At-the-Rim FG	14-29	19-28
Midrange FG	9-18	11-34
2-Point FG	23-47	30-62
3-Point FG	15-38	10-33
Free Throws	13-16	17-19
Fast Break Pts	18	22
2nd Chance Pts	15	19
Points in Paint	38	56
Pts off Turnovers	14	29
Bench Points	50	24
Biggest Lead	3	22

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg