Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, February 9, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	3	Nuggets	51%	117	106	101.9	104	95.6
	12	Kings	49%	116	135	128.6	105	115.1

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+13

-20

SAC

-16

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.08 54.1%

SAC

1.39 69.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

3 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	36.7	10	45%	3	2	2	0	1	1	0	3	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	3-9	33%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	29.8	23	61%	8	7	3	0	1	2	2	6	4-5	80%	8-16	50%	1-1	100%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	27.0	14	70%	3	2	0	1	2	0	2	1	3-6	50%	4-6	67%	1-2	50%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	25.6	12	50%	1	3	1	0	6	1	0	1	2-3	67%	2-5	40%	2-5	40%
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	20.1	4	50%	3	1	1	3	4	3	1	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%

Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	27.5	13	65%	3	1	0	1	1	3	2	1	4-4	100%	3-6	50%	1-2	50%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	20.3	7	44%	3	2	1	0	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-5	20%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	18.1	7	44%	2	3	0	0	0	2	0	2	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	16.0	8	67%	1	4	1	0	3	2	0	1	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	8.7	3	50%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	6.1	2	33%	5	0	0	0	0	0	2	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26	4.1	3	150%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Tendinopathy
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Tightness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	54%	35	26	9	1	20	16	9	26	20-28	71%	28-53	53%	10-29	34%

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3 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	36.7	10	45%	3	2	2	0	1	1	0	3	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	3-9	33%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	29.8	23	61%	8	7	3	0	1	2	2	6	4-5	80%	8-16	50%	1-1	100%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	27.0	14	70%	3	2	0	1	2	0	2	1	3-6	50%	4-6	67%	1-2	50%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	25.6	12	50%	1	3	1	0	6	1	0	1	2-3	67%	2-5	40%	2-5	40%
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	20.1	4	50%	3	1	1	3	4	3	1	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%

Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	27.5	13	65%	3	1	0	1	1	3	2	1	4-4	100%	3-6	50%	1-2	50%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	20.3	7	44%	3	2	1	0	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-5	20%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	18.1	7	44%	2	3	0	0	0	2	0	2	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	16.0	8	67%	1	4	1	0	3	2	0	1	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	8.7	3	50%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	6.1	2	33%	5	0	0	0	0	0	2	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26	4.1	3	150%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Tendinopathy
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Tightness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	54%	35	26	9	1	20	16	9	26	20-28	71%	28-53	53%	10-29	34%

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12 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28	30.5	17	85%	17	10	1	0	3	3	1	16	2-2	100%	6-8	75%	1-1	100%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	28.0	15	50%	2	10	5	0	3	3	0	2	0-0	-	6-13	46%	1-2	50%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 23	26.6	17	65%	1	2	0	0	1	3	0	1	4-4	100%	5-7	71%	1-4	25%
Harrison Barnes #40 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	21.4	9	75%	2	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	21.1	12	86%	2	0	0	0	2	1	1	1	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	2-4	50%

Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 28	20.8	15	107%	7	0	1	0	1	2	1	6	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	3-4	75%
Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 25	20.0	2	33%	2	1	0	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	19.8	23	82%	1	2	1	1	2	1	0	1	2-2	100%	6-6	100%	3-7	43%
Sasha Vezenkov #7 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 29	15.6	6	43%	0	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	2-4	50%
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 31	14.9	11	79%	2	1	1	0	1	3	2	0	3-5	60%	4-4	100%	0-1	0%
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22	7.1	2	33%	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Kessler Edwards #17 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 24	5.8	6	100%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 24	5.8	0	0%	1	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
JaVale McGee #00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 36	2.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jordan Ford #31 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Chris Duarte #3 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	135	70%	42	32	11	5	16	22	6	36	16-18	89%	34-53	64%	17-34	50%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	SAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.08 54.1%

SAC

1.39 69.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

68%

SAC

74%

Midrange

DEN

42%

SAC

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

15.0

34%

52%

SAC

25.5

50%

75%

Free Throws

DEN

71%

SAC

89%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	23	61%	11.5 / 19
A. Gordon	14	70%	7.0 / 10
C. Braun	13	65%	6.5 / 10
J. Murray	12	50%	6.0 / 12
J. Holiday	10	45%	5.0 / 11
R. Jackson	8	67%	4.0 / 6
J. Strawther	7	44%	3.5 / 8
Z. Nnaji	7	44%	3.5 / 8
P. Watson	4	50%	2.0 / 4
C. Gillespie	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. Huff	3	150%	1.5 / 1
D. Jordan	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Monk	23	82%	11.5 / 14
D. Sabonis	17	85%	8.5 / 10
K. Murray	17	65%	8.5 / 13
D. Fox	15	50%	7.5 / 15
T. Lyles	15	107%	7.5 / 7
K. Huerter	12	86%	6.0 / 7
A. Len	11	79%	5.5 / 7
H. Barnes	9	75%	4.5 / 6
A. Vezenkov	6	43%	3.0 / 7
K. Edwards	6	100%	3.0 / 3
D. Mitchell	2	33%	1.0 / 3
C. Jones	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 117.9 13 116.3	DEN 101.9 SAC 128.6 +26.6
Pace	26 97.4 14 99.4	DEN 95.6 SAC 115.1 +19.6
Avg. Poss. Time	4 15.0 26 14.1	DEN 15.1 SAC 12.5 −2.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	8 56.2% 14 55.6%	DEN 52.4% SAC 68.4% +16.0%
TO %	7 12.1% 12 12.5%	DEN 18.2% SAC 14.4% −3.8%
ORB %	6 25.5% 14 24.5%	DEN 20.0% +1.2% SAC 18.8%
FTrt	24 22.4 22 22.9	DEN 34.1 +13.4 SAC 20.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 66.9% 7 65.4%	DEN 68.4% +5.7% SAC 62.7%
STL %	20 7.3% 14 7.6%	DEN 8.7% SAC 10.5% +1.8%
BLK %	25 8.7% 27 8.6%	DEN 1.9% SAC 9.4% +7.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.5% 14 57.0%	DEN 54.1% SAC 69.6% +15.5%
Rim FG%	17 63.6% 6 66.0%	DEN 68.2% SAC 74.2% +6.0%
Mid FG%	3 47.0% 9 44.9%	DEN 41.9% SAC 50.0% +8.1%
3P %	10 37.4% 16 36.6%	DEN 34.5% SAC 50.0% +15.5%
FT %	25 76.2% 30 74.5%	DEN 71.4% SAC 88.9% +17.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	4 36.0% 27 30.0%	DEN 26.8% SAC 35.6% +8.8%
Mid Att. %	25 28.8% 14 26.8%	DEN 37.8% SAC 25.3% −12.5%
3P Att. %	30 35.2% 3 43.2%	DEN 35.4% SAC 39.1% +3.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	SAC
Possessions	104	105
Possession Minutes	26.1	21.9
Points	106	135
Rebounds	35	42
Assists	26	32
Steals	9	11
Blocks	1	5
Turnovers (Team)	20 (1)	16 (0)
Fouls	16	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (4)	6 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (3)	36 (1)
Field Goals	38-82	51-87
At-the-Rim FG	15-22	23-31
Midrange FG	13-31	11-22
2-Point FG	28-53	34-53
3-Point FG	10-29	17-34
Free Throws	20-28	16-18
Fast Break Pts	6	16
2nd Chance Pts	13	13
Points in Paint	42	60
Pts off Turnovers	19	37
Bench Points	43	65
Biggest Lead	9	32

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg