Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, February 10, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	25	Rockets	31%	110	113	107.6	105	107.8
	13	Hawks	69%	117	122	116.2	105	102.3

Scoring Opportunities

HOU

+22

-17

110

ATL

+11

-11

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.03 51.4%

ATL

1.16 58.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

25 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 22	37.2	26	52%	14	10	1	0	5	1	2	12	4-7	57%	8-13	62%	2-9	22%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 21	36.9	9	30%	10	2	4	4	3	2	2	8	0-0	-	3-8	38%	1-7	14%
Dillon Brooks #9 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28	34.8	14	35%	1	1	0	0	0	3	1	0	2-2	100%	3-9	33%	2-10	20%
Amen Thompson #1 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 21	32.6	12	60%	11	3	1	0	2	5	4	7	0-0	-	6-9	67%	0-1	0%
Jeff Green #32 · C · 6'8" 235 · 37	31.5	19	79%	6	2	0	1	5	4	1	5	3-5	60%	2-3	67%	4-7	57%

Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 27	22.4	18	90%	1	2	0	1	0	4	0	1	1-1	100%	4-5	80%	3-5	60%
Reggie Bullock Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 33	14.6	3	50%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Jock Landale #2 · C · 6'11" 255 · 28	12.8	2	25%	9	2	0	0	2	1	3	6	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 28	8.7	2	50%	2	0	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	8.6	8	57%	2	0	0	0	0	3	2	0	0-2	0%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Jermaine Samuels Jr. #00 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nate Hinton #14 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Boban Marjanović #51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Pain
Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Lower Leg; Injury Management
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; PCL Surgery
Cam Whitmore #7 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	51%	58	22	6	6	17	26	16	42	12-19	63%	31-57	54%	13-43	30%

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25 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 22	37.2	26	52%	14	10	1	0	5	1	2	12	4-7	57%	8-13	62%	2-9	22%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 21	36.9	9	30%	10	2	4	4	3	2	2	8	0-0	-	3-8	38%	1-7	14%
Dillon Brooks #9 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28	34.8	14	35%	1	1	0	0	0	3	1	0	2-2	100%	3-9	33%	2-10	20%
Amen Thompson #1 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 21	32.6	12	60%	11	3	1	0	2	5	4	7	0-0	-	6-9	67%	0-1	0%
Jeff Green #32 · C · 6'8" 235 · 37	31.5	19	79%	6	2	0	1	5	4	1	5	3-5	60%	2-3	67%	4-7	57%

Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 27	22.4	18	90%	1	2	0	1	0	4	0	1	1-1	100%	4-5	80%	3-5	60%
Reggie Bullock Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 33	14.6	3	50%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Jock Landale #2 · C · 6'11" 255 · 28	12.8	2	25%	9	2	0	0	2	1	3	6	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 28	8.7	2	50%	2	0	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	8.6	8	57%	2	0	0	0	0	3	2	0	0-2	0%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Jermaine Samuels Jr. #00 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nate Hinton #14 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Boban Marjanović #51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Pain
Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Lower Leg; Injury Management
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; PCL Surgery
Cam Whitmore #7 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	51%	58	22	6	6	17	26	16	42	12-19	63%	31-57	54%	13-43	30%

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13 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 22	39.9	21	81%	6	3	2	2	2	3	2	4	4-4	100%	7-9	78%	1-2	50%
Dejounte Murray #5 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 27	39.9	34	68%	6	7	2	1	1	0	0	6	12-15	80%	5-10	50%	4-9	44%
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 25	39.3	24	71%	6	3	1	1	1	1	2	4	4-4	100%	4-6	67%	4-9	44%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 25	32.9	18	50%	4	8	2	1	4	3	0	4	4-6	67%	4-7	57%	2-9	22%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 23	32.4	11	42%	7	1	0	3	1	5	3	4	3-7	43%	4-9	44%	0-1	0%

Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 31	30.7	8	33%	7	2	0	0	2	4	1	6	1-1	100%	2-6	33%	1-6	17%
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 20	15.8	3	38%	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27	9.3	3	150%	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 35	DND - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 30	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 26	INACTIVE
Seth Lundy #3 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Low Back; Stress Fracture
Wesley Matthews #32 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	58%	41	25	7	8	11	18	9	32	28-37	76%	26-47	55%	14-41	34%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	ATL
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	ATL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.03 51.4%

ATL

1.16 58.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

HOU

58%

ATL

66%

Midrange

HOU

43%

ATL

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

HOU

19.5

30%

45%

ATL

21.0

34%

51%

Free Throws

HOU

63%

ATL

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Green	26	52%	13.0 / 25
J. Green	19	79%	9.5 / 12
A. Holiday	18	90%	9.0 / 10
D. Brooks	14	35%	7.0 / 20
A. Thompson	12	60%	6.0 / 10
J. Smith	9	30%	4.5 / 15
N. Williams	8	57%	4.0 / 7
R. Bullock	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. Landale	2	25%	1.0 / 4
J. Tate	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Murray	34	68%	17.0 / 25
S. Bey	24	71%	12.0 / 17
J. Johnson	21	81%	10.5 / 13
T. Young	18	50%	9.0 / 18
O. Okongwu	11	42%	5.5 / 13
B. Bogdanović	8	33%	4.0 / 12
K. Bufkin	3	38%	1.5 / 4
G. Mathews	3	150%	1.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	20 113.8 12 116.4	HOU 107.6 ATL 116.2 +8.6
Pace	13 99.6 6 100.9	HOU 107.8 +5.5 ATL 102.3
Avg. Poss. Time	22 14.2 21 14.2	HOU 13.4 −0.7 ATL 14.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	27 52.9% 17 53.9%	HOU 50.5% ATL 53.4% +2.9%
TO %	8 12.1% 13 12.5%	HOU 13.6% ATL 9.5% −4.1%
ORB %	10 25.1% 5 27.1%	HOU 33.3% +15.7% ATL 17.6%
FTrt	9 25.7 12 25.1	HOU 19.0 ATL 42.0 +23.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	27 59.4% 19 61.8%	HOU 50.0% ATL 62.5% +12.5%
STL %	9 7.8% 18 7.4%	HOU 5.7% ATL 6.7% +1.0%
BLK %	11 9.7% 21 9.0%	HOU 12.8% ATL 14.0% +1.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 55.2% 16 56.3%	HOU 51.4% ATL 58.1% +6.7%
Rim FG%	24 61.2% 28 60.3%	HOU 58.1% ATL 65.6% +7.5%
Mid FG%	21 41.2% 6 45.2%	HOU 42.9% +9.6% ATL 33.3%
3P %	23 35.2% 17 36.4%	HOU 30.2% ATL 34.1% +3.9%
FT %	20 77.3% 8 79.7%	HOU 63.2% ATL 75.7% +12.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	6 35.5% 18 32.8%	HOU 43.0% +6.6% ATL 36.4%
Mid Att. %	3 24.7% 11 26.5%	HOU 14.0% −3.0% ATL 17.0%
3P Att. %	13 39.7% 9 40.8%	HOU 43.0% ATL 46.6% +3.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	HOU	ATL
Possessions	105	105
Possession Minutes	23.4	24.6
Points	113	122
Rebounds	58	41
Assists	22	25
Steals	6	7
Blocks	6	8
Turnovers (Team)	17 (0)	11 (0)
Fouls	26	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	16 (6)	9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	42 (1)	32 (5)
Field Goals	44-100	40-88
At-the-Rim FG	25-43	21-32
Midrange FG	6-14	5-15
2-Point FG	31-57	26-47
3-Point FG	13-43	14-41
Free Throws	12-19	28-37
Fast Break Pts	12	16
2nd Chance Pts	18	9
Points in Paint	52	48
Pts off Turnovers	18	15
Bench Points	33	14
Biggest Lead	12	15

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg