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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 13, 2024
8:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Heat46%109123
8Bucks54%11197
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caleb Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 28.4
25
30
2
1
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
55%
0-2
0%
Nikola Jovic
F · 6'10" 205 · 20.7
30
3
24
7
3
1
0
0
0
0
7
3-4
75%
3-5
0-1
60%
53%
5-8
63%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 26.6
31
32
16
12
11
2
1
0
3
5
7
0-0
-
8-14
7-13
57%
54%
0-0
-
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.8
26
25
23
3
5
2
1
1
0
0
3
1-1
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
58%
6-8
75%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 24.1
30
32
19
3
5
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
4-8
4-9
50%
51%
3-8
38%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
G · 6'7" 225 · 23.0
28
26
12
3
4
0
1
0
3
1
2
2-3
67%
5-10
4-6
50%
56%
0-2
0%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 35.4
23
15
19
8
3
2
0
0
1
0
8
2-4
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
54%
5-7
71%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.2
23
17
2
4
0
2
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
54%
0-2
0%
Jamal Cain
F · 6'7" 191 · 24.9
6
4
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
56%
0-0
-
Alondes Williams
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.7
6
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
56%
0-1
0%
Cole Swider
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.8
6
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
53%
0-2
0%
Orlando Robinson
C · 7'0" 235 · 23.6
4
2
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
58%
0-0
-
Thomas Bryant
C · 6'10" 248 · 26.5
2
0
0-1
63%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 29.9
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 30.4
Dru Smith
G · 6'3" 203 · 26.1
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 34.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 33.6
18
27
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
53%
0-0
-
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 29.2
34
30
23
11
8
0
1
2
5
2
9
0-0
-
10-16
9-14
63%
63%
1-2
50%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 35.9
23
29
7
3
0
0
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
3-4
67%
62%
1-6
17%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 27.2
28
29
16
3
0
3
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
51%
4-8
50%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 33.6
32
24
16
2
5
0
1
0
3
0
2
4-4
100%
3-7
4-7
43%
54%
2-7
29%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 29.0
26
26
16
4
2
0
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
4-7
4-8
57%
55%
2-5
40%
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 31.1
24
23
0
6
3
1
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
62%
0-1
0%
AJ Green
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.4
15
16
4
3
0
1
0
1
1
0
3
1-1
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
52%
1-6
17%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 35.6
13
18
3
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
50%
1-1
100%
Andre Jackson Jr.
G · 6'6" 209 · 22.3
8
9
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
59%
0-1
0%
MarJon Beauchamp
F · 6'6" 199 · 23.3
8
7
8
2
0
1
0
0
2
1
1
3-4
75%
1-2
1-1
50%
54%
1-2
50%
Thanasis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'7" 205 · 31.6
8
6
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
56%
0-0
-
TyTy Washington Jr.
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.2
4
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Chris Livingston
F · 6'6" 220 · 20.3
2
0
0-0
55%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 32.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.