Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, February 14, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	17	Hawks	70%	121	99	101.0	98	99.1
	30	Hornets	30%	113	122	124.5	98	96.9

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

+18

-16

100

CHA

+14

-12

100

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

0.99 49.5%

CHA

1.22 61.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

17 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 22	38.0	19	50%	12	0	0	2	2	3	5	7	1-2	50%	9-13	69%	0-5	0%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 25	34.4	12	46%	2	12	0	0	4	4	1	1	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	2-8	25%
Dejounte Murray #5 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 27	31.6	13	41%	7	4	1	2	3	2	2	5	2-3	67%	4-8	50%	1-7	14%
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 25	31.6	14	50%	4	1	0	1	1	0	3	1	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	2-5	40%
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 26	25.8	6	50%	12	1	1	1	0	5	3	9	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-

Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 31	28.9	12	60%	5	4	1	0	5	1	1	4	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	2-5	40%
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 26	28.3	21	70%	3	1	1	0	0	4	0	3	7-7	100%	4-8	50%	2-4	50%
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27	16.4	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 20	2.5	2	50%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 24	2.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Big Toe; Sprain
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 26	INACTIVE
Seth Lundy #3 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Low Back; Stress Fracture
Wesley Matthews #32 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	50%	45	23	5	6	16	20	15	30	18-20	90%	27-51	53%	9-38	24%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

17 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 22	38.0	19	50%	12	0	0	2	2	3	5	7	1-2	50%	9-13	69%	0-5	0%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 25	34.4	12	46%	2	12	0	0	4	4	1	1	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	2-8	25%
Dejounte Murray #5 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 27	31.6	13	41%	7	4	1	2	3	2	2	5	2-3	67%	4-8	50%	1-7	14%
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 25	31.6	14	50%	4	1	0	1	1	0	3	1	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	2-5	40%
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 26	25.8	6	50%	12	1	1	1	0	5	3	9	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-

Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 31	28.9	12	60%	5	4	1	0	5	1	1	4	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	2-5	40%
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 26	28.3	21	70%	3	1	1	0	0	4	0	3	7-7	100%	4-8	50%	2-4	50%
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27	16.4	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 20	2.5	2	50%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 24	2.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Big Toe; Sprain
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 26	INACTIVE
Seth Lundy #3 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Low Back; Stress Fracture
Wesley Matthews #32 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	50%	45	23	5	6	16	20	15	30	18-20	90%	27-51	53%	9-38	24%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

30 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandon Miller #24 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 21	36.1	26	62%	6	4	1	3	5	2	3	3	6-6	100%	4-10	40%	4-9	44%
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 26	34.2	17	57%	5	4	1	1	1	4	1	4	4-4	100%	2-7	29%	3-6	50%
Tre Mann #23 · SG · 6'4" 178 · 23	29.7	21	75%	8	6	2	0	1	1	1	7	3-3	100%	3-8	38%	4-5	80%
Cody Martin #11 · PG · 6'6" 205 · 28	29.7	6	50%	7	4	1	0	1	0	2	5	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Nick Richards #4 · C · 6'11" 245 · 26	29.1	12	100%	7	0	0	0	1	4	1	6	2-3	67%	5-5	100%	0-0	-

Grant Williams #2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 25	27.3	15	63%	10	2	2	0	1	2	4	6	0-0	-	6-7	86%	1-5	20%
Vasilije Micić #22 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 30	20.0	13	59%	2	5	0	0	1	3	0	2	4-4	100%	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
Seth Curry #30 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 33	17.1	9	56%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Davis Bertans #9 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 31	13.3	3	38%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Nick Smith Jr. #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 20	1.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Bryce McGowens #7 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 21	1.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
JT Thor #21 · PF · 6'9" 203 · 21	1.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Nathan Mensah #31 · C · 6'10" 230 · 26	INACTIVE
Amari Bailey #10 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Leaky Black #12 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Tendinopathy
Mark Williams #5 · C · 7'1" 240 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Injury Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	61%	46	27	7	4	12	18	12	34	19-20	95%	29-52	56%	15-37	41%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	CHA
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	CHA

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

0.99 49.5%

CHA

1.22 61.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

58%

CHA

70%

Midrange

ATL

45%

CHA

32%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

13.5

24%

36%

CHA

22.5

41%

61%

Free Throws

ATL

90%

CHA

95%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Hunter	21	70%	10.5 / 15
J. Johnson	19	50%	9.5 / 19
S. Bey	14	50%	7.0 / 14
D. Murray	13	41%	6.5 / 16
T. Young	12	46%	6.0 / 13
B. Bogdanović	12	60%	6.0 / 10
B. Fernando	6	50%	3.0 / 6
K. Bufkin	2	50%	1.0 / 2
G. Mathews	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Miller	26	62%	13.0 / 21
T. Mann	21	75%	10.5 / 14
M. Bridges	17	57%	8.5 / 15
G. Williams	15	63%	7.5 / 12
V. Micić	13	59%	6.5 / 11
N. Richards	12	100%	6.0 / 6
S. Curry	9	56%	4.5 / 8
C. Martin	6	50%	3.0 / 6
D. Bertans	3	38%	1.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	12 116.4 28 108.7	ATL 101.0 CHA 124.5 +23.5
Pace	6 100.9 23 97.8	ATL 99.1 +2.2 CHA 96.9
Avg. Poss. Time	21 14.2 13 14.7	ATL 14.5 −0.3 CHA 14.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	17 53.9% 26 52.9%	ATL 45.5% CHA 57.9% +12.4%
TO %	13 12.5% 20 13.2%	ATL 14.1% CHA 11.7% −2.4%
ORB %	5 27.1% 27 21.1%	ATL 30.6% +2.0% CHA 28.6%
FTrt	12 25.1 30 21.2	ATL 22.5 CHA 22.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	19 61.8% 18 62.0%	ATL 63.9% +2.5% CHA 61.4%
STL %	18 7.4% 22 7.0%	ATL 5.1% CHA 7.1% +2.0%
BLK %	21 9.0% 29 8.5%	ATL 11.5% +3.7% CHA 7.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	16 56.3% 28 54.6%	ATL 49.5% CHA 61.0% +11.5%
Rim FG%	28 60.3% 20 63.0%	ATL 58.1% CHA 69.7% +11.6%
Mid FG%	6 45.2% 23 40.5%	ATL 45.0% +13.4% CHA 31.6%
3P %	17 36.4% 21 35.5%	ATL 23.7% CHA 40.5% +16.8%
FT %	8 79.7% 11 78.6%	ATL 90.0% CHA 95.0% +5.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	18 32.8% 15 33.2%	ATL 34.8% CHA 37.1% +2.2%
Mid Att. %	11 26.5% 19 27.7%	ATL 22.5% CHA 21.3% −1.1%
3P Att. %	9 40.8% 15 39.1%	ATL 42.7% +1.1% CHA 41.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	CHA
Possessions	98	98
Possession Minutes	23.7	24.3
Points	99	122
Rebounds	45	46
Assists	23	27
Steals	5	7
Blocks	6	4
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	12 (1)
Fouls	20	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (3)	12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (1)	34 (2)
Field Goals	36-89	44-89
At-the-Rim FG	18-31	23-33
Midrange FG	9-20	6-19
2-Point FG	27-51	29-52
3-Point FG	9-38	15-37
Free Throws	18-20	19-20
Fast Break Pts	2	21
2nd Chance Pts	20	14
Points in Paint	42	52
Pts off Turnovers	12	15
Bench Points	35	40
Biggest Lead	2	25

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg