Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	15	Heat	40%	110	109	113.5	96	98.2
	21	76ers	60%	114	104	108.3	96	93.9

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 27	39.4	23	72%	13	4	2	0	2	2	3	10	5-5	100%	9-14	64%	0-0	-
Tyler Herro #14 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 24	38.1	23	48%	7	7	0	0	3	1	1	6	2-3	67%	9-15	60%	1-8	13%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 30	32.7	20	91%	1	4	1	0	2	4	0	1	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	5-7	71%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 28	25.2	8	40%	1	3	2	0	1	2	1	0	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-4	0%
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 21	14.1	3	75%	3	3	0	0	2	4	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%

Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 27	36.5	16	57%	2	1	2	1	1	1	1	1	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	4-10	40%
Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 23	32.0	12	50%	9	3	2	0	1	2	3	6	0-0	-	6-10	60%	0-2	0%
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 35	11.8	2	50%	6	1	0	0	0	1	1	5	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 25	10.3	2	33%	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Cole Swider #21 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alondes Williams #15 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Thomas Bryant #31 · C · 6'9" 248 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Josh Richardson #0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Dislocation
Dru Smith #9 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 34	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	57%	43	27	10	1	13	17	10	33	14-15	93%	31-53	58%	11-35	31%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

15 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 27	39.4	23	72%	13	4	2	0	2	2	3	10	5-5	100%	9-14	64%	0-0	-
Tyler Herro #14 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 24	38.1	23	48%	7	7	0	0	3	1	1	6	2-3	67%	9-15	60%	1-8	13%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 30	32.7	20	91%	1	4	1	0	2	4	0	1	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	5-7	71%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 28	25.2	8	40%	1	3	2	0	1	2	1	0	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-4	0%
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 21	14.1	3	75%	3	3	0	0	2	4	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%

Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 27	36.5	16	57%	2	1	2	1	1	1	1	1	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	4-10	40%
Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 23	32.0	12	50%	9	3	2	0	1	2	3	6	0-0	-	6-10	60%	0-2	0%
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 35	11.8	2	50%	6	1	0	0	0	1	1	5	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 25	10.3	2	33%	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Cole Swider #21 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alondes Williams #15 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Thomas Bryant #31 · C · 6'9" 248 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Josh Richardson #0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Dislocation
Dru Smith #9 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 34	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	57%	43	27	10	1	13	17	10	33	14-15	93%	31-53	58%	11-35	31%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

21 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Buddy Hield #17 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 31	44.3	22	73%	3	10	2	0	5	4	0	3	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	5-11	45%
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 23	39.4	30	63%	6	7	0	0	3	2	1	5	4-4	100%	10-16	63%	2-7	29%
Paul Reed #44 · C · 6'9" 210 · 25	39.1	18	69%	12	2	0	1	0	3	3	9	3-3	100%	6-11	55%	1-1	100%
Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 28	32.7	9	38%	3	2	1	0	1	6	0	3	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	0-4	0%
KJ Martin #1 · PF · 6'6" 215 · 23	28.1	9	64%	5	3	0	0	2	1	1	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-2	50%

Ricky Council IV #16 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	22.7	13	59%	4	2	0	0	1	1	0	4	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	1-4	25%
Cameron Payne #22 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 30	22.0	2	14%	3	3	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-5	0%
Mo Bamba #5 · C · 7'0" 231 · 26	8.9	1	25%	3	0	0	0	2	2	0	3	1-4	25%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Terquavion Smith #23 · PG · 6'4" 160 · 21	2.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Kenneth Lofton Jr. #35 · PF · 6'7" 275 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nicolas Batum #40 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 35	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Lumbar spine stress response
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus procedure
Robert Covington #33 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bone bruise
Tobias Harris #12 · PF · 6'8" 226 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Impingement
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 38	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	55%	39	29	3	1	14	20	6	33	12-16	75%	31-51	61%	10-35	29%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	PHI
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	PHI

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.14 56.8%

PHI

1.11 55.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

24

34

71%

PHI

17

24

71%

Midrange

MIA

7

19

37%

PHI

14

27

52%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

11

16.5

35

31%

47%

PHI

10

15.0

35

29%

43%

Free Throws

MIA

14

15

93%

PHI

12

16

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo	23	72%	11.5 / 16
T. Herro	23	48%	11.5 / 24
D. Robinson	20	91%	10.0 / 11
H. Highsmith	16	57%	8.0 / 14
J. Jaquez	12	50%	6.0 / 12
C. Martin	8	40%	4.0 / 10
N. Jović	3	75%	1.5 / 2
K. Love	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Cain	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

76ers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Maxey	30	63%	15.0 / 24
B. Hield	22	73%	11.0 / 15
P. Reed	18	69%	9.0 / 13
R. Council	13	59%	6.5 / 11
K. Oubre	9	38%	4.5 / 12
K. Martin	9	64%	4.5 / 7
C. Payne	2	14%	1.0 / 7
M. Bamba	1	25%	0.5 / 2
T. Smith	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	21 113.3 14 116.2	MIA 113.5 +5.2 PHI 108.3
Pace	29 97.0 18 98.2	MIA 98.2 +4.2 PHI 93.9
Avg. Poss. Time	10 14.8 12 14.8	MIA 14.7 −0.7 PHI 15.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	20 53.8% 24 53.2%	MIA 54.0% +0.5% PHI 53.5%
TO %	9 12.2% 1 11.4%	MIA 12.1% −1.0% PHI 13.1%
ORB %	26 21.8% 13 24.8%	MIA 23.3% +7.9% PHI 15.4%
FTrt	8 25.7 6 26.4	MIA 17.0 PHI 18.6 +1.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 64.8% 25 60.0%	MIA 64.3% PHI 70.7% +6.4%
STL %	11 7.7% 1 8.6%	MIA 10.4% +7.3% PHI 3.1%
BLK %	30 7.7% 5 10.8%	MIA 2.0% +0.1% PHI 1.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	17 56.2% 19 56.1%	MIA 56.8% +1.5% PHI 55.3%
Rim FG%	23 61.6% 27 60.9%	MIA 70.6% PHI 70.8% +0.2%
Mid FG%	13 44.3% 17 42.0%	MIA 36.8% PHI 51.9% +15.1%
3P %	12 37.0% 18 36.3%	MIA 31.4% +2.8% PHI 28.6%
FT %	5 81.8% 2 82.6%	MIA 93.3% +18.3% PHI 75.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	29 29.5% 9 34.8%	MIA 38.6% +10.7% PHI 27.9%
Mid Att. %	28 31.1% 21 28.0%	MIA 21.6% −9.8% PHI 31.4%
3P Att. %	14 39.4% 23 37.3%	MIA 39.8% PHI 40.7% +0.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIA	PHI
Possessions	96	96
Possession Minutes	23.5	24.5
Points	109	104
Rebounds	43	39
Assists	27	29
Steals	10	3
Blocks	1	1
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	14 (0)
Fouls	17	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (3)	6 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (3)	33 (1)
Field Goals	42-88	41-86
At-the-Rim FG	24-34	17-24
Midrange FG	7-19	14-27
2-Point FG	31-53	31-51
3-Point FG	11-35	10-35
Free Throws	14-15	12-16
Fast Break Pts	14	14
2nd Chance Pts	20	9
Points in Paint	54	52
Pts off Turnovers	10	10
Bench Points	32	16
Biggest Lead	8	7

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg