Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	18	Pacers	57%	119	127	119.8	106	102.3
	25	Raptors	43%	117	125	119.0	105	110.7

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 30	35.6	23	55%	5	7	1	1	0	5	2	3	6-9	67%	7-14	50%	1-3	33%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 24	34.4	21	70%	4	12	2	0	1	3	0	4	4-5	80%	1-4	25%	5-9	56%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 24	32.7	14	78%	3	5	2	0	1	2	1	2	2-3	67%	3-5	60%	2-3	67%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · C · 6'8" 205 · 22	31.6	15	54%	11	1	0	4	1	4	3	8	1-2	50%	7-12	58%	0-1	0%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 24	16.7	8	40%	2	1	0	2	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-7	29%

Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 26	25.3	15	83%	5	0	2	2	0	1	2	3	1-2	50%	4-4	100%	2-5	40%
Doug McDermott #20 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	23.4	13	54%	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-9	33%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	20.9	10	71%	5	0	1	0	1	1	0	5	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 32	16.4	6	38%	1	6	1	0	3	1	0	1	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Oscar Tshiebwe #44 · PF · 6'8" 255 · 24	3.0	2	100%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Bruise and Illness
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Isaiah Wong #21 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Not Available; Illness
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Spasms
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	127	58%	39	32	9	9	8	20	9	30	16-23	70%	30-56	54%	17-41	41%

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18 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 30	35.6	23	55%	5	7	1	1	0	5	2	3	6-9	67%	7-14	50%	1-3	33%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 24	34.4	21	70%	4	12	2	0	1	3	0	4	4-5	80%	1-4	25%	5-9	56%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 24	32.7	14	78%	3	5	2	0	1	2	1	2	2-3	67%	3-5	60%	2-3	67%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · C · 6'8" 205 · 22	31.6	15	54%	11	1	0	4	1	4	3	8	1-2	50%	7-12	58%	0-1	0%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 24	16.7	8	40%	2	1	0	2	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-7	29%

Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 26	25.3	15	83%	5	0	2	2	0	1	2	3	1-2	50%	4-4	100%	2-5	40%
Doug McDermott #20 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	23.4	13	54%	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-9	33%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	20.9	10	71%	5	0	1	0	1	1	0	5	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 32	16.4	6	38%	1	6	1	0	3	1	0	1	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Oscar Tshiebwe #44 · PF · 6'8" 255 · 24	3.0	2	100%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Bruise and Illness
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Isaiah Wong #21 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Not Available; Illness
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Spasms
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	127	58%	39	32	9	9	8	20	9	30	16-23	70%	30-56	54%	17-41	41%

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25 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Scottie Barnes #4 · PF · 6'8" 237 · 23	36.0	29	60%	12	8	1	1	6	1	2	10	5-5	100%	12-18	67%	0-4	0%
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 25	35.3	14	58%	6	7	0	0	1	2	1	5	3-3	100%	4-6	67%	1-5	20%
RJ Barrett #9 · SF · 6'6" 214 · 24	33.5	23	57%	9	3	1	1	3	1	3	6	4-8	50%	8-14	57%	1-3	33%
Gary Trent Jr. #33 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 25	29.9	8	44%	6	3	0	2	0	1	0	6	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-6	33%
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 28	29.5	19	59%	11	3	1	2	2	3	7	4	3-4	75%	8-15	53%	0-0	-

Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 27	26.4	12	60%	3	3	1	0	1	3	0	3	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	0-1	0%
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 20	21.0	7	50%	1	1	1	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 31	10.9	10	71%	4	0	1	1	0	2	2	2	2-4	50%	4-4	100%	0-1	0%
Kelly Olynyk #41 · C · 7'0" 240 · 33	7.2	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24	5.5	3	150%	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Jordan Nwora #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 25	4.8	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Justise Winslow #12 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen McDaniels #2 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Garrett Temple #14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Javon Freeman-Liberty #0 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mouhamadou Gueye #16 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 26	INACTIVE
Jontay Porter #34 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 24	INACTIVE
Markquis Nowell #24 · SG · 5'8" 160 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	57%	56	30	6	7	15	20	15	41	19-26	73%	44-72	61%	6-26	23%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	TOR
Clock	Team	Event	IND	TOR

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.17 58.3%

TOR

1.15 57.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

19

25

76%

TOR

37

48

77%

Midrange

IND

11

31

35%

TOR

7

24

29%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

17

25.5

41

41%

62%

TOR

6

9.0

26

23%

35%

Free Throws

IND

16

23

70%

TOR

19

26

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Siakam	23	55%	11.5 / 21
T. Haliburton	21	70%	10.5 / 15
I. Jackson	15	54%	7.5 / 14
O. Toppin	15	83%	7.5 / 9
A. Nembhard	14	78%	7.0 / 9
D. McDermott	13	54%	6.5 / 12
B. Sheppard	10	71%	5.0 / 7
A. Nesmith	8	40%	4.0 / 10
T. McConnell	6	38%	3.0 / 8
O. Tshiebwe	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Barnes	29	60%	14.5 / 24
R. Barrett	23	57%	11.5 / 20
J. Poeltl	19	59%	9.5 / 16
I. Quickley	14	58%	7.0 / 12
B. Brown	12	60%	6.0 / 10
C. Boucher	10	71%	5.0 / 7
G. Trent	8	44%	4.0 / 9
G. Dick	7	50%	3.5 / 7
O. Agbaji	3	150%	1.5 / 1
K. Olynyk	0	-	0.0 / 1
J. Nwora	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 120.6 24 111.9	IND 119.8 +0.8 TOR 119.0
Pace	2 102.3 12 99.9	IND 102.3 TOR 110.7 +8.5
Avg. Poss. Time	29 13.7 28 13.9	IND 14.1 TOR 13.0 −1.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 57.8% 21 53.5%	IND 57.2% +3.1% TOR 54.1%
TO %	6 12.0% 21 13.4%	IND 6.9% −5.2% TOR 12.1%
ORB %	20 23.8% 17 24.2%	IND 18.0% TOR 33.3% +15.3%
FTrt	26 22.2 16 24.1	IND 23.7 TOR 26.5 +2.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	6 65.4% 2 67.4%	IND 68.1% +8.1% TOR 60.0%
STL %	15 7.5% 13 7.7%	IND 8.5% +2.8% TOR 5.7%
BLK %	14 9.5% 15 9.5%	IND 12.5% TOR 12.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	2 59.4% 22 55.5%	IND 58.3% +1.0% TOR 57.3%
Rim FG%	7 65.9% 13 64.8%	IND 76.0% TOR 77.1% +1.1%
Mid FG%	1 48.8% 22 40.8%	IND 35.5% +6.3% TOR 29.2%
3P %	9 37.4% 27 34.7%	IND 41.5% +18.4% TOR 23.1%
FT %	13 78.2% 29 75.6%	IND 69.6% TOR 73.1% +3.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	3 36.5% 5 35.6%	IND 25.8% TOR 49.0% +23.2%
Mid Att. %	6 25.4% 17 27.5%	IND 32.0% TOR 24.5% −7.5%
3P Att. %	20 38.0% 26 36.9%	IND 42.3% +15.7% TOR 26.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.11 and 2.11.

Game Totals	IND	TOR
Possessions	106	105
Possession Minutes	24.9	22.8
Points	127	125
Rebounds	39	56
Assists	32	30
Steals	9	6
Blocks	9	7
Turnovers (Team)	8 (0)	15 (0)
Fouls	20	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (2)	15 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (3)	41 (3)
Field Goals	47-97	50-98
At-the-Rim FG	19-25	37-48
Midrange FG	11-31	7-24
2-Point FG	30-56	44-72
3-Point FG	17-41	6-26
Free Throws	16-23	19-26
Fast Break Pts	10	40
2nd Chance Pts	8	16
Points in Paint	54	84
Pts off Turnovers	14	10
Bench Points	46	32
Biggest Lead	3	11

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg