Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, February 14, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	11	Kings	39%	111	102	101.0	101	105.1
	10	Nuggets	61%	115	98	97.0	101	97.2

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+13

-14

100

DEN

+13

-12

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.02 51.0%

DEN

0.96 48.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

11 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	42.9	30	52%	8	8	2	0	1	2	3	5	4-6	67%	10-19	53%	2-7	29%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28	37.6	20	59%	13	7	3	0	5	3	2	11	2-3	67%	9-16	56%	0-0	-
Keegan Murray #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 23	34.7	6	33%	5	1	0	1	3	3	1	4	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-4	0%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 32	33.0	20	91%	5	0	0	1	1	2	0	5	5-6	83%	3-3	100%	3-6	50%
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	25.6	8	57%	5	2	1	2	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-6	33%

Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	29.6	6	25%	3	3	0	0	3	4	0	3	2-2	100%	2-8	25%	0-3	0%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 28	12.1	4	40%	5	0	1	0	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-3	0%
Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 25	7.9	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Chris Duarte #3 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 27	7.8	3	75%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 31	5.7	2	100%	3	0	0	1	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 24	3.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Kessler Edwards #17 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
JaVale McGee #00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mason Jones #22 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan Ford #31 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Sasha Vezenkov #7 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	51%	48	21	7	5	14	18	10	38	15-19	79%	30-56	54%	9-33	27%

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11 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	42.9	30	52%	8	8	2	0	1	2	3	5	4-6	67%	10-19	53%	2-7	29%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28	37.6	20	59%	13	7	3	0	5	3	2	11	2-3	67%	9-16	56%	0-0	-
Keegan Murray #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 23	34.7	6	33%	5	1	0	1	3	3	1	4	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-4	0%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 32	33.0	20	91%	5	0	0	1	1	2	0	5	5-6	83%	3-3	100%	3-6	50%
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	25.6	8	57%	5	2	1	2	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-6	33%

Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	29.6	6	25%	3	3	0	0	3	4	0	3	2-2	100%	2-8	25%	0-3	0%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 28	12.1	4	40%	5	0	1	0	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-3	0%
Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 25	7.9	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Chris Duarte #3 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 27	7.8	3	75%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 31	5.7	2	100%	3	0	0	1	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 24	3.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Kessler Edwards #17 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
JaVale McGee #00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mason Jones #22 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan Ford #31 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Sasha Vezenkov #7 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	51%	48	21	7	5	14	18	10	38	15-19	79%	30-56	54%	9-33	27%

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10 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	39.0	15	39%	5	8	0	1	0	4	0	5	3-4	75%	6-11	55%	0-6	0%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	37.4	19	56%	4	2	0	0	1	0	1	3	0-0	-	5-10	50%	3-7	43%
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	35.1	8	44%	4	2	1	0	1	3	1	3	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	2-5	40%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	33.3	25	66%	15	2	0	0	4	0	3	12	8-8	100%	7-13	54%	1-2	50%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	29.1	12	46%	5	9	1	0	1	1	2	3	0-0	-	6-12	50%	0-1	0%

Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	23.4	5	31%	3	2	1	1	0	3	2	1	2-4	50%	0-4	0%	1-2	50%
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	18.0	3	30%	3	1	2	0	2	4	0	3	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-2	50%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	15.6	3	38%	4	1	1	1	2	2	1	3	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-1	100%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	9.0	8	67%	2	0	0	2	1	1	2	0	4-4	100%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Finger; Sprain/Fracture
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Bilateral Tibia; Inflammation
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Tendinosis
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	48%	45	27	6	5	12	18	12	33	19-22	86%	26-63	41%	9-26	35%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.02 51.0%

DEN

0.96 48.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

66%

DEN

44%

Midrange

SAC

38%

DEN

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

13.5

27%

41%

DEN

13.5

35%

52%

Free Throws

SAC

79%

DEN

86%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Fox	30	52%	15.0 / 29
D. Sabonis	20	59%	10.0 / 17
H. Barnes	20	91%	10.0 / 11
K. Huerter	8	57%	4.0 / 7
K. Murray	6	33%	3.0 / 9
M. Monk	6	25%	3.0 / 12
T. Lyles	4	40%	2.0 / 5
D. Mitchell	3	75%	1.5 / 2
C. Duarte	3	75%	1.5 / 2
A. Len	2	100%	1.0 / 1
K. Ellis	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Gordon	25	66%	12.5 / 19
M. Porter	19	56%	9.5 / 17
N. Jokić	15	39%	7.5 / 19
R. Jackson	12	46%	6.0 / 13
J. Holiday	8	44%	4.0 / 9
Z. Nnaji	8	67%	4.0 / 6
C. Braun	5	31%	2.5 / 8
C. Gillespie	3	30%	1.5 / 5
P. Watson	3	38%	1.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	13 116.3 5 117.9	SAC 101.0 +4.0 DEN 97.0
Pace	14 99.4 26 97.4	SAC 105.1 +7.8 DEN 97.2
Avg. Poss. Time	26 14.1 4 15.0	SAC 13.7 −1.1 DEN 14.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	14 55.6% 8 56.2%	SAC 48.9% +4.5% DEN 44.4%
TO %	12 12.5% 7 12.1%	SAC 13.3% DEN 10.8% −2.5%
ORB %	14 24.5% 6 25.5%	SAC 23.3% DEN 24.0% +0.7%
FTrt	22 22.9 24 22.4	SAC 21.3 DEN 24.7 +3.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	7 65.4% 5 66.9%	SAC 53.8% DEN 77.1% +23.3%
STL %	14 7.6% 20 7.3%	SAC 6.9% +1.0% DEN 5.9%
BLK %	27 8.6% 25 8.7%	SAC 7.9% DEN 8.9% +1.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 57.0% 11 57.5%	SAC 51.0% +3.0% DEN 48.0%
Rim FG%	6 66.0% 17 63.6%	SAC 65.6% +22.0% DEN 43.6%
Mid FG%	9 44.9% 3 47.0%	SAC 37.5% DEN 37.5%
3P %	16 36.6% 10 37.4%	SAC 27.3% DEN 34.6% +7.3%
FT %	30 74.5% 25 76.2%	SAC 78.9% DEN 86.4% +7.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	27 30.0% 4 36.0%	SAC 36.0% DEN 43.8% +7.9%
Mid Att. %	14 26.8% 25 28.8%	SAC 27.0% DEN 27.0%
3P Att. %	3 43.2% 30 35.2%	SAC 37.1% +7.9% DEN 29.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAC	DEN
Possessions	101	101
Possession Minutes	23.1	24.9
Points	102	98
Rebounds	48	45
Assists	21	27
Steals	7	6
Blocks	5	5
Turnovers (Team)	14 (1)	12 (0)
Fouls	18	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (3)	12 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	38 (4)	33 (5)
Field Goals	39-89	35-89
At-the-Rim FG	21-32	17-39
Midrange FG	9-24	9-24
2-Point FG	30-56	26-63
3-Point FG	9-33	9-26
Free Throws	15-19	19-22
Fast Break Pts	13	4
2nd Chance Pts	10	6
Points in Paint	56	40
Pts off Turnovers	15	16
Bench Points	18	19
Biggest Lead	7	16

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg