Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, February 22, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	28	Wizards	22%	108	110	101.9	108	107.9
	9	Nuggets	78%	119	130	120.4	108	108.1

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+20

-14

114

DEN

+17

-16

109

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

0.96 48.2%

DEN

1.19 59.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

28 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SG · 6'7" 195 · 20	32.0	4	33%	1	2	1	1	0	1	0	1	0-1	0%	2-3	67%	0-3	0%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 29	31.0	31	60%	12	3	3	0	3	4	6	6	1-4	25%	6-17	35%	6-8	75%
Tyus Jones #5 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 28	30.9	13	81%	2	14	0	0	2	0	2	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-5	60%
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 23	27.1	5	21%	4	1	0	0	2	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-9	11%	1-3	33%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · C · 6'10" 235 · 25	17.4	8	50%	7	2	2	0	0	0	5	2	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-1	0%

Jordan Poole #13 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 25	30.1	18	45%	1	1	2	0	2	3	0	1	7-9	78%	1-8	13%	3-9	33%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 25	24.6	12	50%	2	3	2	0	4	0	0	2	1-2	50%	1-6	17%	3-5	60%
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 22	13.7	2	20%	3	1	1	0	0	2	0	3	0-2	0%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Eugene Omoruyi #97 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 27	10.8	7	44%	3	2	3	0	1	2	0	3	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	0-2	0%
Landry Shamet #20 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	5.2	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 23	4.4	7	117%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-1	100%
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 21	4.4	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 31	4.4	3	50%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3-4	75%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 30	4.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jared Butler #4 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 23	INACTIVE
Isaiah Livers #12 · PF · 6'6" 232 · 26	INACTIVE
Jules Bernard #14 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24	INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	48%	40	30	14	11	14	15	14	26	13-23	57%	23-66	35%	17-38	45%

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28 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SG · 6'7" 195 · 20	32.0	4	33%	1	2	1	1	0	1	0	1	0-1	0%	2-3	67%	0-3	0%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 29	31.0	31	60%	12	3	3	0	3	4	6	6	1-4	25%	6-17	35%	6-8	75%
Tyus Jones #5 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 28	30.9	13	81%	2	14	0	0	2	0	2	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-5	60%
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 23	27.1	5	21%	4	1	0	0	2	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-9	11%	1-3	33%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · C · 6'10" 235 · 25	17.4	8	50%	7	2	2	0	0	0	5	2	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-1	0%

Jordan Poole #13 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 25	30.1	18	45%	1	1	2	0	2	3	0	1	7-9	78%	1-8	13%	3-9	33%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 25	24.6	12	50%	2	3	2	0	4	0	0	2	1-2	50%	1-6	17%	3-5	60%
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 22	13.7	2	20%	3	1	1	0	0	2	0	3	0-2	0%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Eugene Omoruyi #97 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 27	10.8	7	44%	3	2	3	0	1	2	0	3	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	0-2	0%
Landry Shamet #20 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	5.2	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 23	4.4	7	117%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-1	100%
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 21	4.4	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 31	4.4	3	50%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3-4	75%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 30	4.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jared Butler #4 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 23	INACTIVE
Isaiah Livers #12 · PF · 6'6" 232 · 26	INACTIVE
Jules Bernard #14 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24	INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	48%	40	30	14	11	14	15	14	26	13-23	57%	23-66	35%	17-38	45%

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9 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	31.4	21	95%	19	15	1	0	3	3	2	17	1-2	50%	10-10	100%	0-0	-
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	31.3	18	53%	4	8	3	2	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	9-14	64%	0-3	0%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	30.7	22	65%	11	2	0	0	2	2	5	6	2-2	100%	7-9	78%	2-7	29%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	21.5	17	65%	2	4	1	0	3	4	0	2	3-3	100%	7-10	70%	0-2	0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	15.9	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-3	0%

Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	23.1	12	67%	10	1	2	0	1	2	4	6	1-3	33%	4-6	67%	1-2	50%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	22.1	11	79%	5	1	1	4	4	1	2	3	4-5	80%	2-4	50%	1-1	100%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	21.6	11	39%	1	5	1	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	4-7	57%	1-7	14%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	16.6	8	80%	3	1	0	4	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-1	0%
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	15.2	8	80%	1	2	2	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26	4.4	2	50%	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	4.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	2.0	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	INACTIVE
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	INACTIVE
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	60%	60	41	11	1	16	16	13	47	11-15	73%	49-70	70%	7-31	23%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

0.96 48.2%

DEN

1.19 59.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

45%

DEN

81%

Midrange

WAS

19%

DEN

58%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

25.5

45%

67%

DEN

10.5

23%

34%

Free Throws

WAS

57%

DEN

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Kuzma	31	60%	15.5 / 26
J. Poole	18	45%	9.0 / 20
T. Jones	13	81%	6.5 / 8
C. Kispert	12	50%	6.0 / 12
M. Bagley	8	50%	4.0 / 8
E. Omoruyi	7	44%	3.5 / 8
J. Champagnie	7	117%	3.5 / 3
D. Avdija	5	21%	2.5 / 12
B. Coulibaly	4	33%	2.0 / 6
A. Gill	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. Davis	2	20%	1.0 / 5
R. Holmes	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Porter	22	65%	11.0 / 17
N. Jokić	21	95%	10.5 / 11
J. Murray	18	53%	9.0 / 17
A. Gordon	17	65%	8.5 / 13
C. Braun	12	67%	6.0 / 9
P. Watson	11	79%	5.5 / 7
R. Jackson	11	39%	5.5 / 14
Z. Nnaji	8	80%	4.0 / 5
J. Holiday	8	80%	4.0 / 5
J. Huff	2	50%	1.0 / 2
K. Caldwell-Pope	0	-	0.0 / 6
J. Strawther	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	25 110.3 5 117.9	WAS 101.9 DEN 120.4 +18.5
Pace	1 103.0 26 97.4	WAS 107.9 DEN 108.1 +0.1
Avg. Poss. Time	30 13.6 4 15.0	WAS 13.3 DEN 13.3 −0.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	19 53.8% 8 56.2%	WAS 46.6% DEN 58.9% +12.3%
TO %	19 13.1% 7 12.1%	WAS 10.9% −2.0% DEN 12.9%
ORB %	29 20.0% 6 25.5%	WAS 23.0% DEN 33.3% +10.3%
FTrt	27 22.1 24 22.4	WAS 22.1 +7.2 DEN 14.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	9 64.9% 5 66.9%	WAS 75.0% +1.8% DEN 73.2%
STL %	19 7.3% 20 7.3%	WAS 13.0% +2.8% DEN 10.2%
BLK %	16 9.4% 25 8.7%	WAS 15.7% +14.2% DEN 1.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.16 and 2.16.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	21 55.8% 11 57.5%	WAS 48.2% DEN 59.6% +11.4%
Rim FG%	8 65.7% 17 63.6%	WAS 45.0% DEN 81.1% +36.1%
Mid FG%	28 39.8% 3 47.0%	WAS 19.2% DEN 57.6% +38.4%
3P %	25 34.8% 10 37.4%	WAS 44.7% +22.1% DEN 22.6%
FT %	24 76.4% 25 76.2%	WAS 56.5% DEN 73.3% +16.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	7 35.4% 4 36.0%	WAS 38.5% +1.8% DEN 36.6%
Mid Att. %	8 25.7% 25 28.8%	WAS 25.0% −7.7% DEN 32.7%
3P Att. %	16 38.9% 30 35.2%	WAS 36.5% +5.8% DEN 30.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	DEN
Possessions	108	108
Possession Minutes	24.0	24.0
Points	110	130
Rebounds	40	60
Assists	30	41
Steals	14	11
Blocks	11	1
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	16 (0)
Fouls	15	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (6)	13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (3)	47 (3)
Field Goals	40-104	56-101
At-the-Rim FG	18-40	30-37
Midrange FG	5-26	19-33
2-Point FG	23-66	49-70
3-Point FG	17-38	7-31
Free Throws	13-23	11-15
Fast Break Pts	22	30
2nd Chance Pts	22	21
Points in Paint	42	88
Pts off Turnovers	24	20
Bench Points	49	52
Biggest Lead	0	28

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg