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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 22, 2024
10:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Spurs28%111122
11Kings72%120127
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Devin Vassell
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 23.5
36.7
30.4
32
79%
1
7
0
1
0
1
0
1
3-5
60%
10-14
5-9
71%
52%
3-4
75%
Jeremy Sochan
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.8
36.0
26.7
16
50%
8
2
2
1
0
2
1
7
1-2
50%
6-14
4-7
43%
51%
1-1
100%
Victor Wembanyama
F-C · 7'3" 235 · 20.1
31.3
26.6
19
43%
13
4
5
1
5
1
5
8
2-3
67%
7-15
6-11
47%
55%
1-6
17%
Tre Jones
G · 6'1" 185 · 24.1
29.8
24.4
10
63%
2
9
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
5-7
3-5
71%
55%
0-1
0%
Julian Champagnie
F · 6'7" 217 · 22.7
16.6
16.9
10
83%
5
2
0
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
52%
2-3
67%
Keldon Johnson
F-G · 6'5" 220 · 24.4
31.4
24.0
18
70%
4
3
1
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
5-8
4-7
63%
53%
2-4
50%
Blake Wesley
G · 6'3" 185 · 20.9
16.9
21.7
4
41%
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Zach Collins
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.3
16.7
18.3
3
31%
3
4
1
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-4
3-5
25%
57%
0-0
-
Malaki Branham
F · 6'4" 180 · 20.8
13.3
18.8
5
42%
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
53%
1-2
50%
Cedi Osman
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.9
11.3
16.1
5
63%
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
56%
1-2
50%
Sandro Mamukelashvili
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 24.8
4.9
0
1-1
55%
Devonte' Graham
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.0
4.9
0
0-0
44%
Charles Bassey
C-F · 6'10" 230 · 23.3
David Duke Jr.
G · 6'4" 204 · 24.4
Dominick Barlow
F · 6'8" 215 · 20.7
Sidy Cissoko
G · 6'6" 200 · 19.9
Mamadi Diakite
F · 6'9" 228 · 27.1
Marcus Morris Sr.
F · 6'9" 235 · 34.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
De'Aaron Fox
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.2
37.4
36.8
28
71%
5
9
2
2
1
3
0
5
2-4
50%
10-12
8-13
83%
57%
2-6
33%
Keegan Murray
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.5
34.6
31.3
16
74%
4
0
0
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
59%
2-4
50%
Domantas Sabonis
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 27.8
33.0
36.2
22
73%
11
11
0
1
1
2
3
8
0-0
-
11-15
8-12
73%
65%
0-0
-
Kevin Huerter
G-F · 6'7" 198 · 25.5
31.4
23.7
21
75%
4
5
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-6
2-3
50%
60%
5-8
63%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 31.7
17.2
30.0
5
43%
4
0
1
1
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
2-4
3-4
50%
58%
0-1
0%
Malik Monk
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.0
26.8
28.3
21
63%
3
2
2
1
2
2
0
3
4-4
100%
7-10
4-8
70%
56%
1-5
20%
Chris Duarte
G · 6'6" 190 · 26.7
19.9
4.9
6
100%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
2-3
67%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 28.3
15.0
13.9
4
29%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
0-1
1-1
0%
60%
1-5
20%
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 30.7
13.9
6.7
4
40%
4
0
0
0
2
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
1-1
40%
62%
0-0
-
Davion Mitchell
G · 6'0" 202 · 25.5
10.7
14.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
56%
0-1
0%
Kessler Edwards
F · 6'7" 203 · 23.5
0.0
2.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
54%
0-0
-
Keon Ellis
G · 6'4" 175 · 24.1
7.0
0
0-0
59%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 36.1
1.6
0
0-1
65%
Mason Jones
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.6
1.0
0
0-0
53%
Colby Jones
G · 6'6" 207 · 21.7
Jalen Slawson
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.3
Jordan Ford
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.7
Sasha Vezenkov
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.