Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, February 23, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	16	Nuggets	59%	110	127	132.3	96	91.7
	27	Blazers	41%	106	112	117.9	95	99.6

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+14

-12

POR

+23

-10

108

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.30 64.8%

POR

1.04 51.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

16 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	34.8	29	76%	15	14	2	1	2	4	3	12	4-5	80%	11-14	79%	1-3	33%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	34.1	34	77%	12	1	1	1	0	3	4	8	3-3	100%	8-11	73%	5-10	50%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	32.5	9	64%	4	4	1	0	2	1	1	3	4-5	80%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	27.7	8	67%	2	7	2	1	3	1	0	2	0-2	0%	4-4	100%	0-1	0%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	21.7	9	45%	0	3	0	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-5	20%

Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	23.9	18	100%	2	4	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-1	0%	3-5	60%	4-4	100%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	20.1	3	25%	2	4	0	0	2	1	0	2	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	17.9	8	67%	4	0	0	1	1	2	1	3	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	10.8	6	75%	3	1	1	0	0	1	2	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	6.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	2.4	2	100%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	2.4	1	25%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26	2.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	2.4	0	0%	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Finger; Sprain/Fracture
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Bilateral Tibia; Inflammation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	127	65%	45	38	8	2	12	17	11	34	14-22	64%	37-52	71%	13-33	39%

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16 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	34.8	29	76%	15	14	2	1	2	4	3	12	4-5	80%	11-14	79%	1-3	33%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	34.1	34	77%	12	1	1	1	0	3	4	8	3-3	100%	8-11	73%	5-10	50%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	32.5	9	64%	4	4	1	0	2	1	1	3	4-5	80%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	27.7	8	67%	2	7	2	1	3	1	0	2	0-2	0%	4-4	100%	0-1	0%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	21.7	9	45%	0	3	0	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-5	20%

Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	23.9	18	100%	2	4	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-1	0%	3-5	60%	4-4	100%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	20.1	3	25%	2	4	0	0	2	1	0	2	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	17.9	8	67%	4	0	0	1	1	2	1	3	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	10.8	6	75%	3	1	1	0	0	1	2	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	6.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	2.4	2	100%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	2.4	1	25%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26	2.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	2.4	0	0%	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Finger; Sprain/Fracture
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Bilateral Tibia; Inflammation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	127	65%	45	38	8	2	12	17	11	34	14-22	64%	37-52	71%	13-33	39%

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27 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 30	37.1	25	54%	2	4	3	0	3	2	1	1	4-7	57%	6-15	40%	3-6	50%
Anfernee Simons #1 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 25	36.5	21	70%	3	8	1	0	1	4	0	3	2-2	100%	5-9	56%	3-6	50%
Kris Murray #8 · SG · 6'8" 218 · 24	35.3	9	41%	8	2	1	0	0	4	3	5	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	0-4	0%
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 26	35.0	22	65%	10	3	0	0	1	3	3	7	0-0	-	11-17	65%	0-0	-
Toumani Camara #33 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 24	24.4	6	43%	6	2	1	0	3	0	4	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-1	0%

Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 27	20.0	3	30%	2	2	4	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-2	50%
Dalano Banton #5 · PG · 6'8" 203 · 24	19.6	14	70%	1	3	0	0	0	1	0	1	3-4	75%	4-6	67%	1-3	33%
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 22	14.2	2	20%	6	0	0	0	1	0	4	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 28	12.9	8	36%	6	1	1	2	1	1	3	3	2-3	67%	3-7	43%	0-3	0%
Ashton Hagans #19 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 25	2.4	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Justin Minaya #24 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 25	2.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Malcolm Brogdon #11 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 31	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow; Tendinitis
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Abdominal; Surgery
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
Rayan Rupert #72 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Moses Brown #10 · C · 7'2" 258 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Wrist; Fracture
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Ligament Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	52%	45	25	11	6	10	17	19	26	12-18	67%	38-76	50%	8-25	32%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	POR
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	POR

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.30 64.8%

POR

1.04 51.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

70%

POR

57%

Midrange

DEN

73%

POR

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

19.5

39%

59%

POR

12.0

32%

48%

Free Throws

DEN

64%

POR

67%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Porter	34	77%	17.0 / 22
N. Jokić	29	76%	14.5 / 19
C. Gillespie	18	100%	9.0 / 9
K. Caldwell-Pope	9	64%	4.5 / 7
R. Jackson	9	45%	4.5 / 10
A. Gordon	8	67%	4.0 / 6
P. Watson	8	67%	4.0 / 6
Z. Nnaji	6	75%	3.0 / 4
C. Braun	3	25%	1.5 / 6
J. Strawther	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. Pickett	1	25%	0.5 / 2
J. Holiday	0	-	0.0 / 1
J. Huff	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Grant	25	54%	12.5 / 23
D. Ayton	22	65%	11.0 / 17
A. Simons	21	70%	10.5 / 15
D. Banton	14	70%	7.0 / 10
K. Murray	9	41%	4.5 / 11
D. Reath	8	36%	4.0 / 11
T. Camara	6	43%	3.0 / 7
M. Thybulle	3	30%	1.5 / 5
J. Walker	2	20%	1.0 / 5
A. Hagans	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. Minaya	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 117.9 29 107.7	DEN 132.3 +14.4 POR 117.9
Pace	26 97.4 21 97.9	DEN 91.7 POR 99.6 +7.9
Avg. Poss. Time	4 15.0 15 14.6	DEN 15.7 POR 14.5 −1.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	8 56.2% 30 50.3%	DEN 66.5% +17.0% POR 49.5%
TO %	7 12.1% 29 14.6%	DEN 12.1% POR 9.2% −2.9%
ORB %	6 25.5% 3 27.5%	DEN 29.7% POR 35.8% +6.1%
FTrt	24 22.4 23 22.8	DEN 25.9 +8.1 POR 17.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 66.9% 30 58.7%	DEN 76.0% +21.7% POR 54.3%
STL %	20 7.3% 12 7.7%	DEN 8.3% POR 11.6% +3.3%
BLK %	25 8.7% 20 9.0%	DEN 2.6% POR 11.5% +8.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.28 and 2.28.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.5% 30 52.6%	DEN 64.8% +12.9% POR 51.9%
Rim FG%	17 63.6% 29 58.1%	DEN 70.3% +12.9% POR 57.4%
Mid FG%	3 47.0% 30 38.7%	DEN 73.3% +35.4% POR 37.9%
3P %	10 37.4% 30 34.5%	DEN 39.4% +7.4% POR 32.0%
FT %	25 76.2% 9 79.1%	DEN 63.6% POR 66.7% +3.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	4 36.0% 11 34.7%	DEN 43.5% POR 46.5% +3.0%
Mid Att. %	25 28.8% 23 28.3%	DEN 17.6% −11.1% POR 28.7%
3P Att. %	30 35.2% 24 37.0%	DEN 38.8% +14.1% POR 24.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Game Totals	DEN	POR
Possessions	96	95
Possession Minutes	25.1	22.9
Points	127	112
Rebounds	45	45
Assists	38	25
Steals	8	11
Blocks	2	6
Turnovers (Team)	12 (1)	10 (1)
Fouls	17	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (3)	19 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (2)	26 (0)
Field Goals	50-85	46-101
At-the-Rim FG	26-37	27-47
Midrange FG	11-15	11-29
2-Point FG	37-52	38-76
3-Point FG	13-33	8-25
Free Throws	14-22	12-18
Fast Break Pts	15	13
2nd Chance Pts	17	15
Points in Paint	62	66
Pts off Turnovers	12	15
Bench Points	38	29
Biggest Lead	22	5

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg