Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, February 25, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	7	Nuggets	48%	112	119	121.4	98	89.8
	9	Warriors	52%	113	103	104.0	99	108.9

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+13

-10

101

GSW

+15

-17

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.18 58.9%

GSW

1.06 53.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

7 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	36.8	32	62%	16	16	4	1	2	3	2	14	4-4	100%	11-18	61%	2-6	33%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	36.2	27	71%	4	3	0	1	4	3	1	3	6-6	100%	6-11	55%	3-5	60%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	35.0	13	72%	2	3	1	0	0	1	1	1	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	2-4	50%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	32.7	17	71%	6	2	3	1	2	4	2	4	3-5	60%	7-7	100%	0-3	0%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	32.1	9	38%	7	1	1	0	0	1	0	7	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	1-6	17%

Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	19.8	7	50%	3	0	1	1	0	1	2	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	16.0	3	75%	0	2	0	0	1	4	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	12.0	6	60%	3	1	0	1	0	2	3	0	4-4	100%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	11.3	3	30%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-2	0%	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	1.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	1.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 27	1.6	2	100%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	1.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	1.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Finger; Sprain/Fracture
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	59%	45	29	10	5	10	20	12	33	22-26	85%	32-56	57%	11-32	34%

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7 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	36.8	32	62%	16	16	4	1	2	3	2	14	4-4	100%	11-18	61%	2-6	33%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	36.2	27	71%	4	3	0	1	4	3	1	3	6-6	100%	6-11	55%	3-5	60%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	35.0	13	72%	2	3	1	0	0	1	1	1	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	2-4	50%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	32.7	17	71%	6	2	3	1	2	4	2	4	3-5	60%	7-7	100%	0-3	0%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	32.1	9	38%	7	1	1	0	0	1	0	7	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	1-6	17%

Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	19.8	7	50%	3	0	1	1	0	1	2	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	16.0	3	75%	0	2	0	0	1	4	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	12.0	6	60%	3	1	0	1	0	2	3	0	4-4	100%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	11.3	3	30%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-2	0%	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	1.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	1.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 27	1.6	2	100%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	1.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	1.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Finger; Sprain/Fracture
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	59%	45	29	10	5	10	20	12	33	22-26	85%	32-56	57%	11-32	34%

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9 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 36	32.2	20	45%	1	4	0	0	3	2	0	1	7-8	88%	5-9	56%	1-10	10%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 29	30.6	14	64%	4	4	0	1	0	2	0	4	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	2-4	50%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 21	30.1	4	33%	6	4	1	0	2	0	2	4	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Draymond Green #23 · C · 6'6" 230 · 34	27.2	7	58%	5	4	1	0	6	1	0	5	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-1	100%
Jonathan Kuminga #00 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 21	24.7	19	59%	6	3	0	0	1	1	1	5	9-13	69%	5-9	56%	0-1	0%

Klay Thompson #11 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 34	30.7	23	68%	2	1	0	0	2	4	0	2	4-4	100%	2-2	100%	5-13	38%
Lester Quinones #25 · SG · 6'5" 208 · 23	14.0	6	75%	3	1	0	0	1	1	2	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-2	100%
Gary Payton II #0 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 31	13.7	0	0%	5	1	2	0	0	1	3	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 24	12.4	6	60%	2	1	1	2	1	2	1	1	0-2	0%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Kevon Looney #5 · PF · 6'9" 222 · 28	9.8	0	0%	3	2	0	0	0	3	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Dario Šarić #20 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 30	9.3	4	50%	4	2	0	0	1	0	0	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 22	1.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 28	1.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Usman Garuba #12 · PF · 6'8" 229 · 22	1.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jerome Robinson #18 · SG · 6'5" 188 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 39	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	53%	42	27	5	3	17	18	11	31	22-29	76%	24-47	51%	11-34	32%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	GSW
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	GSW

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.18 58.9%

GSW

1.06 53.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

85%

GSW

59%

Midrange

DEN

42%

GSW

40%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

16.5

34%

52%

GSW

16.5

32%

49%

Free Throws

DEN

85%

GSW

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	32	62%	16.0 / 26
J. Murray	27	71%	13.5 / 19
A. Gordon	17	71%	8.5 / 12
K. Caldwell-Pope	13	72%	6.5 / 9
M. Porter	9	38%	4.5 / 12
C. Braun	7	50%	3.5 / 7
Z. Nnaji	6	60%	3.0 / 5
R. Jackson	3	75%	1.5 / 2
P. Watson	3	30%	1.5 / 5
J. Huff	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. Holiday	0	-	0.0 / 1
B. Key	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Thompson	23	68%	11.5 / 17
S. Curry	20	45%	10.0 / 22
J. Kuminga	19	59%	9.5 / 16
A. Wiggins	14	64%	7.0 / 11
D. Green	7	58%	3.5 / 6
L. Quinones	6	75%	3.0 / 4
T. Jackson-Davis	6	60%	3.0 / 5
B. Podziemski	4	33%	2.0 / 6
D. Šarić	4	50%	2.0 / 4
G. Payton	0	-	0.0 / 1
K. Looney	0	-	0.0 / 1
M. Moody	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 117.9 10 116.9	DEN 121.4 +17.4 GSW 104.0
Pace	26 97.4 11 100.0	DEN 89.8 GSW 108.9 +19.1
Avg. Poss. Time	4 15.0 17 14.4	DEN 16.0 GSW 13.2 −2.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	8 56.2% 12 55.7%	DEN 55.1% +5.1% GSW 50.0%
TO %	7 12.1% 23 13.6%	DEN 9.1% −6.2% GSW 15.3%
ORB %	6 25.5% 4 27.5%	DEN 27.9% +2.9% GSW 25.0%
FTrt	24 22.4 29 21.9	DEN 29.5 GSW 35.8 +6.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 66.9% 4 67.1%	DEN 67.4% GSW 77.1% +9.7%
STL %	20 7.3% 24 6.9%	DEN 10.2% +5.1% GSW 5.1%
BLK %	25 8.7% 23 8.8%	DEN 10.6% +5.2% GSW 5.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.5% 12 57.2%	DEN 58.9% +5.8% GSW 53.1%
Rim FG%	17 63.6% 5 66.3%	DEN 85.0% +25.7% GSW 59.3%
Mid FG%	3 47.0% 19 41.4%	DEN 41.7% +1.7% GSW 40.0%
3P %	10 37.4% 7 38.0%	DEN 34.4% +2.0% GSW 32.4%
FT %	25 76.2% 17 78.0%	DEN 84.6% +8.7% GSW 75.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	4 36.0% 25 31.0%	DEN 22.7% GSW 33.3% +10.6%
Mid Att. %	25 28.8% 12 26.5%	DEN 40.9% GSW 24.7% −16.2%
3P Att. %	30 35.2% 6 42.5%	DEN 36.4% GSW 42.0% +5.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	GSW
Possessions	98	99
Possession Minutes	26.2	21.8
Points	119	103
Rebounds	45	42
Assists	29	27
Steals	10	5
Blocks	5	3
Turnovers (Team)	10 (0)	17 (0)
Fouls	20	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (1)	11 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (2)	31 (3)
Field Goals	43-88	35-81
At-the-Rim FG	17-20	16-27
Midrange FG	15-36	8-20
2-Point FG	32-56	24-47
3-Point FG	11-32	11-34
Free Throws	22-26	22-29
Fast Break Pts	24	3
2nd Chance Pts	14	13
Points in Paint	54	46
Pts off Turnovers	10	9
Bench Points	21	39
Biggest Lead	16	16

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg