Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	10	Heat	52%	111	121	124.7	97	88.6
	17	Kings	48%	110	110	114.6	96	106.6

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 28	40.3	16	57%	6	1	1	0	1	2	2	4	1-1	100%	3-8	38%	3-6	50%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 30	38.6	4	17%	4	11	0	0	2	3	1	3	2-3	67%	1-5	20%	0-6	0%
Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 23	37.7	26	72%	5	2	4	0	2	2	1	4	1-2	50%	11-15	73%	1-2	50%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 27	36.0	28	67%	10	7	2	1	5	1	2	8	6-7	86%	11-17	65%	0-1	0%
Delon Wright #4 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 32	35.3	13	81%	2	5	2	1	0	0	0	2	5-6	83%	1-1	100%	2-4	50%

Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 27	28.9	15	83%	4	0	3	1	0	3	3	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	3-5	60%
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 35	15.2	19	86%	7	1	0	0	1	1	1	6	5-6	83%	4-6	67%	2-3	67%
Cole Swider #21 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 25	4.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Alondes Williams #15 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 25	3.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 21	NWT - League Suspension
Thomas Bryant #31 · C · 6'9" 248 · 27	NWT - League Suspension
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 34	NWT - League Suspension
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 24	INACTIVE
Josh Richardson #0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Dislocation
Dru Smith #9 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Hyperextension
Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	62%	39	27	12	3	11	12	10	29	20-25	80%	34-57	60%	11-30	37%

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10 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 28	40.3	16	57%	6	1	1	0	1	2	2	4	1-1	100%	3-8	38%	3-6	50%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 30	38.6	4	17%	4	11	0	0	2	3	1	3	2-3	67%	1-5	20%	0-6	0%
Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 23	37.7	26	72%	5	2	4	0	2	2	1	4	1-2	50%	11-15	73%	1-2	50%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 27	36.0	28	67%	10	7	2	1	5	1	2	8	6-7	86%	11-17	65%	0-1	0%
Delon Wright #4 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 32	35.3	13	81%	2	5	2	1	0	0	0	2	5-6	83%	1-1	100%	2-4	50%

Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 27	28.9	15	83%	4	0	3	1	0	3	3	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	3-5	60%
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 35	15.2	19	86%	7	1	0	0	1	1	1	6	5-6	83%	4-6	67%	2-3	67%
Cole Swider #21 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 25	4.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Alondes Williams #15 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 25	3.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 21	NWT - League Suspension
Thomas Bryant #31 · C · 6'9" 248 · 27	NWT - League Suspension
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 34	NWT - League Suspension
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 24	INACTIVE
Josh Richardson #0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Dislocation
Dru Smith #9 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Hyperextension
Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	62%	39	27	12	3	11	12	10	29	20-25	80%	34-57	60%	11-30	37%

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17 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28	40.3	14	70%	14	10	0	0	3	2	3	11	1-4	25%	5-7	71%	1-1	100%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	38.5	27	56%	8	6	3	1	7	2	3	5	0-0	-	12-19	63%	1-5	20%
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 26	37.8	14	44%	5	2	0	0	1	2	0	5	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	2-9	22%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 24	35.9	28	93%	5	1	3	1	1	5	2	3	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	6-7	86%
Harrison Barnes #40 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	19.8	10	63%	2	0	1	0	1	1	1	1	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	2-3	67%

Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 28	20.8	5	83%	3	0	0	1	1	5	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	20.7	8	36%	2	7	2	0	1	3	0	2	0-2	0%	4-6	67%	0-4	0%
Chris Duarte #3 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 27	16.8	0	0%	1	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 25	9.5	4	100%	1	3	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
JaVale McGee #00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mason Jones #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kessler Edwards #17 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan Ford #31 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Sasha Vezenkov #7 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	59%	41	30	10	5	15	20	11	30	7-12	58%	32-53	60%	13-32	41%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	SAC

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.23 61.7%

SAC

1.17 58.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

10

15

67%

SAC

8

12

67%

Midrange

MIA

24

42

57%

SAC

24

41

59%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

11

16.5

30

37%

55%

SAC

13

19.5

32

41%

61%

Free Throws

MIA

20

25

80%

SAC

7

12

58%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo	28	67%	14.0 / 21
J. Jaquez	26	72%	13.0 / 18
K. Love	19	86%	9.5 / 11
C. Martin	16	57%	8.0 / 14
H. Highsmith	15	83%	7.5 / 9
D. Wright	13	81%	6.5 / 8
D. Robinson	4	17%	2.0 / 12
C. Swider	0	-	0.0 / 2
A. Williams	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Murray	28	93%	14.0 / 15
D. Fox	27	56%	13.5 / 24
D. Sabonis	14	70%	7.0 / 10
K. Huerter	14	44%	7.0 / 16
H. Barnes	10	63%	5.0 / 8
M. Monk	8	36%	4.0 / 11
T. Lyles	5	83%	2.5 / 3
D. Mitchell	4	100%	2.0 / 2
C. Duarte	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	21 113.3 13 116.3	MIA 124.7 +10.2 SAC 114.6
Pace	29 97.0 14 99.4	MIA 88.6 SAC 106.6 +18.0
Avg. Poss. Time	10 14.8 26 14.1	MIA 16.3 SAC 13.5 −2.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	20 53.8% 14 55.6%	MIA 58.0% SAC 60.6% +2.6%
TO %	9 12.2% 12 12.5%	MIA 10.1% −4.1% SAC 14.2%
ORB %	26 21.8% 14 24.5%	MIA 25.0% SAC 27.5% +2.5%
FTrt	8 25.7 22 22.9	MIA 28.7 +14.6 SAC 14.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 64.8% 7 65.4%	MIA 60.0% SAC 66.7% +6.7%
STL %	11 7.7% 14 7.6%	MIA 12.4% +2.0% SAC 10.4%
BLK %	30 7.7% 27 8.6%	MIA 5.7% SAC 8.8% +3.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	17 56.2% 14 57.0%	MIA 61.7% +3.2% SAC 58.5%
Rim FG%	23 61.6% 6 66.0%	MIA 66.7% SAC 66.7%
Mid FG%	13 44.3% 9 44.9%	MIA 57.1% SAC 58.5% +1.4%
3P %	12 37.0% 16 36.6%	MIA 36.7% SAC 40.6% +3.9%
FT %	5 81.8% 30 74.5%	MIA 80.0% +21.7% SAC 58.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	29 29.5% 27 30.0%	MIA 17.2% +3.1% SAC 14.1%
Mid Att. %	28 31.1% 14 26.8%	MIA 48.3% SAC 48.2% −0.0%
3P Att. %	14 39.4% 3 43.2%	MIA 34.5% SAC 37.6% +3.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIA	SAC
Possessions	97	96
Possession Minutes	26.3	21.6
Points	121	110
Rebounds	39	41
Assists	27	30
Steals	12	10
Blocks	3	5
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	15 (0)
Fouls	12	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (2)	11 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (3)	30 (3)
Field Goals	45-87	45-85
At-the-Rim FG	10-15	8-12
Midrange FG	24-42	24-41
2-Point FG	34-57	32-53
3-Point FG	11-30	13-32
Free Throws	20-25	7-12
Fast Break Pts	5	14
2nd Chance Pts	14	13
Points in Paint	60	50
Pts off Turnovers	17	16
Bench Points	34	17
Biggest Lead	20	10

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg