Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, February 27, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	7	Warriors	73%	121	123	116.0	106	103.5
	28	Wizards	27%	112	112	107.7	104	106.6

Scoring Opportunities

GSW

+16

-18

104

WAS

+13

-20

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.18 59.1%

WAS

1.15 57.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

7 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 36	29.6	18	41%	5	6	1	1	3	1	0	5	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	4-16	25%
Draymond Green #23 · C · 6'6" 230 · 34	28.9	6	50%	8	8	0	0	2	1	0	8	3-4	75%	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Jonathan Kuminga #00 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 21	28.2	21	75%	6	5	0	0	1	1	1	5	1-2	50%	10-13	77%	0-0	-
Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 21	28.1	7	44%	4	4	2	1	2	2	2	2	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-2	50%
Moses Moody #4 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 22	22.5	12	86%	3	1	2	0	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	4-7	57%

Klay Thompson #11 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 34	27.3	25	78%	3	4	0	0	2	2	0	3	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	6-11	55%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 39	21.7	9	75%	4	6	4	0	2	1	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-5	60%
Gary Payton II #0 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 31	18.0	13	65%	4	2	3	1	1	1	4	0	0-0	-	5-9	56%	1-1	100%
Dario Šarić #20 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 30	13.7	5	50%	0	1	0	0	3	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Kevon Looney #5 · PF · 6'9" 222 · 28	10.3	2	50%	5	1	0	2	0	0	0	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 24	8.8	5	83%	2	0	0	1	0	1	1	1	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Lester Quinones #25 · SG · 6'5" 208 · 23	1.5	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jerome Robinson #18 · SG · 6'5" 188 · 27	1.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 29	NWT – Personal \| Family Matter
Usman Garuba #12 · PF · 6'8" 229 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 28	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Inflammation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	59%	44	39	12	5	18	11	9	35	8-11	73%	26-48	54%	21-46	46%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

7 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 36	29.6	18	41%	5	6	1	1	3	1	0	5	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	4-16	25%
Draymond Green #23 · C · 6'6" 230 · 34	28.9	6	50%	8	8	0	0	2	1	0	8	3-4	75%	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Jonathan Kuminga #00 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 21	28.2	21	75%	6	5	0	0	1	1	1	5	1-2	50%	10-13	77%	0-0	-
Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 21	28.1	7	44%	4	4	2	1	2	2	2	2	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-2	50%
Moses Moody #4 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 22	22.5	12	86%	3	1	2	0	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	4-7	57%

Klay Thompson #11 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 34	27.3	25	78%	3	4	0	0	2	2	0	3	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	6-11	55%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 39	21.7	9	75%	4	6	4	0	2	1	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-5	60%
Gary Payton II #0 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 31	18.0	13	65%	4	2	3	1	1	1	4	0	0-0	-	5-9	56%	1-1	100%
Dario Šarić #20 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 30	13.7	5	50%	0	1	0	0	3	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Kevon Looney #5 · PF · 6'9" 222 · 28	10.3	2	50%	5	1	0	2	0	0	0	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 24	8.8	5	83%	2	0	0	1	0	1	1	1	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Lester Quinones #25 · SG · 6'5" 208 · 23	1.5	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jerome Robinson #18 · SG · 6'5" 188 · 27	1.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 29	NWT – Personal \| Family Matter
Usman Garuba #12 · PF · 6'8" 229 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 28	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Inflammation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	59%	44	39	12	5	18	11	9	35	8-11	73%	26-48	54%	21-46	46%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

28 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 29	37.8	27	61%	12	2	0	1	6	0	1	11	2-2	100%	11-17	65%	1-4	25%
Tyus Jones #5 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 28	36.4	14	64%	6	17	2	0	1	0	1	5	1-1	100%	5-7	71%	1-4	25%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 25	33.4	20	67%	3	5	0	2	3	2	0	3	0-1	0%	4-6	67%	4-9	44%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · C · 6'10" 235 · 25	32.9	20	83%	9	2	1	2	1	2	3	6	3-3	100%	7-10	70%	1-1	100%
Landry Shamet #20 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	32.2	16	62%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	3-9	33%

Jordan Poole #13 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 25	29.4	12	35%	3	5	2	0	6	3	1	2	0-0	-	3-9	33%	2-8	25%
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 30	11.8	1	13%	3	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Jared Butler #4 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 24	10.8	2	100%	1	2	0	0	3	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 22	7.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Eugene Omoruyi #97 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 27	7.5	0	0%	3	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Justin Champagnie #99 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jules Bernard #14 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 21	INACTIVE
Isaiah Livers #12 · PF · 6'6" 232 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Joint capsule inflammation
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Pelvis; Pelvic contusion
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Heel; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	58%	41	34	5	6	20	12	11	30	8-10	80%	34-58	59%	12-35	34%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	WAS
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	WAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.18 59.1%

WAS

1.15 57.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

73%

WAS

68%

Midrange

GSW

32%

WAS

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

31.5

46%

68%

WAS

18.0

34%

51%

Free Throws

GSW

73%

WAS

80%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Thompson	25	78%	12.5 / 16
J. Kuminga	21	75%	10.5 / 14
S. Curry	18	41%	9.0 / 22
G. Payton	13	65%	6.5 / 10
M. Moody	12	86%	6.0 / 7
C. Paul	9	75%	4.5 / 6
B. Podziemski	7	44%	3.5 / 8
D. Green	6	50%	3.0 / 6
D. Šarić	5	50%	2.5 / 5
T. Jackson-Davis	5	83%	2.5 / 3
K. Looney	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Kuzma	27	61%	13.5 / 22
C. Kispert	20	67%	10.0 / 15
M. Bagley	20	83%	10.0 / 12
L. Shamet	16	62%	8.0 / 13
T. Jones	14	64%	7.0 / 11
J. Poole	12	35%	6.0 / 17
J. Butler	2	100%	1.0 / 1
R. Holmes	1	13%	0.5 / 4
E. Omoruyi	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	10 116.9 25 110.3	GSW 116.0 +8.3 WAS 107.7
Pace	11 100.0 1 103.0	GSW 103.5 WAS 106.6 +3.2
Avg. Poss. Time	17 14.4 30 13.6	GSW 13.9 WAS 13.5 −0.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	12 55.7% 19 53.8%	GSW 61.2% +5.3% WAS 55.9%
TO %	23 13.6% 19 13.1%	GSW 16.1% −1.6% WAS 17.7%
ORB %	4 27.5% 29 20.0%	GSW 23.1% WAS 23.9% +0.8%
FTrt	29 21.9 27 22.1	GSW 11.7 +0.9 WAS 10.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 67.1% 9 64.9%	GSW 83.0% +9.1% WAS 73.9%
STL %	24 6.9% 19 7.3%	GSW 11.3% +6.5% WAS 4.8%
BLK %	23 8.8% 16 9.4%	GSW 8.6% WAS 12.5% +3.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.16 and 2.16.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	12 57.2% 21 55.8%	GSW 59.1% +1.4% WAS 57.7%
Rim FG%	5 66.3% 8 65.7%	GSW 73.1% +5.2% WAS 67.9%
Mid FG%	19 41.4% 28 39.8%	GSW 31.8% WAS 50.0% +18.2%
3P %	7 38.0% 25 34.8%	GSW 45.7% +11.4% WAS 34.3%
FT %	17 78.0% 24 76.4%	GSW 72.7% WAS 80.0% +7.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	25 31.0% 7 35.4%	GSW 27.7% WAS 30.1% +2.4%
Mid Att. %	12 26.5% 8 25.7%	GSW 23.4% −8.9% WAS 32.3%
3P Att. %	6 42.5% 16 38.9%	GSW 48.9% +11.3% WAS 37.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	GSW	WAS
Possessions	106	104
Possession Minutes	24.6	23.4
Points	123	112
Rebounds	44	41
Assists	39	34
Steals	12	5
Blocks	5	6
Turnovers (Team)	18 (1)	20 (1)
Fouls	11	12
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (7)	11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (0)	30 (1)
Field Goals	47-94	46-93
At-the-Rim FG	19-26	19-28
Midrange FG	7-22	15-30
2-Point FG	26-48	34-58
3-Point FG	21-46	12-35
Free Throws	8-11	8-10
Fast Break Pts	21	21
2nd Chance Pts	9	12
Points in Paint	42	56
Pts off Turnovers	30	28
Bench Points	59	15
Biggest Lead	23	9

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg