Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, February 27, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	19	Rockets	32%	108	95	92.2	103	103.6
	4	Thunder	68%	115	112	108.7	103	102.4

Scoring Opportunities

HOU

+16

-15

104

OKC

+14

-13

104

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

0.91 45.7%

OKC

1.08 53.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

19 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 30	36.2	5	23%	1	5	1	0	2	5	0	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-7	14%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 22	35.8	23	64%	11	6	2	2	5	2	3	8	7-12	58%	8-12	67%	0-1	0%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 21	35.3	18	53%	13	2	1	1	1	1	2	11	3-4	75%	6-10	60%	1-6	17%
Dillon Brooks #9 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28	31.6	7	39%	4	1	0	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-6	17%
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 22	27.9	16	44%	6	3	0	0	3	2	1	5	2-2	100%	4-11	36%	2-6	33%

Amen Thompson #1 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 21	17.4	2	20%	8	0	0	1	2	1	4	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 38	16.6	5	83%	0	3	0	2	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Cam Whitmore #7 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 20	16.0	9	50%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 27	15.9	10	50%	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-5	40%
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 28	2.5	0	0%	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jock Landale #2 · C · 6'11" 255 · 28	2.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Reggie Bullock Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 33	2.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Boban Marjanović #51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Nate Hinton #14 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jermaine Samuels Jr. #00 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; PCL Surgery
Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Lower Leg; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	46%	46	22	5	8	15	16	12	34	12-18	67%	28-56	50%	9-39	23%

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19 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 30	36.2	5	23%	1	5	1	0	2	5	0	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-7	14%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 22	35.8	23	64%	11	6	2	2	5	2	3	8	7-12	58%	8-12	67%	0-1	0%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 21	35.3	18	53%	13	2	1	1	1	1	2	11	3-4	75%	6-10	60%	1-6	17%
Dillon Brooks #9 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28	31.6	7	39%	4	1	0	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-6	17%
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 22	27.9	16	44%	6	3	0	0	3	2	1	5	2-2	100%	4-11	36%	2-6	33%

Amen Thompson #1 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 21	17.4	2	20%	8	0	0	1	2	1	4	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 38	16.6	5	83%	0	3	0	2	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Cam Whitmore #7 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 20	16.0	9	50%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 27	15.9	10	50%	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-5	40%
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 28	2.5	0	0%	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jock Landale #2 · C · 6'11" 255 · 28	2.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Reggie Bullock Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 33	2.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Boban Marjanović #51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Nate Hinton #14 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jermaine Samuels Jr. #00 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; PCL Surgery
Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Lower Leg; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	46%	46	22	5	8	15	16	12	34	12-18	67%	28-56	50%	9-39	23%

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4 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Williams #8 · PF · 6'5" 211 · 23	34.9	24	71%	5	5	2	2	3	1	2	3	0-0	-	9-14	64%	2-3	67%
Chet Holmgren #7 · C · 7'1" 208 · 22	33.6	18	60%	13	2	1	3	2	4	2	11	5-5	100%	5-9	56%	1-4	25%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 26	31.9	31	67%	8	3	1	0	2	2	2	6	5-6	83%	7-15	47%	4-6	67%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 25	21.6	3	17%	3	1	0	1	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-4	0%	1-5	20%
Josh Giddey #3 · SG · 6'7" 214 · 21	20.2	14	58%	7	4	0	0	3	1	1	6	1-2	50%	5-8	63%	1-3	33%

Gordon Hayward #33 · SF · 6'8" 226 · 34	18.9	5	50%	4	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22	18.9	5	125%	3	2	1	1	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 25	16.1	2	50%	2	1	0	0	2	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 25	15.8	6	43%	2	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 20	14.3	2	25%	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 29	11.6	0	0%	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Keyontae Johnson #18 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 24	2.5	2	50%	1	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Bismack Biyombo #15 · C · 6'8" 255 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Olivier Sarr #30 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ousmane Dieng #13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Lindy Waters III #12 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 27	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Adam Flagler #14 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	54%	55	19	7	8	13	14	12	43	14-18	78%	34-66	52%	10-27	37%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	OKC
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	OKC

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

HOU

0.91 45.7%

OKC

1.08 53.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

HOU

51%

OKC

53%

Midrange

HOU

48%

OKC

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

HOU

13.5

23%

35%

OKC

15.0

37%

56%

Free Throws

HOU

67%

OKC

78%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Sengun	23	64%	11.5 / 18
J. Smith	18	53%	9.0 / 17
J. Green	16	44%	8.0 / 18
A. Holiday	10	50%	5.0 / 10
C. Whitmore	9	50%	4.5 / 9
D. Brooks	7	39%	3.5 / 9
F. VanVleet	5	23%	2.5 / 11
J. Green	5	83%	2.5 / 3
A. Thompson	2	20%	1.0 / 5
J. Landale	0	-	0.0 / 1
R. Bullock	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	31	67%	15.5 / 23
J. Williams	24	71%	12.0 / 17
C. Holmgren	18	60%	9.0 / 15
J. Giddey	14	58%	7.0 / 12
A. Wiggins	6	43%	3.0 / 7
G. Hayward	5	50%	2.5 / 5
J. Williams	5	125%	2.5 / 2
L. Dort	3	17%	1.5 / 9
I. Joe	2	50%	1.0 / 2
C. Wallace	2	25%	1.0 / 4
K. Johnson	2	50%	1.0 / 2
K. Williams	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	20 113.8 3 118.3	HOU 92.2 OKC 108.7 +16.5
Pace	13 99.6 5 100.9	HOU 103.6 +1.1 OKC 102.4
Avg. Poss. Time	22 14.2 27 14.0	HOU 13.9 −0.2 OKC 14.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	27 52.9% 3 57.3%	HOU 43.7% OKC 52.7% +9.0%
TO %	8 12.1% 3 11.7%	HOU 12.7% −0.2% OKC 12.9%
ORB %	10 25.1% 28 21.1%	HOU 21.8% OKC 26.1% +4.3%
FTrt	9 25.7 17 24.0	HOU 18.9 OKC 19.4 +0.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	27 59.4% 23 60.9%	HOU 59.5% +16.3% OKC 43.2%
STL %	9 7.8% 3 8.3%	HOU 4.9% OKC 6.8% +1.9%
BLK %	11 9.7% 2 11.3%	HOU 12.1% OKC 14.3% +2.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 55.2% 3 59.2%	HOU 45.7% OKC 53.8% +8.1%
Rim FG%	24 61.2% 10 65.4%	HOU 51.4% OKC 52.6% +1.2%
Mid FG%	21 41.2% 4 46.6%	HOU 47.6% OKC 50.0% +2.4%
3P %	23 35.2% 1 38.9%	HOU 23.1% OKC 37.0% +13.9%
FT %	20 77.3% 4 82.5%	HOU 66.7% OKC 77.8% +11.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	6 35.5% 16 33.2%	HOU 36.8% OKC 40.9% +4.0%
Mid Att. %	3 24.7% 24 28.5%	HOU 22.1% −8.0% OKC 30.1%
3P Att. %	13 39.7% 18 38.3%	HOU 41.1% +12.0% OKC 29.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	HOU	OKC
Possessions	103	103
Possession Minutes	23.9	24.1
Points	95	112
Rebounds	46	55
Assists	22	19
Steals	5	7
Blocks	8	8
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	13 (2)
Fouls	16	14
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (4)	12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (3)	43 (1)
Field Goals	37-95	44-93
At-the-Rim FG	18-35	20-38
Midrange FG	10-21	14-28
2-Point FG	28-56	34-66
3-Point FG	9-39	10-27
Free Throws	12-18	14-18
Fast Break Pts	16	19
2nd Chance Pts	21	15
Points in Paint	48	58
Pts off Turnovers	22	15
Bench Points	26	22
Biggest Lead	5	20

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg