Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, February 27, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	14	Heat	68%	111	106	114.0	93	92.5
	30	Blazers	32%	104	96	103.2	93	94.6

Scoring Opportunities

MIA

-18

POR

+21

-17

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.25 62.4%

POR

0.99 49.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

14 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 30	34.2	17	94%	3	3	2	0	2	3	0	3	3-3	100%	1-2	50%	4-6	67%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 27	33.8	13	54%	9	2	0	1	6	3	1	8	3-7	43%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 34	33.2	22	73%	4	9	4	2	1	3	1	3	7-9	78%	6-10	60%	1-2	50%
Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 30	30.3	19	63%	4	4	1	2	2	0	0	4	3-3	100%	5-10	50%	2-4	50%
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 21	15.2	8	67%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	2-4	50%

Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 23	29.4	7	58%	3	4	0	0	1	3	2	1	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 28	26.9	8	67%	3	1	0	1	3	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-2	100%
Delon Wright #4 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 32	16.9	2	33%	2	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 35	14.3	8	67%	2	2	0	1	2	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-5	40%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 27	5.9	2	50%	2	0	0	1	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Alondes Williams #15 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Hyperextension
Thomas Bryant #31 · C · 6'9" 248 · 27	DNP - League Suspension
Cole Swider #21 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dru Smith #9 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
Josh Richardson #0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Dislocation
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Spasms
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	62%	34	29	8	8	18	19	6	28	18-26	69%	23-44	52%	14-26	54%

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14 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 30	34.2	17	94%	3	3	2	0	2	3	0	3	3-3	100%	1-2	50%	4-6	67%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 27	33.8	13	54%	9	2	0	1	6	3	1	8	3-7	43%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 34	33.2	22	73%	4	9	4	2	1	3	1	3	7-9	78%	6-10	60%	1-2	50%
Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 30	30.3	19	63%	4	4	1	2	2	0	0	4	3-3	100%	5-10	50%	2-4	50%
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 21	15.2	8	67%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	2-4	50%

Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 23	29.4	7	58%	3	4	0	0	1	3	2	1	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 28	26.9	8	67%	3	1	0	1	3	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-2	100%
Delon Wright #4 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 32	16.9	2	33%	2	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 35	14.3	8	67%	2	2	0	1	2	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-5	40%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 27	5.9	2	50%	2	0	0	1	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Alondes Williams #15 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Hyperextension
Thomas Bryant #31 · C · 6'9" 248 · 27	DNP - League Suspension
Cole Swider #21 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dru Smith #9 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
Josh Richardson #0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Dislocation
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Spasms
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	62%	34	29	8	8	18	19	6	28	18-26	69%	23-44	52%	14-26	54%

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30 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anfernee Simons #1 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 25	40.6	26	48%	1	4	0	0	4	3	0	1	2-2	100%	6-15	40%	4-11	36%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 30	40.4	24	63%	7	6	3	0	3	4	1	6	7-8	88%	4-10	40%	3-5	60%
Toumani Camara #33 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 24	32.5	17	65%	10	3	0	0	3	6	6	4	3-3	100%	4-10	40%	2-2	100%
Kris Murray #8 · SG · 6'8" 218 · 24	29.9	0	0%	3	2	2	0	3	3	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-5	0%
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 26	18.6	12	67%	10	2	2	1	2	1	3	7	0-0	-	6-9	67%	0-0	-

Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 27	30.4	8	57%	1	3	2	1	0	2	1	0	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 22	19.2	7	58%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 28	12.6	0	0%	3	0	0	0	1	3	2	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Ashton Hagans #19 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 25	10.8	2	50%	3	1	0	1	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Dalano Banton #5 · PG · 6'8" 203 · 24	5.1	0	0%	0	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Rayan Rupert #72 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 20	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Justin Minaya #24 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Abdominal; Surgery
Moses Brown #10 · C · 7'2" 258 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Wrist; Fracture
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Ligament Tear
Malcolm Brogdon #11 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow; Tendinitis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	50%	40	24	9	4	17	25	15	25	16-19	84%	25-55	45%	10-31	32%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	POR
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	POR

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.25 62.4%

POR

0.99 49.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

70%

POR

52%

Midrange

MIA

33%

POR

39%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

21.0

54%

81%

POR

15.0

32%

48%

Free Throws

MIA

69%

POR

84%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Butler	22	73%	11.0 / 15
T. Rozier	19	63%	9.5 / 15
D. Robinson	17	94%	8.5 / 9
B. Adebayo	13	54%	6.5 / 12
N. Jović	8	67%	4.0 / 6
C. Martin	8	67%	4.0 / 6
K. Love	8	67%	4.0 / 6
J. Jaquez	7	58%	3.5 / 6
D. Wright	2	33%	1.0 / 3
H. Highsmith	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Simons	26	48%	13.0 / 27
J. Grant	24	63%	12.0 / 19
T. Camara	17	65%	8.5 / 13
D. Ayton	12	67%	6.0 / 9
M. Thybulle	8	57%	4.0 / 7
J. Walker	7	58%	3.5 / 6
A. Hagans	2	50%	1.0 / 2
K. Murray	0	-	0.0 / 6
D. Reath	0	-	0.0 / 4
D. Banton	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	21 113.3 29 107.7	MIA 114.0 +10.8 POR 103.2
Pace	29 97.0 21 97.9	MIA 92.5 POR 94.6 +2.1
Avg. Poss. Time	10 14.8 15 14.6	MIA 15.6 POR 15.2 −0.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	20 53.8% 30 50.3%	MIA 62.9% +16.4% POR 46.5%
TO %	9 12.2% 29 14.6%	MIA 19.7% POR 16.0% −3.7%
ORB %	26 21.8% 3 27.5%	MIA 19.4% POR 34.9% +15.5%
FTrt	8 25.7 23 22.8	MIA 37.1 +15.0 POR 22.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 64.8% 30 58.7%	MIA 78.4% +9.8% POR 68.6%
STL %	11 7.7% 12 7.7%	MIA 8.6% POR 9.7% +1.1%
BLK %	30 7.7% 20 9.0%	MIA 14.5% +5.4% POR 9.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.28 and 2.28.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	17 56.2% 30 52.6%	MIA 62.4% +12.9% POR 49.5%
Rim FG%	23 61.6% 29 58.1%	MIA 69.6% +17.7% POR 51.9%
Mid FG%	13 44.3% 30 38.7%	MIA 33.3% POR 39.3% +6.0%
3P %	12 37.0% 30 34.5%	MIA 53.8% +21.5% POR 32.3%
FT %	5 81.8% 9 79.1%	MIA 69.2% POR 84.2% +15.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	29 29.5% 11 34.7%	MIA 32.9% +1.5% POR 31.4%
Mid Att. %	28 31.1% 23 28.3%	MIA 30.0% −2.6% POR 32.6%
3P Att. %	14 39.4% 24 37.0%	MIA 37.1% +1.1% POR 36.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Game Totals	MIA	POR
Possessions	93	93
Possession Minutes	24.1	23.6
Points	106	96
Rebounds	34	40
Assists	29	24
Steals	8	9
Blocks	8	4
Turnovers (Team)	18 (2)	17 (1)
Fouls	19	25
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (3)	15 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (3)	25 (2)
Field Goals	37-70	35-86
At-the-Rim FG	16-23	14-27
Midrange FG	7-21	11-28
2-Point FG	23-44	25-55
3-Point FG	14-26	10-31
Free Throws	18-26	16-19
Fast Break Pts	10	2
2nd Chance Pts	5	20
Points in Paint	40	40
Pts off Turnovers	11	23
Bench Points	27	17
Biggest Lead	12	15

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg