Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, February 28, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	18	Kings	32%	111	96	98.0	98	98.5
	6	Nuggets	68%	118	117	118.2	99	98.5

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+18

-14

102

DEN

+10

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

0.94 47.1%

DEN

1.24 62.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

18 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 24	33.5	21	62%	4	0	1	1	2	4	2	2	0-0	-	6-10	60%	3-7	43%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28	32.1	13	41%	10	7	1	0	3	0	5	5	3-4	75%	5-13	38%	0-1	0%
Harrison Barnes #40 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	19.5	7	50%	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 26	18.4	4	33%	1	2	0	0	3	2	0	1	0-2	0%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 25	15.6	5	50%	1	3	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%

Chris Duarte #3 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 27	25.8	18	64%	3	1	2	2	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	4-8	50%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	24.6	14	44%	5	5	1	0	1	2	1	4	0-0	-	4-11	36%	2-5	40%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 28	23.3	8	57%	5	2	0	0	2	2	1	4	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 31	15.8	4	50%	2	0	2	2	1	0	2	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Mason Jones #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 26	13.0	1	13%	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	3	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Kessler Edwards #17 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 24	10.1	1	17%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 24	8.3	0	0%	2	1	0	0	1	1	2	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
JaVale McGee #00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan Ford #31 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 26	INACTIVE
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22	INACTIVE
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	INACTIVE
Sasha Vezenkov #7 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 29	INACTIVE
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	47%	43	28	8	6	14	14	15	28	8-13	62%	26-60	43%	12-35	34%

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18 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 24	33.5	21	62%	4	0	1	1	2	4	2	2	0-0	-	6-10	60%	3-7	43%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28	32.1	13	41%	10	7	1	0	3	0	5	5	3-4	75%	5-13	38%	0-1	0%
Harrison Barnes #40 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	19.5	7	50%	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 26	18.4	4	33%	1	2	0	0	3	2	0	1	0-2	0%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 25	15.6	5	50%	1	3	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%

Chris Duarte #3 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 27	25.8	18	64%	3	1	2	2	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	4-8	50%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	24.6	14	44%	5	5	1	0	1	2	1	4	0-0	-	4-11	36%	2-5	40%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 28	23.3	8	57%	5	2	0	0	2	2	1	4	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 31	15.8	4	50%	2	0	2	2	1	0	2	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Mason Jones #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 26	13.0	1	13%	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	3	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Kessler Edwards #17 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 24	10.1	1	17%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 24	8.3	0	0%	2	1	0	0	1	1	2	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
JaVale McGee #00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan Ford #31 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 26	INACTIVE
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22	INACTIVE
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	INACTIVE
Sasha Vezenkov #7 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 29	INACTIVE
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	47%	43	28	8	6	14	14	15	28	8-13	62%	26-60	43%	12-35	34%

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6 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	32.5	32	107%	3	6	1	0	5	0	0	3	1-1	100%	8-9	89%	5-6	83%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	32.3	14	64%	14	11	3	1	2	3	1	13	4-4	100%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	28.9	16	80%	2	4	3	0	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	4-6	67%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	24.4	14	58%	5	1	0	1	3	3	0	5	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	2-6	33%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	24.4	17	94%	6	6	0	0	0	0	1	5	3-4	75%	7-7	100%	0-1	0%

Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	20.0	6	50%	2	1	0	1	2	2	1	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	20.0	5	31%	3	0	1	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-6	17%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	18.6	5	42%	1	4	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	13.7	0	0%	2	0	1	3	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	12.3	2	50%	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 27	3.6	3	150%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	3.6	0	0%	0	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	3.6	3	50%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	1.9	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	INACTIVE
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	INACTIVE
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	62%	43	35	10	5	15	17	5	38	10-11	91%	31-51	61%	15-35	43%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAC

0.94 47.1%

DEN

1.24 62.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

53%

DEN

92%

Midrange

SAC

40%

DEN

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

18.0

34%

51%

DEN

22.5

43%

64%

Free Throws

SAC

62%

DEN

91%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Murray	21	62%	10.5 / 17
C. Duarte	18	64%	9.0 / 14
M. Monk	14	44%	7.0 / 16
D. Sabonis	13	41%	6.5 / 16
T. Lyles	8	57%	4.0 / 7
H. Barnes	7	50%	3.5 / 7
D. Mitchell	5	50%	2.5 / 5
K. Huerter	4	33%	2.0 / 6
A. Len	4	50%	2.0 / 4
M. Jones	1	13%	0.5 / 4
K. Edwards	1	17%	0.5 / 3
K. Ellis	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Murray	32	107%	16.0 / 15
A. Gordon	17	94%	8.5 / 9
K. Caldwell-Pope	16	80%	8.0 / 10
N. Jokić	14	64%	7.0 / 11
M. Porter	14	58%	7.0 / 12
P. Watson	6	50%	3.0 / 6
C. Braun	5	31%	2.5 / 8
R. Jackson	5	42%	2.5 / 6
J. Huff	3	150%	1.5 / 1
H. Tyson	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. Holiday	2	50%	1.0 / 2
Z. Nnaji	0	-	0.0 / 4
J. Pickett	0	-	0.0 / 1
J. Strawther	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	13 116.3 5 117.9	SAC 98.0 DEN 118.2 +20.2
Pace	14 99.4 26 97.4	SAC 98.5 DEN 98.5 +0.1
Avg. Poss. Time	26 14.1 4 15.0	SAC 14.6 DEN 14.6 −0.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	14 55.6% 8 56.2%	SAC 46.3% DEN 62.2% +15.9%
TO %	12 12.5% 7 12.1%	SAC 12.2% −2.8% DEN 15.0%
ORB %	14 24.5% 6 25.5%	SAC 28.3% +13.1% DEN 15.2%
FTrt	22 22.9 24 22.4	SAC 13.7 +0.9 DEN 12.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	7 65.4% 5 66.9%	SAC 73.7% DEN 76.1% +2.4%
STL %	14 7.6% 20 7.3%	SAC 8.2% DEN 10.1% +1.9%
BLK %	27 8.6% 25 8.7%	SAC 11.8% +3.5% DEN 8.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 57.0% 11 57.5%	SAC 47.1% DEN 62.2% +15.1%
Rim FG%	6 66.0% 17 63.6%	SAC 53.3% DEN 92.3% +39.0%
Mid FG%	9 44.9% 3 47.0%	SAC 40.0% DEN 50.0% +10.0%
3P %	16 36.6% 10 37.4%	SAC 34.3% DEN 42.9% +8.6%
FT %	30 74.5% 25 76.2%	SAC 61.5% DEN 90.9% +29.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	27 30.0% 4 36.0%	SAC 15.8% +0.7% DEN 15.1%
Mid Att. %	14 26.8% 25 28.8%	SAC 47.4% DEN 44.2% −3.2%
3P Att. %	3 43.2% 30 35.2%	SAC 36.8% DEN 40.7% +3.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAC	DEN
Possessions	98	99
Possession Minutes	23.9	24.1
Points	96	117
Rebounds	43	43
Assists	28	35
Steals	8	10
Blocks	6	5
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	15 (1)
Fouls	14	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (3)	5 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (3)	38 (4)
Field Goals	38-95	46-86
At-the-Rim FG	8-15	12-13
Midrange FG	18-45	19-38
2-Point FG	26-60	31-51
3-Point FG	12-35	15-35
Free Throws	8-13	10-11
Fast Break Pts	14	26
2nd Chance Pts	17	6
Points in Paint	44	40
Pts off Turnovers	13	28
Bench Points	46	24
Biggest Lead	15	32

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg