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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 29, 2024
10:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Heat41%10797
9Nuggets59%110103
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 34.5
40
24
21
7
3
1
1
0
0
3
4
6-9
67%
6-13
4-7
46%
53%
1-4
25%
Nikola Jovic
F · 6'10" 205 · 20.7
25
12
7
6
1
2
0
0
3
0
6
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
52%
1-4
25%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 26.6
36
34
22
8
3
1
1
0
1
1
7
6-6
100%
8-18
7-14
44%
54%
0-0
-
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.9
36
33
12
3
3
3
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
56%
2-6
33%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 30.0
33
27
19
5
4
1
1
0
3
0
5
6-6
100%
5-7
4-8
71%
50%
1-8
13%
Caleb Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 28.4
28
31
13
9
1
0
1
1
2
3
6
1-1
100%
3-7
3-5
43%
54%
2-3
67%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
G · 6'7" 225 · 23.0
27
30
3
4
5
2
1
0
3
1
3
1-2
50%
1-4
4-8
25%
56%
0-1
0%
Orlando Robinson
C · 7'0" 235 · 23.6
12
2
0
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
56%
0-0
-
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 31.8
3
20
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.2
17
1
1-2
54%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 24.1
16
0
2-4
50%
Alondes Williams
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.7
2
0
0-0
48%
Thomas Bryant
C · 6'10" 248 · 26.6
2
0
0-1
63%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 30.5
Dru Smith
G · 6'3" 203 · 26.2
Jamal Cain
F · 6'7" 191 · 24.9
Cole Swider
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.8
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 35.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 25.7
38
28
30
11
3
2
0
2
2
2
9
2-2
100%
8-13
3-6
62%
58%
4-10
40%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.5
37
26
16
9
3
3
1
1
4
2
7
6-6
100%
5-8
4-7
63%
61%
0-0
-
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 29.0
38
33
18
11
7
1
1
2
4
2
9
6-6
100%
6-12
8-13
50%
63%
0-3
0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.0
34
28
18
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
4-4
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
52%
4-8
50%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 27.0
14
31
6
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
5-10
0%
53%
2-3
67%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 33.9
29
19
6
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
49%
0-5
0%
Christian Braun
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.9
20
20
2
2
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
0-1
0%
1-2
2-4
50%
53%
0-0
-
Peyton Watson
G · 6'8" 200 · 21.5
15
18
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
55%
0-1
0%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 34.9
8
10
6
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
2-4
50%
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 23.1
6
14
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
1-2
50%
0-1
2-3
0%
59%
0-0
-
Julian Strawther
G · 6'7" 205 · 21.9
4
0
0-1
52%
Jalen Pickett
G · 6'4" 202 · 24.4
3
0
0-0
55%
Jay Huff
F · 7'1" 240 · 26.5
3
0
0-0
59%
Hunter Tyson
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.7
3
0
0-0
54%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.6
2
0
0-1
68%
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 26.9
Collin Gillespie
G · 6'3" 195 · 24.7
Braxton Key
F · 6'8" 225 · 27.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.