Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, March 1, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	29	Hornets	20%	105	114	131.0	87	85.9
	17	76ers	80%	117	121	137.5	88	89.1

Scoring Opportunities

CHA

+10

-5

PHI

+22

-7

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

1.24 62.0%

PHI

1.16 58.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

29 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 26	39.1	27	71%	11	2	0	0	1	0	1	10	2-2	100%	5-11	45%	5-7	71%
Tre Mann #23 · SG · 6'4" 178 · 23	32.1	9	41%	3	6	0	0	0	2	0	3	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	1-4	25%
Cody Martin #11 · PG · 6'6" 205 · 28	32.1	12	60%	4	2	0	2	1	2	1	3	3-3	100%	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Nick Richards #4 · C · 6'11" 245 · 26	29.6	19	86%	4	1	0	2	0	1	2	2	3-4	75%	8-9	89%	0-0	-
Seth Curry #30 · SF · 6'1" 185 · 34	22.9	5	31%	2	2	1	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-3	33%

Vasilije Micić #22 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 30	28.1	13	59%	0	7	2	0	2	0	0	0	4-4	100%	3-7	43%	1-2	50%
Grant Williams #2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 25	27.3	13	108%	6	2	1	1	1	4	2	4	0-1	0%	5-5	100%	1-1	100%
Davis Bertans #9 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 31	19.7	14	58%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	4-10	40%
Bryce McGowens #7 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 21	9.1	2	33%	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	1	0-1	0%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Brandon Miller #24 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 21	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Contusion
JT Thor #21 · PF · 6'9" 203 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Aleksej Pokusevski #17 · PF · 7'0" 190 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Nick Smith Jr. #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Amari Bailey #10 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Leaky Black #12 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nathan Mensah #31 · C · 6'10" 230 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mark Williams #5 · C · 7'1" 240 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Contusion
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Tendinopathy
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	62%	32	24	5	7	5	13	7	25	14-17	82%	29-51	57%	14-33	42%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

29 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 26	39.1	27	71%	11	2	0	0	1	0	1	10	2-2	100%	5-11	45%	5-7	71%
Tre Mann #23 · SG · 6'4" 178 · 23	32.1	9	41%	3	6	0	0	0	2	0	3	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	1-4	25%
Cody Martin #11 · PG · 6'6" 205 · 28	32.1	12	60%	4	2	0	2	1	2	1	3	3-3	100%	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Nick Richards #4 · C · 6'11" 245 · 26	29.6	19	86%	4	1	0	2	0	1	2	2	3-4	75%	8-9	89%	0-0	-
Seth Curry #30 · SF · 6'1" 185 · 34	22.9	5	31%	2	2	1	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-3	33%

Vasilije Micić #22 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 30	28.1	13	59%	0	7	2	0	2	0	0	0	4-4	100%	3-7	43%	1-2	50%
Grant Williams #2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 25	27.3	13	108%	6	2	1	1	1	4	2	4	0-1	0%	5-5	100%	1-1	100%
Davis Bertans #9 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 31	19.7	14	58%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	4-10	40%
Bryce McGowens #7 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 21	9.1	2	33%	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	1	0-1	0%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Brandon Miller #24 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 21	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Contusion
JT Thor #21 · PF · 6'9" 203 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Aleksej Pokusevski #17 · PF · 7'0" 190 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Nick Smith Jr. #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Amari Bailey #10 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Leaky Black #12 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nathan Mensah #31 · C · 6'10" 230 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mark Williams #5 · C · 7'1" 240 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Contusion
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Tendinopathy
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	62%	32	24	5	7	5	13	7	25	14-17	82%	29-51	57%	14-33	42%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

17 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tobias Harris #12 · PF · 6'8" 226 · 32	40.4	31	82%	12	4	2	1	0	2	2	10	0-0	-	8-11	73%	5-8	63%
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 23	39.1	33	52%	6	5	0	1	0	1	2	4	6-6	100%	6-19	32%	5-10	50%
Kyle Lowry #7 · SG · 6'0" 196 · 38	36.5	15	75%	6	10	0	0	2	3	1	5	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	3-6	50%
Buddy Hield #17 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 31	31.9	13	59%	3	6	2	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-8	38%
Mo Bamba #5 · C · 7'0" 231 · 26	19.5	2	25%	8	1	1	2	2	2	2	6	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%

Nicolas Batum #40 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 35	27.1	8	57%	4	2	0	1	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-6	33%
Paul Reed #44 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 25	23.5	11	92%	8	3	0	2	1	2	5	3	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Cameron Payne #22 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 30	16.7	5	42%	0	7	0	0	2	4	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Ricky Council IV #16 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	5.4	3	25%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Soreness
KJ Martin #1 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Impingement
Kenneth Lofton Jr. #35 · PF · 6'7" 275 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Terquavion Smith #23 · PG · 6'4" 160 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus Procedure
Robert Covington #33 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bone Bruise
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Lumbar Spine Bone Stress
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	58%	48	38	5	6	7	17	15	33	10-11	91%	27-52	52%	19-44	43%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	PHI
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	PHI

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

1.24 62.0%

PHI

1.16 58.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CHA

72%

PHI

57%

Midrange

CHA

36%

PHI

46%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CHA

21.0

42%

64%

PHI

28.5

43%

65%

Free Throws

CHA

82%

PHI

91%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Bridges	27	71%	13.5 / 19
N. Richards	19	86%	9.5 / 11
D. Bertans	14	58%	7.0 / 12
V. Micić	13	59%	6.5 / 11
G. Williams	13	108%	6.5 / 6
C. Martin	12	60%	6.0 / 10
T. Mann	9	41%	4.5 / 11
S. Curry	5	31%	2.5 / 8
B. McGowens	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

76ers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Maxey	33	52%	16.5 / 32
T. Harris	31	82%	15.5 / 19
K. Lowry	15	75%	7.5 / 10
B. Hield	13	59%	6.5 / 11
P. Reed	11	92%	5.5 / 6
N. Batum	8	57%	4.0 / 7
C. Payne	5	42%	2.5 / 6
R. Council	3	25%	1.5 / 6
M. Bamba	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	28 108.7 14 116.2	CHA 131.0 PHI 137.5 +6.5
Pace	23 97.8 18 98.2	CHA 85.9 PHI 89.1 +3.2
Avg. Poss. Time	13 14.7 12 14.8	CHA 16.8 PHI 16.2 −0.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	26 52.9% 24 53.2%	CHA 59.5% +1.7% PHI 57.8%
TO %	20 13.2% 1 11.4%	CHA 5.2% −1.3% PHI 6.5%
ORB %	27 21.1% 13 24.8%	CHA 17.5% PHI 37.5% +20.0%
FTrt	30 21.2 6 26.4	CHA 20.2 +8.7 PHI 11.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	18 62.0% 25 60.0%	CHA 55.8% PHI 82.6% +26.8%
STL %	22 7.0% 1 8.6%	CHA 5.7% PHI 5.7%
BLK %	29 8.5% 5 10.8%	CHA 13.5% +1.7% PHI 11.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	28 54.6% 19 56.1%	CHA 62.0% +3.8% PHI 58.2%
Rim FG%	20 63.0% 27 60.9%	CHA 72.4% +15.3% PHI 57.1%
Mid FG%	23 40.5% 17 42.0%	CHA 36.4% PHI 45.8% +9.4%
3P %	21 35.5% 18 36.3%	CHA 42.4% PHI 43.2% +0.8%
FT %	11 78.6% 2 82.6%	CHA 82.4% PHI 90.9% +8.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	15 33.2% 9 34.8%	CHA 34.5% +5.4% PHI 29.2%
Mid Att. %	19 27.7% 21 28.0%	CHA 26.2% PHI 25.0% −1.2%
3P Att. %	15 39.1% 23 37.3%	CHA 39.3% PHI 45.8% +6.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	CHA	PHI
Possessions	87	88
Possession Minutes	24.3	23.7
Points	114	121
Rebounds	32	48
Assists	24	38
Steals	5	5
Blocks	7	6
Turnovers (Team)	5 (0)	7 (0)
Fouls	13	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (3)	15 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (4)	33 (1)
Field Goals	43-84	46-96
At-the-Rim FG	21-29	16-28
Midrange FG	8-22	11-24
2-Point FG	29-51	27-52
3-Point FG	14-33	19-44
Free Throws	14-17	10-11
Fast Break Pts	12	7
2nd Chance Pts	14	28
Points in Paint	50	44
Pts off Turnovers	3	4
Bench Points	42	27
Biggest Lead	12	12

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg