Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, March 1, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	30	Blazers	40%	102	122	127.1	96	99.4
	28	Grizzlies	60%	106	92	95.8	96	92.8

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+19

-14

101

MEM

+17

-21

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.21 60.4%

MEM

1.00 50.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

30 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 30	33.3	10	50%	2	5	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-5	40%
Anfernee Simons #1 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 25	25.7	7	39%	5	8	0	0	2	0	2	3	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-4	25%
Kris Murray #8 · SG · 6'8" 218 · 24	24.1	14	78%	2	2	3	0	0	1	1	1	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	2-3	67%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 28	23.1	18	56%	5	1	2	2	1	3	3	2	0-1	0%	6-8	75%	2-8	25%
Toumani Camara #33 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 24	20.8	4	40%	7	1	1	0	0	1	2	5	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-

Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 27	26.0	13	59%	3	2	3	0	4	2	1	2	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	1-4	25%
Ashton Hagans #19 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 25	24.4	6	50%	2	5	1	3	1	4	1	1	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 22	22.1	19	95%	10	2	2	1	2	3	3	7	4-4	100%	6-8	75%	1-1	100%
Dalano Banton #5 · PG · 6'8" 203 · 24	20.3	19	63%	7	3	1	2	1	1	2	5	0-0	-	5-10	50%	3-5	60%
Moses Brown #10 · C · 7'2" 258 · 24	8.7	7	88%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	1-3	33%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Rayan Rupert #72 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 20	7.2	5	83%	2	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 21	4.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Justin Minaya #24 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Ligament Tear
Malcolm Brogdon #11 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow; Tendinitis
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hand; Sprain
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Abdominal; Surgery
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	60%	46	31	13	8	14	20	16	30	13-16	81%	35-61	57%	13-31	42%

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30 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 30	33.3	10	50%	2	5	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-5	40%
Anfernee Simons #1 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 25	25.7	7	39%	5	8	0	0	2	0	2	3	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-4	25%
Kris Murray #8 · SG · 6'8" 218 · 24	24.1	14	78%	2	2	3	0	0	1	1	1	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	2-3	67%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 28	23.1	18	56%	5	1	2	2	1	3	3	2	0-1	0%	6-8	75%	2-8	25%
Toumani Camara #33 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 24	20.8	4	40%	7	1	1	0	0	1	2	5	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-

Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 27	26.0	13	59%	3	2	3	0	4	2	1	2	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	1-4	25%
Ashton Hagans #19 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 25	24.4	6	50%	2	5	1	3	1	4	1	1	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 22	22.1	19	95%	10	2	2	1	2	3	3	7	4-4	100%	6-8	75%	1-1	100%
Dalano Banton #5 · PG · 6'8" 203 · 24	20.3	19	63%	7	3	1	2	1	1	2	5	0-0	-	5-10	50%	3-5	60%
Moses Brown #10 · C · 7'2" 258 · 24	8.7	7	88%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	1-3	33%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Rayan Rupert #72 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 20	7.2	5	83%	2	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 21	4.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Justin Minaya #24 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Ligament Tear
Malcolm Brogdon #11 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow; Tendinitis
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hand; Sprain
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Abdominal; Surgery
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	60%	46	31	13	8	14	20	16	30	13-16	81%	35-61	57%	13-31	42%

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28 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jordan Goodwin #4 · PG · 6'3" 215 · 25	33.7	10	36%	3	2	2	4	3	1	2	1	1-2	50%	3-8	38%	1-5	20%
Trey Jemison III #55 · C · 6'10" 270 · 24	30.1	5	63%	6	1	0	0	1	5	2	4	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SF · 6'4" 205 · 24	28.7	8	40%	2	5	0	2	4	2	0	2	2-5	40%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 23	27.6	6	30%	8	1	0	1	4	1	3	5	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-4	0%
Ziaire Williams #8 · SG · 6'9" 185 · 22	25.8	9	45%	5	2	1	0	1	1	0	5	0-0	-	3-7	43%	1-3	33%

Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	26.1	21	70%	2	2	1	0	3	2	0	2	4-5	80%	4-6	67%	3-7	43%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 19	22.7	11	61%	1	0	0	0	2	1	0	1	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	2-3	67%
Lamar Stevens #24 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 27	21.0	19	73%	1	2	1	0	1	2	1	0	4-4	100%	6-11	55%	1-1	100%
Yuta Watanabe #18 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 29	17.1	0	0%	1	0	1	0	2	2	0	1	0-2	0%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Matt Hurt #20 · PF · 6'9" 233 · 24	7.2	3	75%	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 28	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 28	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Sprain
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Labral Repair
Derrick Rose #23 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Soreness
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ring Finger; Central Slip Tear
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · C · 6'10" 242 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quad; Tendon Soreness
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendon Repair
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lumbar; Disc Bulge
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	92	50%	30	15	6	8	21	17	8	22	13-22	59%	26-55	47%	9-24	38%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	MEM
Clock	Team	Event	POR	MEM

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.21 60.4%

MEM

1.00 50.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

60%

MEM

69%

Midrange

POR

50%

MEM

40%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

19.5

42%

63%

MEM

13.5

38%

56%

Free Throws

POR

81%

MEM

59%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Walker	19	95%	9.5 / 10
D. Banton	19	63%	9.5 / 15
D. Reath	18	56%	9.0 / 16
K. Murray	14	78%	7.0 / 9
M. Thybulle	13	59%	6.5 / 11
J. Grant	10	50%	5.0 / 10
A. Simons	7	39%	3.5 / 9
M. Brown	7	88%	3.5 / 4
A. Hagans	6	50%	3.0 / 6
R. Rupert	5	83%	2.5 / 3
T. Camara	4	40%	2.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. LaRavia	21	70%	10.5 / 15
L. Stevens	19	73%	9.5 / 13
G. Jackson	11	61%	5.5 / 9
J. Goodwin	10	36%	5.0 / 14
Z. Williams	9	45%	4.5 / 10
V. Williams	8	40%	4.0 / 10
S. Aldama	6	30%	3.0 / 10
T. Jemison	5	63%	2.5 / 4
M. Hurt	3	75%	1.5 / 2
Y. Watanabe	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	29 107.7 30 106.8	POR 127.1 +31.3 MEM 95.8
Pace	21 97.9 17 98.6	POR 99.4 +6.6 MEM 92.8
Avg. Poss. Time	15 14.6 11 14.8	POR 14.5 −1.0 MEM 15.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	30 50.3% 29 50.9%	POR 59.2% +9.2% MEM 50.0%
TO %	29 14.6% 27 14.3%	POR 12.4% −8.2% MEM 20.6%
ORB %	3 27.5% 19 23.8%	POR 42.1% +21.0% MEM 21.1%
FTrt	23 22.8 18 23.8	POR 17.4 MEM 27.8 +10.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	30 58.7% 13 64.4%	POR 64.6% +21.7% MEM 42.9%
STL %	12 7.7% 5 8.3%	POR 13.5% +7.2% MEM 6.3%
BLK %	20 9.0% 1 11.9%	POR 14.5% +1.4% MEM 13.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	30 52.6% 29 52.9%	POR 60.4% +10.4% MEM 50.0%
Rim FG%	29 58.1% 30 57.8%	POR 60.5% MEM 69.2% +8.7%
Mid FG%	30 38.7% 26 40.3%	POR 50.0% +9.5% MEM 40.5%
3P %	30 34.5% 29 34.6%	POR 41.9% +4.4% MEM 37.5%
FT %	9 79.1% 23 76.4%	POR 81.3% +22.2% MEM 59.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	11 34.7% 21 32.3%	POR 46.7% +30.3% MEM 16.5%
Mid Att. %	23 28.3% 4 24.9%	POR 19.6% −33.6% MEM 53.2%
3P Att. %	24 37.0% 5 42.8%	POR 33.7% +3.3% MEM 30.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Game Totals	POR	MEM
Possessions	96	96
Possession Minutes	23.2	24.8
Points	122	92
Rebounds	46	30
Assists	31	15
Steals	13	6
Blocks	8	8
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	21 (2)
Fouls	20	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	16 (3)	8 (9)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (3)	22 (5)
Field Goals	48-92	35-79
At-the-Rim FG	26-43	9-13
Midrange FG	9-18	17-42
2-Point FG	35-61	26-55
3-Point FG	13-31	9-24
Free Throws	13-16	13-22
Fast Break Pts	18	8
2nd Chance Pts	13	11
Points in Paint	66	42
Pts off Turnovers	27	19
Bench Points	69	54
Biggest Lead	33	4

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg