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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 1, 2024
8:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Kings25%106124
2Timberwolves75%116120
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 31.8
40.7
22.7
14
54%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-2
0%
4-7
2-3
57%
54%
2-5
40%
Keegan Murray
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.5
42.8
33.2
17
54%
5
1
2
1
1
1
1
4
2-2
100%
6-12
3-6
50%
55%
1-3
33%
Domantas Sabonis
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 27.8
40.9
33.6
21
57%
15
8
0
1
3
1
5
10
6-10
60%
6-12
7-11
50%
60%
1-2
50%
Kevin Huerter
G-F · 6'7" 198 · 25.5
32.8
25.0
8
33%
6
4
0
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
56%
2-7
29%
Keon Ellis
G · 6'4" 175 · 24.1
18.5
5.5
2
50%
2
7
4
0
1
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
52%
0-1
0%
Malik Monk
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.1
33.2
24.0
39
63%
4
4
1
1
0
2
0
4
2-4
50%
11-21
3-7
52%
52%
5-8
63%
Davion Mitchell
G · 6'0" 202 · 25.5
25.4
14.3
16
90%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
7-7
1-2
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 28.3
19.2
19.1
3
39%
5
2
0
0
1
0
2
3
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
55%
0-2
0%
Chris Duarte
G · 6'6" 190 · 26.7
6.1
19.7
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 30.7
5.2
11.4
4
41%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-2
0%
2-4
1-2
50%
57%
0-0
-
Mason Jones
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.6
7.6
0
1-1
46%
Kessler Edwards
F · 6'7" 203 · 23.6
5.4
0
0-1
48%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 36.1
1.5
0
0-1
60%
Jordan Ford
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.8
Sasha Vezenkov
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.6
Colby Jones
G · 6'6" 207 · 21.8
De'Aaron Fox
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.2
Jalen Slawson
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jaden McDaniels
F · 6'9" 185 · 23.4
44.6
29.2
26
102%
7
1
0
1
0
1
1
6
3-4
75%
4-4
3-5
100%
61%
5-7
71%
Karl-Anthony Towns
C-F · 7'0" 248 · 28.3
36.5
34.7
19
49%
6
5
1
1
0
3
2
4
4-5
80%
6-11
6-10
55%
59%
1-6
17%
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 258 · 31.7
42.1
32.0
16
64%
16
1
0
1
3
1
2
14
4-8
50%
6-9
5-8
67%
67%
0-0
-
Anthony Edwards
G · 6'4" 225 · 22.6
18.8
35.4
11
40%
2
2
0
1
1
1
0
2
6-6
100%
1-8
8-14
13%
55%
1-3
33%
Mike Conley
G · 6'0" 175 · 36.4
35.5
24.3
14
66%
3
8
2
1
0
3
0
3
5-6
83%
3-5
1-2
60%
50%
1-3
33%
Naz Reid
C-F · 6'9" 264 · 24.5
36.1
26.9
18
49%
7
3
1
1
0
1
2
5
1-1
100%
7-12
4-6
58%
61%
1-6
17%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
G · 6'5" 205 · 25.5
24.9
23.6
7
60%
2
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
0-1
2-3
0%
52%
2-4
50%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 28.7
14.5
20.1
5
63%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
55%
1-2
50%
Jordan McLaughlin
G · 6'1" 185 · 27.9
11.9
8.3
4
100%
1
4
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
52%
0-0
-
Daishen Nix
G · 6'3" 226 · 22.0
1.5
0
0-0
53%
Luka Garza
C · 6'10" 243 · 25.2
1.4
0
0-0
57%
Josh Minott
F · 6'8" 205 · 21.3
1.1
0
0-0
59%
Justin Jackson
F · 6'8" 220 · 28.9
0.8
0
0-0
45%
Leonard Miller
F · 6'10" 220 · 20.3
Wendell Moore Jr.
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.5
Jaylen Clark
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.4
Kyle Anderson
F-G · 6'9" 230 · 30.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.