Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, March 2, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	23	Jazz	33%	109	120	126.3	95	91.5
	12	Heat	67%	116	126	129.9	97	102.2

Scoring Opportunities

UTA

+16

-10

101

MIA

+11

-6

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.18 58.8%

MIA

1.24 61.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

23 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keyonte George #3 · SG · 6'4" 185 · 20	43.1	31	65%	4	4	0	0	5	0	0	4	1-2	50%	6-9	67%	6-14	43%
Lauri Markkanen #23 · SF · 7'1" 240 · 27	41.0	25	60%	4	6	2	1	1	4	2	2	11-12	92%	1-6	17%	4-9	44%
John Collins #20 · C · 6'9" 226 · 26	33.2	18	64%	6	3	0	1	1	3	2	4	1-2	50%	7-10	70%	1-3	33%
Collin Sexton #2 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 25	31.5	18	60%	1	5	0	0	0	0	0	1	4-4	100%	7-12	58%	0-1	0%
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 20	28.8	8	57%	13	1	0	2	1	3	4	9	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-2	0%

Talen Horton-Tucker #5 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 23	19.8	7	39%	8	3	0	1	0	4	1	7	4-4	100%	0-5	0%	1-2	50%
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 26	14.8	7	70%	5	0	0	0	0	0	2	3	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Brice Sensabaugh #8 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 20	12.5	6	75%	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-3	67%
Kris Dunn #11 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 30	10.1	0	0%	1	2	1	0	0	4	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Luka Samanic #19 · PF · 6'11" 227 · 24	5.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kira Lewis Jr. #13 · PG · 6'3" 170 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Micah Potter #25 · C · 6'9" 248 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jason Preston #10 · PG · 6'3" 181 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Johnny Juzang #33 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Sprain
Jordan Clarkson #00 · SG · 6'5" 194 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Illness
Otto Porter Jr. #22 · SF · 6'8" 198 · 31	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	59%	42	24	3	6	10	19	12	30	22-26	85%	28-52	54%	14-35	40%

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23 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keyonte George #3 · SG · 6'4" 185 · 20	43.1	31	65%	4	4	0	0	5	0	0	4	1-2	50%	6-9	67%	6-14	43%
Lauri Markkanen #23 · SF · 7'1" 240 · 27	41.0	25	60%	4	6	2	1	1	4	2	2	11-12	92%	1-6	17%	4-9	44%
John Collins #20 · C · 6'9" 226 · 26	33.2	18	64%	6	3	0	1	1	3	2	4	1-2	50%	7-10	70%	1-3	33%
Collin Sexton #2 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 25	31.5	18	60%	1	5	0	0	0	0	0	1	4-4	100%	7-12	58%	0-1	0%
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 20	28.8	8	57%	13	1	0	2	1	3	4	9	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-2	0%

Talen Horton-Tucker #5 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 23	19.8	7	39%	8	3	0	1	0	4	1	7	4-4	100%	0-5	0%	1-2	50%
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 26	14.8	7	70%	5	0	0	0	0	0	2	3	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Brice Sensabaugh #8 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 20	12.5	6	75%	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-3	67%
Kris Dunn #11 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 30	10.1	0	0%	1	2	1	0	0	4	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Luka Samanic #19 · PF · 6'11" 227 · 24	5.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kira Lewis Jr. #13 · PG · 6'3" 170 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Micah Potter #25 · C · 6'9" 248 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jason Preston #10 · PG · 6'3" 181 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Johnny Juzang #33 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Sprain
Jordan Clarkson #00 · SG · 6'5" 194 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Illness
Otto Porter Jr. #22 · SF · 6'8" 198 · 31	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	59%	42	24	3	6	10	19	12	30	22-26	85%	28-52	54%	14-35	40%

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12 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 34	35.8	37	80%	3	7	1	1	2	1	1	2	10-11	91%	9-16	56%	3-3	100%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 27	34.2	23	68%	7	3	0	0	0	2	2	5	3-4	75%	10-15	67%	0-0	-
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 30	34.1	12	46%	5	6	1	1	1	2	0	5	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-9	22%
Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 30	32.5	14	64%	2	8	1	0	2	2	1	1	3-4	75%	4-6	67%	1-3	33%
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 21	18.9	8	67%	3	4	1	0	0	3	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-5	40%

Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 23	29.0	12	55%	4	1	1	0	1	3	2	2	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	1-3	33%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 28	22.8	18	82%	5	4	0	3	0	2	0	5	4-4	100%	1-3	33%	4-6	67%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 27	18.8	2	20%	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-4	0%
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 24	13.8	0	0%	4	0	1	0	0	4	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Delon Wright #4 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cole Swider #21 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Thomas Bryant #31 · C · 6'9" 248 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Medial Tendinitis
Alondes Williams #15 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 25	INACTIVE
Dru Smith #9 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Heel; Bruise
Josh Richardson #0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Dislocation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	126	62%	34	33	6	5	6	20	8	26	21-25	84%	33-54	61%	13-34	38%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	MIA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.18 58.8%

MIA

1.24 61.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

UTA

50%

MIA

68%

Midrange

UTA

64%

MIA

47%

3PT | Effective 3PT

UTA

21.0

40%

60%

MIA

19.5

38%

57%

Free Throws

UTA

85%

MIA

84%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. George	31	65%	15.5 / 24
L. Markkanen	25	60%	12.5 / 21
J. Collins	18	64%	9.0 / 14
C. Sexton	18	60%	9.0 / 15
T. Hendricks	8	57%	4.0 / 7
T. Horton-Tucker	7	39%	3.5 / 9
Ö. Yurtseven	7	70%	3.5 / 5
B. Sensabaugh	6	75%	3.0 / 4
K. Dunn	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Butler	37	80%	18.5 / 23
B. Adebayo	23	68%	11.5 / 17
C. Martin	18	82%	9.0 / 11
T. Rozier	14	64%	7.0 / 11
D. Robinson	12	46%	6.0 / 13
J. Jaquez	12	55%	6.0 / 11
N. Jović	8	67%	4.0 / 6
H. Highsmith	2	20%	1.0 / 5
O. Robinson	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	18 114.6 21 113.3	UTA 126.3 MIA 129.9 +3.6
Pace	9 100.5 29 97.0	UTA 91.5 MIA 102.2 +10.7
Avg. Poss. Time	16 14.6 10 14.8	UTA 15.7 MIA 14.1 −1.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	18 53.9% 20 53.8%	UTA 56.3% MIA 59.7% +3.4%
TO %	30 14.8% 9 12.2%	UTA 10.1% MIA 5.7% −4.4%
ORB %	2 28.1% 26 21.8%	UTA 31.6% +10.5% MIA 21.1%
FTrt	11 25.1 8 25.7	UTA 29.9 +1.5 MIA 28.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	10 64.8% 11 64.8%	UTA 57.1% MIA 71.7% +14.6%
STL %	29 6.5% 11 7.7%	UTA 3.2% MIA 6.2% +3.0%
BLK %	3 11.1% 30 7.7%	UTA 11.1% +1.5% MIA 9.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	15 56.5% 17 56.2%	UTA 58.8% MIA 61.8% +3.0%
Rim FG%	11 65.2% 23 61.6%	UTA 50.0% MIA 67.6% +17.6%
Mid FG%	20 41.3% 13 44.3%	UTA 64.3% +17.2% MIA 47.1%
3P %	22 35.4% 12 37.0%	UTA 40.0% +1.8% MIA 38.2%
FT %	1 83.0% 5 81.8%	UTA 84.6% +0.6% MIA 84.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	20 32.6% 29 29.5%	UTA 43.7% +1.6% MIA 42.0%
Mid Att. %	15 26.8% 28 31.1%	UTA 16.1% −3.2% MIA 19.3%
3P Att. %	10 40.6% 14 39.4%	UTA 40.2% +1.6% MIA 38.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	UTA	MIA
Possessions	95	97
Possession Minutes	24.9	22.8
Points	120	126
Rebounds	42	34
Assists	24	33
Steals	3	6
Blocks	6	5
Turnovers (Team)	10 (1)	6 (0)
Fouls	19	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (4)	8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (4)	26 (4)
Field Goals	42-87	46-88
At-the-Rim FG	19-38	25-37
Midrange FG	9-14	8-17
2-Point FG	28-52	33-54
3-Point FG	14-35	13-34
Free Throws	22-26	21-25
Fast Break Pts	7	14
2nd Chance Pts	26	9
Points in Paint	50	62
Pts off Turnovers	3	13
Bench Points	20	32
Biggest Lead	11	9

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg