Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, March 2, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	29	Blazers	37%	102	107	100.0	107	98.2
	26	Grizzlies	63%	107	100	92.6	108	98.1

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+17

-22

102

MEM

+16

-22

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.05 52.5%

MEM

0.96 48.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

29 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anfernee Simons #1 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 25	44.9	30	63%	7	7	0	0	4	1	1	6	6-7	86%	6-14	43%	4-9	44%
Kris Murray #8 · SG · 6'8" 218 · 24	38.8	2	17%	5	2	0	0	1	2	0	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-3	0%
Toumani Camara #33 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 24	36.2	15	68%	7	1	1	1	1	2	3	4	2-4	50%	2-6	33%	3-4	75%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 28	24.1	12	55%	6	1	0	3	2	4	1	5	1-4	25%	4-5	80%	1-4	25%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 30	14.6	5	42%	0	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-4	25%

Ashton Hagans #19 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 25	32.5	13	65%	5	8	2	1	6	4	0	5	3-3	100%	2-5	40%	2-4	50%
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 22	31.2	18	53%	12	2	1	0	2	3	5	7	2-2	100%	8-15	53%	0-1	0%
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 27	19.3	2	20%	4	1	2	0	2	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Dalano Banton #5 · PG · 6'8" 203 · 24	12.7	10	56%	3	0	1	0	3	5	2	1	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	0-2	0%
Rayan Rupert #72 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 20	6.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Moses Brown #10 · C · 7'2" 258 · 24	4.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Lower Abdominal; Surgery
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Justin Minaya #24 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Ligament Tear
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hand; Sprain
Malcolm Brogdon #11 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow; Tendinitis
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	107	53%	50	23	8	5	22	25	13	37	18-24	75%	28-57	49%	11-35	31%

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29 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anfernee Simons #1 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 25	44.9	30	63%	7	7	0	0	4	1	1	6	6-7	86%	6-14	43%	4-9	44%
Kris Murray #8 · SG · 6'8" 218 · 24	38.8	2	17%	5	2	0	0	1	2	0	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-3	0%
Toumani Camara #33 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 24	36.2	15	68%	7	1	1	1	1	2	3	4	2-4	50%	2-6	33%	3-4	75%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 28	24.1	12	55%	6	1	0	3	2	4	1	5	1-4	25%	4-5	80%	1-4	25%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 30	14.6	5	42%	0	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-4	25%

Ashton Hagans #19 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 25	32.5	13	65%	5	8	2	1	6	4	0	5	3-3	100%	2-5	40%	2-4	50%
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 22	31.2	18	53%	12	2	1	0	2	3	5	7	2-2	100%	8-15	53%	0-1	0%
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 27	19.3	2	20%	4	1	2	0	2	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Dalano Banton #5 · PG · 6'8" 203 · 24	12.7	10	56%	3	0	1	0	3	5	2	1	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	0-2	0%
Rayan Rupert #72 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 20	6.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Moses Brown #10 · C · 7'2" 258 · 24	4.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Lower Abdominal; Surgery
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Justin Minaya #24 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Ligament Tear
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hand; Sprain
Malcolm Brogdon #11 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow; Tendinitis
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	107	53%	50	23	8	5	22	25	13	37	18-24	75%	28-57	49%	11-35	31%

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26 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SF · 6'4" 205 · 24	38.1	21	70%	8	2	2	3	4	4	1	7	3-4	75%	3-7	43%	4-7	57%
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 23	37.4	21	66%	8	3	0	1	3	3	2	6	2-3	67%	2-6	33%	5-9	56%
Ziaire Williams #8 · SG · 6'9" 185 · 22	33.9	9	50%	6	0	1	0	3	1	0	6	4-4	100%	1-2	50%	1-5	20%
Jordan Goodwin #4 · PG · 6'3" 215 · 25	30.3	4	29%	5	8	3	1	3	2	2	3	0-2	0%	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Lamar Stevens #24 · C · 6'7" 230 · 27	16.6	7	32%	3	0	2	1	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-9	22%	1-2	50%

GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 19	31.3	17	43%	6	1	2	0	4	0	2	4	8-10	80%	3-10	30%	1-5	20%
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 28	27.6	5	83%	2	5	1	0	1	1	0	2	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-2	50%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 28	18.1	3	30%	4	1	2	2	1	0	2	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Matt Hurt #20 · PF · 6'9" 233 · 24	18.1	7	70%	1	1	2	1	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	13.7	6	43%	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	6-8	75%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Yuta Watanabe #18 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · C · 6'10" 242 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Quad; Tendon Soreness
Trey Jemison III #55 · C · 6'10" 270 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lumbar; Disc Bulge
Derrick Rose #23 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Soreness
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendon Repair
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Labral Repair
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ring Finger; Central Slip Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	100	48%	45	21	15	9	22	17	9	36	25-33	76%	15-43	35%	15-40	38%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	MEM
Clock	Team	Event	POR	MEM

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.05 52.5%

MEM

0.96 48.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

60%

MEM

46%

Midrange

POR

32%

MEM

18%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

16.5

31%

47%

MEM

22.5

38%

56%

Free Throws

POR

75%

MEM

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Simons	30	63%	15.0 / 24
J. Walker	18	53%	9.0 / 17
T. Camara	15	68%	7.5 / 11
A. Hagans	13	65%	6.5 / 10
D. Reath	12	55%	6.0 / 11
D. Banton	10	56%	5.0 / 9
J. Grant	5	42%	2.5 / 6
K. Murray	2	17%	1.0 / 6
M. Thybulle	2	20%	1.0 / 5
R. Rupert	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
V. Williams	21	70%	10.5 / 15
S. Aldama	21	66%	10.5 / 16
G. Jackson	17	43%	8.5 / 20
Z. Williams	9	50%	4.5 / 9
L. Stevens	7	32%	3.5 / 11
M. Hurt	7	70%	3.5 / 5
J. LaRavia	6	43%	3.0 / 7
L. Kennard	5	83%	2.5 / 3
J. Goodwin	4	29%	2.0 / 7
J. Konchar	3	30%	1.5 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	29 107.7 30 106.8	POR 100.0 +7.4 MEM 92.6
Pace	21 97.9 17 98.6	POR 98.2 +0.1 MEM 98.1
Avg. Poss. Time	15 14.6 11 14.8	POR 14.7 −0.0 MEM 14.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	30 50.3% 29 50.9%	POR 48.4% +3.2% MEM 45.2%
TO %	29 14.6% 27 14.3%	POR 18.3% −1.4% MEM 19.7%
ORB %	3 27.5% 19 23.8%	POR 26.5% +6.9% MEM 19.6%
FTrt	23 22.8 18 23.8	POR 26.1 MEM 39.8 +13.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	30 58.7% 13 64.4%	POR 59.0% MEM 70.0% +11.0%
STL %	12 7.7% 5 8.3%	POR 7.5% MEM 13.9% +6.4%
BLK %	20 9.0% 1 11.9%	POR 11.6% MEM 15.8% +4.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	30 52.6% 29 52.9%	POR 52.5% +4.4% MEM 48.1%
Rim FG%	29 58.1% 30 57.8%	POR 60.0% +13.8% MEM 46.2%
Mid FG%	30 38.7% 26 40.3%	POR 31.8% +14.2% MEM 17.6%
3P %	30 34.5% 29 34.6%	POR 31.4% MEM 37.5% +6.1%
FT %	9 79.1% 23 76.4%	POR 75.0% MEM 75.8% +0.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	11 34.7% 21 32.3%	POR 38.0% +6.7% MEM 31.3%
Mid Att. %	23 28.3% 4 24.9%	POR 23.9% MEM 20.5% −3.4%
3P Att. %	24 37.0% 5 42.8%	POR 38.0% MEM 48.2% +10.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Game Totals	POR	MEM
Possessions	107	108
Possession Minutes	26.2	26.4
Points	107	100
Rebounds	50	45
Assists	23	21
Steals	8	15
Blocks	5	9
Turnovers (Team)	22 (1)	22 (2)
Fouls	25	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (4)	9 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (4)	36 (2)
Field Goals	39-92	30-83
At-the-Rim FG	21-35	12-26
Midrange FG	7-22	3-17
2-Point FG	28-57	15-43
3-Point FG	11-35	15-40
Free Throws	18-24	25-33
Fast Break Pts	13	16
2nd Chance Pts	15	5
Points in Paint	50	28
Pts off Turnovers	24	18
Bench Points	43	38
Biggest Lead	8	18

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg