Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	5	Nuggets	51%	115	124	130.5	95	89.8
	11	Lakers	49%	114	114	122.6	93	98.7

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	38.9	35	67%	10	7	0	1	3	1	2	8	2-2	100%	15-20	75%	1-5	20%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	38.4	24	50%	6	11	1	0	2	2	0	6	1-2	50%	10-18	56%	1-5	20%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	37.1	25	125%	10	4	1	1	1	0	0	10	0-0	-	5-5	100%	5-5	100%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	34.7	18	56%	9	5	1	0	1	2	5	4	1-1	100%	7-12	58%	1-4	25%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	24.0	2	33%	5	2	1	2	2	1	1	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%

Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	31.0	13	93%	2	3	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	3-5	60%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	15.9	7	58%	2	0	0	3	0	0	1	1	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	11.1	0	0%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	8.8	0	0%	2	0	0	0	1	1	2	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	Inactive – Personal
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	63%	47	34	5	4	10	8	11	36	5-7	71%	43-66	65%	11-26	42%

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5 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	38.9	35	67%	10	7	0	1	3	1	2	8	2-2	100%	15-20	75%	1-5	20%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	38.4	24	50%	6	11	1	0	2	2	0	6	1-2	50%	10-18	56%	1-5	20%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	37.1	25	125%	10	4	1	1	1	0	0	10	0-0	-	5-5	100%	5-5	100%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	34.7	18	56%	9	5	1	0	1	2	5	4	1-1	100%	7-12	58%	1-4	25%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	24.0	2	33%	5	2	1	2	2	1	1	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%

Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	31.0	13	93%	2	3	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	3-5	60%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	15.9	7	58%	2	0	0	3	0	0	1	1	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	11.1	0	0%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	8.8	0	0%	2	0	0	0	1	1	2	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	Inactive – Personal
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	63%	47	34	5	4	10	8	11	36	5-7	71%	43-66	65%	11-26	42%

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11 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Davis #3 · C · 6'10" 253 · 31	38.9	17	61%	11	2	0	3	0	3	2	9	3-4	75%	7-13	54%	0-0	-
LeBron James #23 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 39	37.1	26	65%	4	9	3	0	3	1	0	4	0-2	0%	10-15	67%	2-5	40%
Rui Hachimura #28 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 26	36.8	23	77%	3	2	0	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	7-11	64%	3-4	75%
Austin Reaves #15 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 26	36.7	19	73%	2	14	0	0	2	1	0	2	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	3-6	50%
D'Angelo Russell #1 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 28	30.7	17	61%	3	3	0	0	0	1	0	3	3-3	100%	4-6	67%	2-7	29%

Spencer Dinwiddie #26 · PG · 6'5" 215 · 31	19.9	3	38%	1	3	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Cam Reddish #5 · SF · 6'8" 208 · 25	18.8	3	50%	2	0	1	0	1	1	2	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Taurean Prince #12 · PF · 6'6" 218 · 30	12.0	2	17%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-2	0%
Jaxson Hayes #11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 24	8.9	4	67%	4	0	1	1	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Max Christie #10 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Skylar Mays #4 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Hood-Schifino #0 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Maxwell Lewis #21 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Christian Wood #35 · PF · 6'9" 214 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Effusion
Colin Castleton #14 · C · 6'10" 250 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Fracture
Gabe Vincent #7 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Mid-foot; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	61%	31	33	5	7	7	9	6	25	8-11	73%	35-60	58%	12-29	41%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	LAL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.27 63.3%

LAL

1.23 61.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

24

35

69%

LAL

28

41

68%

Midrange

DEN

19

31

61%

LAL

7

19

37%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

11

16.5

26

42%

63%

LAL

12

18.0

29

41%

62%

Free Throws

DEN

5

7

71%

LAL

8

11

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	35	67%	17.5 / 26
M. Porter	25	125%	12.5 / 10
J. Murray	24	50%	12.0 / 24
A. Gordon	18	56%	9.0 / 16
J. Holiday	13	93%	6.5 / 7
P. Watson	7	58%	3.5 / 6
C. Braun	2	33%	1.0 / 3
R. Jackson	0	-	0.0 / 1
Z. Nnaji	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. James	26	65%	13.0 / 20
R. Hachimura	23	77%	11.5 / 15
A. Reaves	19	73%	9.5 / 13
A. Davis	17	61%	8.5 / 14
D. Russell	17	61%	8.5 / 14
J. Hayes	4	67%	2.0 / 3
S. Dinwiddie	3	38%	1.5 / 4
C. Reddish	3	50%	1.5 / 3
T. Prince	2	17%	1.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 117.9 15 115.4	DEN 130.5 +7.9 LAL 122.6
Pace	26 97.4 4 101.4	DEN 89.8 LAL 98.7 +8.9
Avg. Poss. Time	4 15.0 23 14.2	DEN 16.0 LAL 14.6 −1.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	8 56.2% 5 56.6%	DEN 64.7% +5.1% LAL 59.6%
TO %	7 12.1% 18 13.1%	DEN 9.5% LAL 6.9% −2.6%
ORB %	6 25.5% 30 19.9%	DEN 30.6% +16.3% LAL 14.3%
FTrt	24 22.4 2 27.6	DEN 7.6 LAL 12.4 +4.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 66.9% 8 65.4%	DEN 63.0% LAL 70.2% +7.2%
STL %	20 7.3% 21 7.2%	DEN 5.3% LAL 5.4% +0.1%
BLK %	25 8.7% 19 9.1%	DEN 6.7% LAL 10.6% +3.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.5% 5 58.8%	DEN 63.3% +2.0% LAL 61.3%
Rim FG%	17 63.6% 1 68.9%	DEN 68.6% +0.3% LAL 68.3%
Mid FG%	3 47.0% 25 40.4%	DEN 61.3% +24.5% LAL 36.8%
3P %	10 37.4% 8 37.7%	DEN 42.3% +0.9% LAL 41.4%
FT %	25 76.2% 15 78.2%	DEN 71.4% LAL 72.7% +1.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	4 36.0% 2 36.6%	DEN 38.0% LAL 46.1% +8.0%
Mid Att. %	25 28.8% 18 27.5%	DEN 33.7% LAL 21.3% −12.3%
3P Att. %	30 35.2% 28 35.8%	DEN 28.3% LAL 32.6% +4.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	LAL
Possessions	95	93
Possession Minutes	25.4	22.6
Points	124	114
Rebounds	47	31
Assists	34	33
Steals	5	5
Blocks	4	7
Turnovers (Team)	10 (0)	7 (0)
Fouls	8	9
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (2)	6 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (2)	25 (1)
Field Goals	54-92	47-89
At-the-Rim FG	24-35	28-41
Midrange FG	19-31	7-19
2-Point FG	43-66	35-60
3-Point FG	11-26	12-29
Free Throws	5-7	8-11
Fast Break Pts	12	13
2nd Chance Pts	12	9
Points in Paint	64	62
Pts off Turnovers	7	15
Bench Points	20	12
Biggest Lead	10	11

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg