Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, March 3, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	5	Warriors	30%	108	88	86.3	102	96.9
	1	Celtics	70%	115	140	137.3	102	107.7

Scoring Opportunities

GSW

+14

-17

BOS

-7

104

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

0.89 44.4%

BOS

1.35 67.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

5 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jonathan Kuminga #00 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 21	19.7	6	30%	2	3	0	0	1	1	0	2	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	0-2	0%
Moses Moody #4 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 22	19.3	11	61%	4	0	0	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-4	25%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 36	16.7	4	15%	1	3	0	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-9	0%
Draymond Green #23 · C · 6'6" 230 · 34	13.6	6	100%	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	4	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Klay Thompson #11 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 34	12.5	6	75%	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	1-3	33%

Lester Quinones #25 · SG · 6'5" 208 · 23	33.2	17	53%	5	0	0	0	1	3	1	4	0-0	-	4-6	67%	3-10	30%
Gary Payton II #0 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 31	22.1	6	60%	4	1	1	0	3	1	2	2	0-1	0%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 24	21.6	8	67%	8	2	0	2	1	1	4	4	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 39	21.2	2	17%	3	7	1	0	2	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-3	0%
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 22	19.3	5	63%	9	3	0	0	3	0	3	6	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Jerome Robinson #18 · SG · 6'5" 188 · 27	17.3	10	45%	0	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	1-6	17%
Dario Šarić #20 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 30	12.7	4	50%	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-1	0%	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Kevon Looney #5 · PF · 6'9" 222 · 28	10.8	3	25%	2	1	0	0	1	2	1	1	3-4	75%	0-4	0%	0-0	-
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 28	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Usman Garuba #12 · PF · 6'8" 229 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Inflammation
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 29	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	88	44%	46	24	2	5	17	13	12	34	9-13	69%	29-51	57%	7-41	17%

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5 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jonathan Kuminga #00 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 21	19.7	6	30%	2	3	0	0	1	1	0	2	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	0-2	0%
Moses Moody #4 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 22	19.3	11	61%	4	0	0	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-4	25%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 36	16.7	4	15%	1	3	0	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-9	0%
Draymond Green #23 · C · 6'6" 230 · 34	13.6	6	100%	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	4	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Klay Thompson #11 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 34	12.5	6	75%	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	1-3	33%

Lester Quinones #25 · SG · 6'5" 208 · 23	33.2	17	53%	5	0	0	0	1	3	1	4	0-0	-	4-6	67%	3-10	30%
Gary Payton II #0 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 31	22.1	6	60%	4	1	1	0	3	1	2	2	0-1	0%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 24	21.6	8	67%	8	2	0	2	1	1	4	4	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 39	21.2	2	17%	3	7	1	0	2	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-3	0%
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 22	19.3	5	63%	9	3	0	0	3	0	3	6	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Jerome Robinson #18 · SG · 6'5" 188 · 27	17.3	10	45%	0	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	1-6	17%
Dario Šarić #20 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 30	12.7	4	50%	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-1	0%	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Kevon Looney #5 · PF · 6'9" 222 · 28	10.8	3	25%	2	1	0	0	1	2	1	1	3-4	75%	0-4	0%	0-0	-
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 28	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Usman Garuba #12 · PF · 6'8" 229 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Inflammation
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 29	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	88	44%	46	24	2	5	17	13	12	34	9-13	69%	29-51	57%	7-41	17%

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1 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jrue Holiday #4 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 34	26.2	7	50%	6	4	0	1	0	2	1	5	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 26	25.2	27	90%	3	5	1	1	0	2	0	3	5-5	100%	5-8	63%	4-5	80%
Jaylen Brown #7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 27	22.4	29	73%	3	3	1	0	1	2	1	2	2-2	100%	6-9	67%	5-10	50%
Al Horford #42 · C · 6'8" 240 · 38	20.6	7	70%	4	4	1	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Derrick White #9 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 30	19.7	14	117%	3	8	1	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	4-5	80%

Payton Pritchard #11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 26	27.4	19	79%	6	6	2	0	2	3	0	6	0-0	-	5-7	71%	3-5	60%
Sam Hauser #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 26	19.6	12	67%	5	0	0	1	1	3	0	5	0-0	-	0-0	-	4-9	44%
Oshae Brissett #12 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 26	19.3	6	38%	8	2	2	1	2	2	1	7	0-2	0%	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Svi Mykhailiuk #50 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 27	19.3	8	50%	4	2	1	0	0	0	2	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-6	33%
Xavier Tillman #26 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	17.9	7	70%	4	0	1	0	0	1	0	4	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Jaden Springer #44 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 21	12.0	2	25%	2	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Luke Kornet #40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 29	10.6	2	50%	3	0	0	1	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jordan Walsh #27 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Drew Peterson #13 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
JD Davison #20 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kristaps Porziņģis #8 · PF · 7'2" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Quad; Contusion
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Hyperextension
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	140	67%	51	35	10	3	7	19	7	44	9-11	82%	28-47	60%	25-49	51%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	BOS
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	BOS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

0.89 44.4%

BOS

1.35 67.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

67%

BOS

71%

Midrange

GSW

39%

BOS

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

10.5

17%

26%

BOS

37.5

51%

77%

Free Throws

GSW

69%

BOS

82%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Quinones	17	53%	8.5 / 16
M. Moody	11	61%	5.5 / 9
J. Robinson	10	45%	5.0 / 11
T. Jackson-Davis	8	67%	4.0 / 6
J. Kuminga	6	30%	3.0 / 10
D. Green	6	100%	3.0 / 3
K. Thompson	6	75%	3.0 / 4
G. Payton	6	60%	3.0 / 5
G. Santos	5	63%	2.5 / 4
S. Curry	4	15%	2.0 / 13
D. Šarić	4	50%	2.0 / 4
K. Looney	3	25%	1.5 / 6
C. Paul	2	17%	1.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Brown	29	73%	14.5 / 20
J. Tatum	27	90%	13.5 / 15
P. Pritchard	19	79%	9.5 / 12
D. White	14	117%	7.0 / 6
S. Hauser	12	67%	6.0 / 9
S. Mykhailiuk	8	50%	4.0 / 8
J. Holiday	7	50%	3.5 / 7
A. Horford	7	70%	3.5 / 5
X. Tillman	7	70%	3.5 / 5
O. Brissett	6	38%	3.0 / 8
J. Springer	2	25%	1.0 / 4
L. Kornet	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	10 116.9 1 122.2	GSW 86.3 BOS 137.3 +51.0
Pace	11 100.0 19 98.0	GSW 96.9 BOS 107.7 +10.9
Avg. Poss. Time	17 14.4 5 15.0	GSW 14.9 BOS 13.4 −1.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	12 55.7% 2 57.8%	GSW 42.9% BOS 68.2% +25.3%
TO %	23 13.6% 1 11.4%	GSW 14.8% BOS 7.4% −7.4%
ORB %	4 27.5% 12 24.9%	GSW 21.4% +4.3% BOS 17.1%
FTrt	29 21.9 25 22.4	GSW 14.1 +2.6 BOS 11.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 67.1% 21 61.3%	GSW 66.7% +0.7% BOS 66.0%
STL %	24 6.9% 26 6.9%	GSW 2.0% BOS 9.8% +7.8%
BLK %	23 8.8% 7 10.7%	GSW 10.6% +4.7% BOS 5.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.01 and 2.01.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	12 57.2% 1 59.5%	GSW 44.4% BOS 67.3% +22.9%
Rim FG%	5 66.3% 2 68.1%	GSW 66.7% BOS 71.0% +4.3%
Mid FG%	19 41.4% 15 43.5%	GSW 38.9% +1.4% BOS 37.5%
3P %	7 38.0% 2 38.8%	GSW 17.1% BOS 51.0% +33.9%
FT %	17 78.0% 7 80.7%	GSW 69.2% BOS 81.8% +12.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	25 31.0% 26 30.1%	GSW 35.9% +3.6% BOS 32.3%
Mid Att. %	12 26.5% 1 22.8%	GSW 19.6% BOS 16.7% −2.9%
3P Att. %	6 42.5% 1 47.1%	GSW 44.6% BOS 51.0% +6.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.

Game Totals	GSW	BOS
Possessions	102	102
Possession Minutes	25.3	22.7
Points	88	140
Rebounds	46	51
Assists	24	35
Steals	2	10
Blocks	5	3
Turnovers (Team)	17 (0)	7 (1)
Fouls	13	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (2)	7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (1)	44 (1)
Field Goals	36-92	53-96
At-the-Rim FG	22-33	22-31
Midrange FG	7-18	6-16
2-Point FG	29-51	28-47
3-Point FG	7-41	25-49
Free Throws	9-13	9-11
Fast Break Pts	12	42
2nd Chance Pts	8	9
Points in Paint	58	54
Pts off Turnovers	8	15
Bench Points	55	56
Biggest Lead	2	56

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg