Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, March 3, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	28	Hornets	31%	108	106	101.9	104	101.7
	23	Raptors	69%	115	111	106.7	104	107.4

Scoring Opportunities

CHA

+13

-16

101

TOR

+13

-14

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

1.05 52.5%

TOR

1.08 53.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

28 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Grant Williams #2 · C · 6'7" 236 · 25	40.3	18	56%	13	5	1	1	6	5	6	7	6-7	86%	6-10	60%	0-3	0%
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 26	39.8	20	50%	9	4	1	1	1	0	0	9	2-2	100%	9-16	56%	0-3	0%
Brandon Miller #24 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 21	36.6	26	62%	10	3	0	1	2	1	3	7	0-1	0%	7-13	54%	4-8	50%
Vasilije Micić #22 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 30	35.5	12	43%	2	6	2	0	4	1	1	1	2-3	67%	5-11	45%	0-2	0%
Tre Mann #23 · SG · 6'4" 178 · 23	29.9	6	38%	4	4	2	0	1	2	0	4	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-0	-

Davis Bertans #9 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 31	25.8	14	64%	3	0	1	2	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	4-9	44%
Bryce McGowens #7 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 21	16.1	8	100%	1	2	1	0	0	2	0	1	2-3	67%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
JT Thor #21 · PF · 6'9" 203 · 22	8.2	2	33%	3	0	0	1	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Marques Bolden #3 · C · 6'10" 249 · 26	7.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Nick Richards #4 · C · 6'11" 245 · 26	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Plantar Fascia; Discomfort
Leaky Black #12 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Amari Bailey #10 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Aleksej Pokusevski #17 · PF · 7'0" 190 · 22	INACTIVE
Nick Smith Jr. #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Mark Williams #5 · C · 7'1" 240 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Injury Recovery
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Tendinopathy
Cody Martin #11 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Seth Curry #30 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	53%	45	24	8	6	16	15	11	34	12-16	75%	35-65	54%	8-27	30%

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28 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Grant Williams #2 · C · 6'7" 236 · 25	40.3	18	56%	13	5	1	1	6	5	6	7	6-7	86%	6-10	60%	0-3	0%
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 26	39.8	20	50%	9	4	1	1	1	0	0	9	2-2	100%	9-16	56%	0-3	0%
Brandon Miller #24 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 21	36.6	26	62%	10	3	0	1	2	1	3	7	0-1	0%	7-13	54%	4-8	50%
Vasilije Micić #22 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 30	35.5	12	43%	2	6	2	0	4	1	1	1	2-3	67%	5-11	45%	0-2	0%
Tre Mann #23 · SG · 6'4" 178 · 23	29.9	6	38%	4	4	2	0	1	2	0	4	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-0	-

Davis Bertans #9 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 31	25.8	14	64%	3	0	1	2	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	4-9	44%
Bryce McGowens #7 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 21	16.1	8	100%	1	2	1	0	0	2	0	1	2-3	67%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
JT Thor #21 · PF · 6'9" 203 · 22	8.2	2	33%	3	0	0	1	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Marques Bolden #3 · C · 6'10" 249 · 26	7.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Nick Richards #4 · C · 6'11" 245 · 26	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Plantar Fascia; Discomfort
Leaky Black #12 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Amari Bailey #10 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Aleksej Pokusevski #17 · PF · 7'0" 190 · 22	INACTIVE
Nick Smith Jr. #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Mark Williams #5 · C · 7'1" 240 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Injury Recovery
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Tendinopathy
Cody Martin #11 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Seth Curry #30 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	53%	45	24	8	6	16	15	11	34	12-16	75%	35-65	54%	8-27	30%

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23 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 25	35.5	22	61%	7	11	0	0	3	2	0	7	8-8	100%	4-7	57%	2-7	29%
RJ Barrett #9 · PF · 6'6" 214 · 24	35.0	23	72%	8	5	2	0	5	2	1	7	0-2	0%	7-9	78%	3-6	50%
Gary Trent Jr. #33 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 25	34.4	17	61%	5	0	3	1	0	0	1	4	2-3	67%	3-7	43%	3-6	50%
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 24	32.6	13	33%	9	1	0	2	0	2	4	5	0-1	0%	5-13	38%	1-7	14%
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 28	14.8	8	67%	2	3	0	1	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-0	-

Kelly Olynyk #41 · C · 7'0" 240 · 33	26.0	4	33%	4	4	2	2	2	1	1	3	4-4	100%	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 20	24.1	11	79%	4	0	1	0	0	3	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-5	60%
Jordan Nwora #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 25	17.9	11	69%	4	0	0	0	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-3	33%
D.J. Carton #3 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24	12.4	2	33%	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Jontay Porter #34 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 24	7.1	0	0%	1	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen McDaniels #2 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Javon Freeman-Liberty #0 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Markquis Nowell #24 · SG · 5'8" 160 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Inflammation
Scottie Barnes #4 · SF · 6'8" 237 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	54%	45	27	8	6	14	16	11	34	14-18	78%	29-53	55%	13-38	34%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	TOR
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	TOR

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

CHA

1.05 52.5%

TOR

1.08 53.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CHA

56%

TOR

69%

Midrange

CHA

52%

TOR

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CHA

12.0

30%

44%

TOR

19.5

34%

51%

Free Throws

CHA

75%

TOR

78%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Miller	26	62%	13.0 / 21
M. Bridges	20	50%	10.0 / 20
G. Williams	18	56%	9.0 / 16
D. Bertans	14	64%	7.0 / 11
V. Micić	12	43%	6.0 / 14
B. McGowens	8	100%	4.0 / 4
T. Mann	6	38%	3.0 / 8
J. Thor	2	33%	1.0 / 3
M. Bolden	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Barrett	23	72%	11.5 / 16
I. Quickley	22	61%	11.0 / 18
G. Trent	17	61%	8.5 / 14
O. Agbaji	13	33%	6.5 / 20
G. Dick	11	79%	5.5 / 7
J. Nwora	11	69%	5.5 / 8
J. Poeltl	8	67%	4.0 / 6
K. Olynyk	4	33%	2.0 / 6
D. Carton	2	33%	1.0 / 3
J. Porter	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	28 108.7 24 111.9	CHA 101.9 TOR 106.7 +4.8
Pace	23 97.8 12 99.9	CHA 101.7 TOR 107.4 +5.7
Avg. Poss. Time	13 14.7 28 13.9	CHA 14.2 TOR 13.4 −0.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	26 52.9% 21 53.5%	CHA 51.1% TOR 53.3% +2.2%
TO %	20 13.2% 21 13.4%	CHA 14.7% TOR 13.9% −0.8%
ORB %	27 21.1% 17 24.2%	CHA 24.4% TOR 24.4%
FTrt	30 21.2 16 24.1	CHA 17.4 TOR 19.8 +2.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	18 62.0% 2 67.4%	CHA 55.8% TOR 64.3% +8.5%
STL %	22 7.0% 13 7.7%	CHA 7.7% TOR 7.7%
BLK %	29 8.5% 15 9.5%	CHA 11.3% +2.1% TOR 9.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	28 54.6% 22 55.5%	CHA 52.5% TOR 53.9% +1.4%
Rim FG%	20 63.0% 13 64.8%	CHA 55.6% TOR 68.8% +13.2%
Mid FG%	23 40.5% 22 40.8%	CHA 51.7% +18.4% TOR 33.3%
3P %	21 35.5% 27 34.7%	CHA 29.6% TOR 34.2% +4.6%
FT %	11 78.6% 29 75.6%	CHA 75.0% TOR 77.8% +2.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	15 33.2% 5 35.6%	CHA 39.1% +4.0% TOR 35.2%
Mid Att. %	19 27.7% 17 27.5%	CHA 31.5% TOR 23.1% −8.4%
3P Att. %	15 39.1% 26 36.9%	CHA 29.3% TOR 41.8% +12.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	CHA	TOR
Possessions	104	104
Possession Minutes	24.5	23.2
Points	106	111
Rebounds	45	45
Assists	24	27
Steals	8	8
Blocks	6	6
Turnovers (Team)	16 (1)	14 (2)
Fouls	15	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (2)	11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (4)	34 (2)
Field Goals	43-92	42-91
At-the-Rim FG	20-36	22-32
Midrange FG	15-29	7-21
2-Point FG	35-65	29-53
3-Point FG	8-27	13-38
Free Throws	12-16	14-18
Fast Break Pts	15	26
2nd Chance Pts	13	14
Points in Paint	62	58
Pts off Turnovers	18	13
Bench Points	24	28
Biggest Lead	8	15

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg