Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, March 3, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	14	Pacers	61%	120	105	105.0	100	103.3
	24	Spurs	39%	116	117	118.2	99	95.9

Scoring Opportunities

IND

+17

-10

107

SAS

+12

-14

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND

0.98 49.1%

SAS

1.19 59.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

14 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 30	37.6	21	62%	8	1	1	0	1	5	3	5	0-0	-	9-13	69%	1-4	25%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 24	36.1	12	33%	6	8	0	1	1	0	3	3	4-4	100%	4-10	40%	0-6	0%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 28	30.3	16	47%	10	0	0	1	2	2	3	7	0-0	-	2-8	25%	4-9	44%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 24	27.6	4	25%	1	2	1	0	2	2	0	1	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-4	0%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 24	21.2	7	50%	3	1	3	0	2	1	2	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-2	50%

Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	31.5	13	46%	3	3	1	2	0	2	0	3	9-13	69%	2-6	33%	0-2	0%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 32	26.8	26	87%	2	5	3	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	13-15	87%	0-0	-
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 26	16.1	2	33%	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 24	12.0	4	50%	7	0	0	0	1	0	2	5	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 21	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Oscar Tshiebwe #44 · PF · 6'8" 255 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Wong #21 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 23	INACTIVE
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Illness
Doug McDermott #20 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	49%	42	20	9	8	10	14	14	28	17-21	81%	35-63	56%	6-30	20%

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14 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 30	37.6	21	62%	8	1	1	0	1	5	3	5	0-0	-	9-13	69%	1-4	25%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 24	36.1	12	33%	6	8	0	1	1	0	3	3	4-4	100%	4-10	40%	0-6	0%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 28	30.3	16	47%	10	0	0	1	2	2	3	7	0-0	-	2-8	25%	4-9	44%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 24	27.6	4	25%	1	2	1	0	2	2	0	1	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-4	0%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 24	21.2	7	50%	3	1	3	0	2	1	2	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-2	50%

Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	31.5	13	46%	3	3	1	2	0	2	0	3	9-13	69%	2-6	33%	0-2	0%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 32	26.8	26	87%	2	5	3	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	13-15	87%	0-0	-
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 26	16.1	2	33%	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 24	12.0	4	50%	7	0	0	0	1	0	2	5	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 21	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Oscar Tshiebwe #44 · PF · 6'8" 255 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Wong #21 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 23	INACTIVE
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Illness
Doug McDermott #20 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	49%	42	20	9	8	10	14	14	28	17-21	81%	35-63	56%	6-30	20%

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24 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 24	37.0	17	40%	9	5	2	0	4	1	1	8	1-2	50%	5-13	38%	2-7	29%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 21	34.0	12	75%	8	4	0	1	1	2	2	6	0-0	-	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 20	31.4	31	78%	12	6	1	6	3	2	2	10	6-7	86%	8-13	62%	3-4	75%
Malaki Branham #22 · SF · 6'4" 180 · 21	30.5	18	64%	4	6	1	0	2	1	1	3	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	2-6	33%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 24	29.8	2	33%	1	4	0	1	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-0	-

Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	27.4	17	65%	4	2	0	0	1	4	2	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	3-7	43%
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 21	18.6	9	90%	1	2	1	0	1	3	0	1	3-4	75%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Zach Collins #23 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	15.7	11	61%	2	2	0	0	2	2	1	1	1-2	50%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Cedi Osman #16 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 29	14.5	0	0%	4	2	1	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 21	0.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	0.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	0.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Devonte' Graham #4 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jamaree Bouyea #15 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
RaiQuan Gray #41 · PF · 6'7" 269 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Acl; Tear
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	60%	45	33	6	4	14	17	10	35	15-19	79%	36-60	60%	10-25	40%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	IND	SAS

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

IND

0.98 49.1%

SAS

1.19 59.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

54%

SAS

67%

Midrange

IND

59%

SAS

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

9.0

20%

30%

SAS

15.0

40%

60%

Free Throws

IND

81%

SAS

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. McConnell	26	87%	13.0 / 15
P. Siakam	21	62%	10.5 / 17
M. Turner	16	47%	8.0 / 17
B. Mathurin	13	46%	6.5 / 14
T. Haliburton	12	33%	6.0 / 18
A. Nembhard	7	50%	3.5 / 7
A. Nesmith	4	25%	2.0 / 8
J. Smith	4	50%	2.0 / 4
O. Toppin	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
V. Wembanyama	31	78%	15.5 / 20
M. Branham	18	64%	9.0 / 14
D. Vassell	17	40%	8.5 / 21
K. Johnson	17	65%	8.5 / 13
J. Sochan	12	75%	6.0 / 8
Z. Collins	11	61%	5.5 / 9
B. Wesley	9	90%	4.5 / 5
T. Jones	2	33%	1.0 / 3
C. Osman	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 120.6 26 109.4	IND 105.0 SAS 118.2 +13.2
Pace	2 102.3 3 101.7	IND 103.3 +7.4 SAS 95.9
Avg. Poss. Time	29 13.7 25 14.1	IND 13.9 −1.1 SAS 15.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 57.8% 23 53.2%	IND 47.3% SAS 60.0% +12.7%
TO %	6 12.0% 26 14.3%	IND 10.5% −4.1% SAS 14.6%
ORB %	20 23.8% 23 22.9%	IND 28.6% +2.3% SAS 26.3%
FTrt	26 22.2 28 22.0	IND 22.6 +0.2 SAS 22.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	6 65.4% 1 71.2%	IND 48.8% SAS 71.7% +22.9%
STL %	15 7.5% 23 6.9%	IND 9.0% +2.9% SAS 6.1%
BLK %	14 9.5% 10 9.7%	IND 13.3% +7.0% SAS 6.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.62 and 2.62.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	2 59.4% 25 55.1%	IND 49.1% SAS 59.7% +10.6%
Rim FG%	7 65.9% 16 64.1%	IND 53.7% SAS 66.7% +13.0%
Mid FG%	1 48.8% 24 40.5%	IND 59.1% +9.1% SAS 50.0%
3P %	9 37.4% 28 34.7%	IND 20.0% SAS 40.0% +20.0%
FT %	13 78.2% 14 78.2%	IND 81.0% +2.1% SAS 78.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	3 36.5% 13 34.2%	IND 44.1% +1.7% SAS 42.4%
Mid Att. %	6 25.4% 9 25.7%	IND 23.7% −4.6% SAS 28.2%
3P Att. %	20 38.0% 12 40.1%	IND 32.3% +2.8% SAS 29.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.11 and 2.11.

Game Totals	IND	SAS
Possessions	100	99
Possession Minutes	23.2	24.8
Points	105	117
Rebounds	42	45
Assists	20	33
Steals	9	6
Blocks	8	4
Turnovers (Team)	10 (2)	14 (2)
Fouls	14	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (3)	10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (0)	35 (1)
Field Goals	41-93	46-85
At-the-Rim FG	22-41	24-36
Midrange FG	13-22	12-24
2-Point FG	35-63	36-60
3-Point FG	6-30	10-25
Free Throws	17-21	15-19
Fast Break Pts	9	13
2nd Chance Pts	19	17
Points in Paint	56	64
Pts off Turnovers	17	17
Bench Points	45	37
Biggest Lead	3	13

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg