Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, March 4, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	29	Grizzlies	26%	100	106	116.5	91	87.3
	18	Nets	74%	110	102	113.3	90	95.2

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+21

-18

BKN

+16

-13

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.13 56.4%

BKN

1.10 54.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

29 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SF · 6'4" 205 · 24	34.0	11	50%	5	6	2	0	2	3	1	4	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	1-4	25%
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 23	31.7	12	55%	5	4	0	0	2	1	1	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-6	33%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 28	30.7	9	90%	8	4	1	0	2	3	2	6	4-4	100%	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Luke Kennard #10 · PG · 6'5" 206 · 28	26.8	25	104%	2	7	0	0	5	0	0	2	3-3	100%	2-2	100%	6-9	67%
Trey Jemison III #55 · C · 6'10" 270 · 24	18.8	10	83%	7	0	0	1	1	6	1	6	0-0	-	5-6	83%	0-0	-

Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	28.6	14	47%	10	3	2	0	3	4	4	6	6-8	75%	4-8	50%	0-4	0%
Lamar Stevens #24 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 27	24.2	13	50%	6	1	0	1	0	2	2	4	1-3	33%	6-9	67%	0-3	0%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 19	24.0	7	35%	2	1	0	1	2	1	1	1	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	1-4	25%
Matt Hurt #20 · PF · 6'9" 233 · 24	21.2	5	36%	5	0	1	0	1	2	3	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-6	17%
Ziaire Williams #8 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip Flexor; Strain
Yuta Watanabe #18 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Sprain
Jordan Goodwin #0 · PG · 6'3" 215 · 25	INACTIVE
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lumbar; Disc Bulge
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendon Repair
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Labral Repair
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · C · 6'10" 242 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quad; Tendonitis
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ring Finger; Central Slip Tear
Derrick Rose #23 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Injury Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	56%	50	26	6	6	18	22	15	35	18-22	82%	26-45	58%	12-37	32%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

29 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SF · 6'4" 205 · 24	34.0	11	50%	5	6	2	0	2	3	1	4	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	1-4	25%
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 23	31.7	12	55%	5	4	0	0	2	1	1	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-6	33%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 28	30.7	9	90%	8	4	1	0	2	3	2	6	4-4	100%	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Luke Kennard #10 · PG · 6'5" 206 · 28	26.8	25	104%	2	7	0	0	5	0	0	2	3-3	100%	2-2	100%	6-9	67%
Trey Jemison III #55 · C · 6'10" 270 · 24	18.8	10	83%	7	0	0	1	1	6	1	6	0-0	-	5-6	83%	0-0	-

Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	28.6	14	47%	10	3	2	0	3	4	4	6	6-8	75%	4-8	50%	0-4	0%
Lamar Stevens #24 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 27	24.2	13	50%	6	1	0	1	0	2	2	4	1-3	33%	6-9	67%	0-3	0%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 19	24.0	7	35%	2	1	0	1	2	1	1	1	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	1-4	25%
Matt Hurt #20 · PF · 6'9" 233 · 24	21.2	5	36%	5	0	1	0	1	2	3	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-6	17%
Ziaire Williams #8 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip Flexor; Strain
Yuta Watanabe #18 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Sprain
Jordan Goodwin #0 · PG · 6'3" 215 · 25	INACTIVE
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lumbar; Disc Bulge
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendon Repair
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Labral Repair
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · C · 6'10" 242 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quad; Tendonitis
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ring Finger; Central Slip Tear
Derrick Rose #23 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Injury Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	56%	50	26	6	6	18	22	15	35	18-22	82%	26-45	58%	12-37	32%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

18 Brooklyn Nets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Mikal Bridges #1 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 28	39.0	14	41%	5	5	2	0	3	1	1	4	4-9	44%	2-6	33%	2-8	25%
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 30	37.4	13	46%	2	9	1	0	0	2	2	0	1-3	33%	3-6	50%	2-7	29%
Cameron Johnson #2 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 28	37.0	18	53%	5	3	2	1	3	4	0	5	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	3-10	30%
Dorian Finney-Smith #28 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 31	36.5	9	56%	5	5	1	1	3	4	4	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	3-6	50%
Nic Claxton #33 · C · 6'11" 215 · 25	33.5	21	75%	6	2	0	1	1	2	1	5	5-8	63%	8-10	80%	0-0	-

Dennis Smith Jr. #4 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 26	17.2	5	50%	1	0	2	1	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Day'Ron Sharpe #20 · PG · 6'10" 265 · 22	13.9	4	40%	3	1	1	0	1	1	1	2	2-4	50%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Lonnie Walker IV #8 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 25	13.7	13	65%	1	1	1	2	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	3-6	50%
Jalen Wilson #22 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 23	11.8	5	125%	5	1	0	0	1	2	2	3	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Cam Thomas #24 · SG · 6'3" 210 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trendon Watford #9 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Keita Bates-Diop #13 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Noah Clowney #21 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jacob Gilyard #14 · PG · 5'9" 160 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaylen Martin #16 · SF · 6'6" 216 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keon Johnson #45 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dariq Whitehead #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shin; Stress Reaction
Ben Simmons #10 · PG · 6'10" 230 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Lower Back; Nerve Impingement
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	55%	33	27	10	3	13	20	12	21	17-30	57%	20-37	54%	15-42	36%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	BKN
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	BKN

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.13 56.4%

BKN

1.10 54.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

64%

BKN

58%

Midrange

MEM

50%

BKN

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

18.0

32%

49%

BKN

22.5

36%

54%

Free Throws

MEM

82%

BKN

57%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Kennard	25	104%	12.5 / 12
J. LaRavia	14	47%	7.0 / 15
L. Stevens	13	50%	6.5 / 13
S. Aldama	12	55%	6.0 / 11
V. Williams	11	50%	5.5 / 11
T. Jemison	10	83%	5.0 / 6
J. Konchar	9	90%	4.5 / 5
G. Jackson	7	35%	3.5 / 10
M. Hurt	5	36%	2.5 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Claxton	21	75%	10.5 / 14
C. Johnson	18	53%	9.0 / 17
M. Bridges	14	41%	7.0 / 17
D. Schröder	13	46%	6.5 / 14
L. Walker IV	13	65%	6.5 / 10
D. Finney-Smith	9	56%	4.5 / 8
D. Smith	5	50%	2.5 / 5
J. Wilson	5	125%	2.5 / 2
D. Sharpe	4	40%	2.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	30 106.8 23 112.5	MEM 116.5 +3.2 BKN 113.3
Pace	17 98.6 25 97.6	MEM 87.3 BKN 95.2 +7.9
Avg. Poss. Time	11 14.8 9 14.8	MEM 16.5 BKN 15.1 −1.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	29 50.9% 25 53.1%	MEM 53.7% BKN 53.8% +0.1%
TO %	27 14.3% 14 12.6%	MEM 17.2% BKN 12.4% −4.8%
ORB %	19 23.8% 8 25.2%	MEM 41.7% +16.2% BKN 25.5%
FTrt	18 23.8 20 23.4	MEM 26.8 BKN 38.0 +11.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	13 64.4% 16 63.0%	MEM 68.4% BKN 77.1% +8.7%
STL %	5 8.3% 25 6.9%	MEM 6.6% BKN 11.1% +4.5%
BLK %	1 11.9% 12 9.5%	MEM 16.2% +9.5% BKN 6.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 52.9% 27 54.8%	MEM 56.4% +1.6% BKN 54.8%
Rim FG%	30 57.8% 22 61.9%	MEM 64.0% +5.9% BKN 58.1%
Mid FG%	26 40.3% 27 40.1%	MEM 50.0% +16.7% BKN 33.3%
3P %	29 34.6% 19 36.2%	MEM 32.4% BKN 35.7% +3.3%
FT %	23 76.4% 28 75.6%	MEM 81.8% +25.1% BKN 56.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 32.3% 19 32.7%	MEM 30.5% BKN 39.2% +8.8%
Mid Att. %	4 24.9% 10 26.1%	MEM 24.4% BKN 7.6% −16.8%
3P Att. %	5 42.8% 8 41.2%	MEM 45.1% BKN 53.2% +8.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.12 and 2.12.

Game Totals	MEM	BKN
Possessions	91	90
Possession Minutes	25.0	22.7
Points	106	102
Rebounds	50	33
Assists	26	27
Steals	6	10
Blocks	6	3
Turnovers (Team)	18 (1)	13 (0)
Fouls	22	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (6)	12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (1)	21 (3)
Field Goals	38-82	35-79
At-the-Rim FG	16-25	18-31
Midrange FG	10-20	2-6
2-Point FG	26-45	20-37
3-Point FG	12-37	15-42
Free Throws	18-22	17-30
Fast Break Pts	7	8
2nd Chance Pts	25	17
Points in Paint	50	40
Pts off Turnovers	16	25
Bench Points	39	27
Biggest Lead	9	6

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg