Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, March 4, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	5	Clippers	52%	115	106	108.2	98	98.7
	19	Bucks	48%	114	113	114.1	99	98.3

Scoring Opportunities

LAC

+11

-13

MIL

-11

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAC

1.10 55.2%

MIL

1.19 59.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

5 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 33	37.3	16	40%	4	5	4	1	1	2	0	4	2-3	67%	4-11	36%	2-8	25%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 35	37.2	29	76%	4	8	0	1	3	2	0	4	6-9	67%	4-6	67%	5-10	50%
Paul George #13 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 34	36.1	29	73%	5	1	2	0	3	5	1	4	3-7	43%	4-7	57%	6-10	60%
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 27	23.7	6	60%	11	4	0	0	2	3	4	7	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Terance Mann #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 27	19.2	4	40%	3	1	0	0	1	3	0	3	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-0	-

Norman Powell #24 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 31	34.3	6	33%	3	3	2	1	1	3	0	3	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-6	17%
Amir Coffey #7 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 27	26.1	4	33%	1	1	1	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Daniel Theis #10 · C · 6'9" 243 · 32	15.3	7	58%	6	1	0	0	0	0	0	6	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Bones Hyland #5 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 23	10.8	5	63%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Mason Plumlee #44 · C · 7'0" 254 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
P.J. Tucker #17 · SF · 6'6" 245 · 39	DNP – Coach's Decision
Brandon Boston #4 · SG · 6'6" 188 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Xavier Moon #22 · SG · 6'2" 165 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Joshua Primo #12 · SG · 6'4" 189 · 21	INACTIVE
Moussa Diabaté #25 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 22	INACTIVE
Kobe Brown #21 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 24	INACTIVE
Jordan Miller #11 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 24	INACTIVE
Russell Westbrook #0 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	55%	38	25	9	3	13	21	5	33	16-25	64%	21-44	48%	16-40	40%

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5 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 33	37.3	16	40%	4	5	4	1	1	2	0	4	2-3	67%	4-11	36%	2-8	25%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 35	37.2	29	76%	4	8	0	1	3	2	0	4	6-9	67%	4-6	67%	5-10	50%
Paul George #13 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 34	36.1	29	73%	5	1	2	0	3	5	1	4	3-7	43%	4-7	57%	6-10	60%
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 27	23.7	6	60%	11	4	0	0	2	3	4	7	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Terance Mann #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 27	19.2	4	40%	3	1	0	0	1	3	0	3	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-0	-

Norman Powell #24 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 31	34.3	6	33%	3	3	2	1	1	3	0	3	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-6	17%
Amir Coffey #7 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 27	26.1	4	33%	1	1	1	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Daniel Theis #10 · C · 6'9" 243 · 32	15.3	7	58%	6	1	0	0	0	0	0	6	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Bones Hyland #5 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 23	10.8	5	63%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Mason Plumlee #44 · C · 7'0" 254 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
P.J. Tucker #17 · SF · 6'6" 245 · 39	DNP – Coach's Decision
Brandon Boston #4 · SG · 6'6" 188 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Xavier Moon #22 · SG · 6'2" 165 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Joshua Primo #12 · SG · 6'4" 189 · 21	INACTIVE
Moussa Diabaté #25 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 22	INACTIVE
Kobe Brown #21 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 24	INACTIVE
Jordan Miller #11 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 24	INACTIVE
Russell Westbrook #0 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	55%	38	25	9	3	13	21	5	33	16-25	64%	21-44	48%	16-40	40%

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19 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 34	41.5	41	73%	4	4	1	0	4	3	0	4	13-13	100%	8-13	62%	4-9	44%
Patrick Beverley #21 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 36	34.4	12	60%	9	2	4	1	2	2	1	8	1-1	100%	1-3	33%	3-7	43%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 36	30.8	6	43%	6	3	0	2	0	3	1	5	3-6	50%	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Malik Beasley #5 · SF · 6'5" 196 · 27	29.2	5	23%	4	2	3	0	1	5	1	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-7	14%
Jae Crowder #99 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 34	18.1	3	38%	2	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%

Bobby Portis Jr. #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 29	29.9	28	74%	16	2	0	0	1	4	1	15	2-2	100%	10-15	67%	2-3	67%
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 24	22.3	6	75%	2	3	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Pat Connaughton #24 · SF · 6'5" 209 · 31	17.4	8	80%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	3-4	75%	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Danilo Gallinari #12 · SF · 6'10" 225 · 36	16.6	4	67%	2	3	0	0	1	1	1	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Jaylin Galloway #00 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ryan Rollins #55 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
TyTy Washington Jr. #23 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
MarJon Beauchamp #3 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Tendinitis
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Strain
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendinitis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	60%	46	20	8	3	11	20	7	39	24-28	86%	22-40	55%	15-38	39%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	LAC	MIL
Clock	Team	Event	LAC	MIL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

LAC

1.10 55.2%

MIL

1.19 59.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

LAC

56%

MIL

62%

Midrange

LAC

43%

MIL

47%

3PT | Effective 3PT

LAC

24.0

40%

60%

MIL

22.5

39%

59%

Free Throws

LAC

64%

MIL

86%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Harden	29	76%	14.5 / 19
P. George	29	73%	14.5 / 20
K. Leonard	16	40%	8.0 / 20
D. Theis	7	58%	3.5 / 6
I. Zubac	6	60%	3.0 / 5
N. Powell	6	33%	3.0 / 9
B. Hyland	5	63%	2.5 / 4
T. Mann	4	40%	2.0 / 5
A. Coffey	4	33%	2.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Lillard	41	73%	20.5 / 28
B. Portis	28	74%	14.0 / 19
P. Beverley	12	60%	6.0 / 10
P. Connaughton	8	80%	4.0 / 5
B. Lopez	6	43%	3.0 / 7
A. Green	6	75%	3.0 / 4
M. Beasley	5	23%	2.5 / 11
D. Gallinari	4	67%	2.0 / 3
J. Crowder	3	38%	1.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	4 118.0 6 117.6	LAC 108.2 MIL 114.1 +6.0
Pace	20 97.9 8 100.6	LAC 98.7 +0.3 MIL 98.3
Avg. Poss. Time	7 14.9 19 14.4	LAC 14.6 −0.1 MIL 14.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	9 56.1% 4 56.8%	LAC 53.6% MIL 57.1% +3.5%
TO %	11 12.5% 10 12.2%	LAC 12.8% MIL 11.7% −1.1%
ORB %	16 24.4% 25 21.8%	LAC 11.4% MIL 17.5% +6.1%
FTrt	10 25.6 4 27.0	LAC 29.8 MIL 35.9 +6.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	24 60.4% 20 61.5%	LAC 67.6% +13.5% MIL 54.1%
STL %	7 8.0% 28 6.7%	LAC 9.2% +1.1% MIL 8.1%
BLK %	24 8.8% 28 8.5%	LAC 7.5% +0.7% MIL 6.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	7 58.4% 6 58.8%	LAC 55.2% MIL 59.5% +4.3%
Rim FG%	14 64.7% 4 67.9%	LAC 56.3% MIL 61.9% +5.6%
Mid FG%	5 45.6% 11 44.5%	LAC 42.9% MIL 47.4% +4.5%
3P %	6 38.1% 11 37.3%	LAC 40.0% +0.5% MIL 39.5%
FT %	3 82.5% 19 77.4%	LAC 64.0% MIL 85.7% +21.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	22 32.1% 24 31.5%	LAC 19.0% MIL 26.9% +7.9%
Mid Att. %	27 29.6% 7 25.4%	LAC 33.3% MIL 24.4% −9.0%
3P Att. %	19 38.3% 4 43.0%	LAC 47.6% MIL 48.7% +1.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	LAC	MIL
Possessions	98	99
Possession Minutes	23.8	24.2
Points	106	113
Rebounds	38	46
Assists	25	20
Steals	9	8
Blocks	3	3
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	11 (1)
Fouls	21	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	5 (6)	7 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (2)	39 (1)
Field Goals	37-84	37-78
At-the-Rim FG	9-16	13-21
Midrange FG	12-28	9-19
2-Point FG	21-44	22-40
3-Point FG	16-40	15-38
Free Throws	16-25	24-28
Fast Break Pts	10	6
2nd Chance Pts	8	10
Points in Paint	38	34
Pts off Turnovers	15	14
Bench Points	22	46
Biggest Lead	15	12

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg